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JSG

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Jun. 17, 2017
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Philadelphia Flyers
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Forum: Armchair-GMApr. 19, 2018 at 2:38 p.m.
Thread: Flyers Internal Youth Movement v1.0
All, keep in mind what the description says... Team is irrelevant. This is strictly for a 1st round pick plus prospect from any team that Simmonds will waive his NMC. Here I was looking for a likely mid-1st and a RW. In EDM's case, they shouldn't be nearly as bad as this season and I haven't seen that prospect's name in the Oilers lineup even though he was a high pick and a RW so picked him.

Philly has needed a goalie for forever and a day. That goalie is expected to be Carter Hart. All other goalies have gotten short term contracts as a stop-gap measure until he (or Felix Sandstrom) arrives on the scene.

<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>We_Want_The_Cup</b></div><div>I genuinely believe your team will become too easy to push around. Your D core will look a lot like Carolina's, skilled but soft/inexperienced. I'm not too sure what the Flyers can do to improve, they're in a weird spot.</div></div>
This is fair that they might get pushed around a little bit up front. Hagg will be their big hitter. Gudas does little of that now (except in practice) since he is scared of another suspension. He needs that lost edge again. Provy and Ghost have enough experience to help with the kids and they the talent to back up their words by example. Besides the d-coaches will also help with that up there.
Forum: Armchair-GMApr. 8, 2018 at 6:49 p.m.
Thread: Karlsson deal
Ottawa may want to trade its value pieces, but not sure the Flyers are the right trading partners in this situation. The Flyers have a ton of centers, either on the roster or as prospects. Trading for Duchene, and offering so much, doesn't address a need the Flyers have. I don't see paying that much and paying $6M for a 3rd line center.
I don't understand the Manning signing. He's more likely to be gone at the end of the season then to such a big raise from the team. They have AHL defensemen such as Morin, Myers, and Friedman that can fill his role.
For Carlson, the Flyers already have a top-2 d-pairing in Provorov and Gostisbehere. There's no need to spend so much for another top defensemen when some of that money could be used to shore up the winger depth or save a bit for Provy and other bigger contracts.
Forum: Armchair-GMMar. 9, 2018 at 11:00 p.m.
Thread: Slight Upgrade
E. Kane is just not needed. I just don't see him as a fit for this team where there are other, cheaper options, particularly if a 2nd/3rd line winger.
Not sure I see any team taking both MacDonald and Weise, especially NSH, but would be nice.
Neuvirth might be worth a little bit more, maybe a 5th rounder.
The Simmonds + 1st for Josi trade is interesting. I don't see NSH trading their captain while on a very team friendly contract, but my guess is that it would be a starting point for more talks.
The move to 2nd overall is ambitious. If it is Rubtsov, a 1st, and 2nd, and you draft a pure goal-scoring sniper that the team desperately needs, the I would be willing to pull the trade, but more research is needed considering this is supposed to be a deep draft and Flyers may not want to do that for this draft year.
Forum: Armchair-GMMar. 8, 2018 at 3:32 p.m.
Thread: 2019/2020 - Provy and Konecny Signed
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>DirtyDangles</b></div><div>Ya, Ottawa's asking prices are ridiculous which is why they are going to lose Karlsson for nothing..</div></div>

Regarding Hoffman, the Flyers balked at the starting price of Sanheim and a 1st round pick. There is no reason to think GM Hextall will move from that position. GM Dorian has time to sit on Hoffman and wait for a deal he likes, but it's highly doubtful with the Flyers if Sanheim, Myers, or Frost are part of any deal. As I understand it, Melnyk is forcing Dorian to go cheaper, which may limit is trade offers and potential returns. I don't see much benefit of adding Stolarz to the mix for OTT since they have two NHL goalies for another 2 seasons, unless they can trade one, like Condon.

Regarding Karlsson, the only way this works out is if he can pull off a move like Sakic did, but OTT GM won't have the time luxury that Sakic did with Duchene. He likely won't get the return he could have gotten at the 2018 Trade Deadline.
Forum: Armchair-GMMar. 7, 2018 at 10:36 a.m.
Thread: PHI 2018 Roster, with CAR/NYI and PIT goalie trades.
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>thepmofgreece</b></div><div>I think Muse is the casualty. He is older so his window to be successful is closing. Maybe he would agree to sign with Reading if he wants to stay in the system but realistically he will probably sign somewhere else. The more I think about it, the team has to make a decision on the future. They have several options to contemplate:

1) Sign Mrazek (2 or 3 years), move Neuvy and Elliott, and have Stolarz (need to sign him) as NHL backup with Lyon (sign him as well) and Hart in AHL
2) Sign Mrazek, move either Neuvy or Elliott, let Stolarz walk, and have Lyon and Hart in the AHL
3) Let Mrazek walk (you don't lose a 3rd rounder), Have Elliott and Neuvy work the NHL, let Stolarz walk, and have Lyon and Hart in AHL
4) Let Mrazek walk, have Elliott and Neuvy in NHL, let Lyon walk, and have Stolarz and Hart in AHL
5) Let Mrazek walk, trade Neuvy, have Elliott and Stolarz in NHL, and Lyon and Hart in AHL
6) Let Mrazek walk, deal Elliott (who might have more trade value), let Stolarz and Neuvy split NHL time, Lyon and Hart in AHL

I'm sure I'm missing one scenario, but you get the idea. Personally, I don't let Mrazek walk unless I think Hart will be ready with only one year of AHL time. Hart is clearly the future. Don't forget about Sandstrom in the SHL. If I'm Hexy, I do option 1. It gives Hart 2 years of AHL time to get ready to take the reigns and gets back some value for the other two goalies.</div></div>

I agree regarding Muse. There is likely a 2-way deal in his contract for AHL/ECHL. I think he might sign elsewhere at the end of 2018-2019, but for now, he is somewhere in the Flyers system.
Scenario 1 is likely if Mrazek plays well down the stretch and into the playoffs, say, winning the first round.
Scenario 5 is likely if Mrazek falters and they stumble into the playoffs and lose the first round in convincing fashion.
Ideally Hart is ready to start the 2019-2020 season, and realistically start the 2020-2021 season. Sandstrom may be a year or two behind Hart, but the number of decent goalies generally isn't a bad problem to have.
Forum: Armchair-GMMar. 6, 2018 at 6:31 p.m.
Thread: PHI 2018 Roster, with CAR/NYI and PIT goalie trades.
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>thepmofgreece</b></div><div>You re-signed him for the 2018-2019 season. Where will he go? That gives you Mrazek and Stolarz at the NHL. I see you have Alex Lyon signed as well to play in the AHL. I am assuming you are going to put Carter Hart in the AHL as well since he can't go anywhere else. Where will you be putting John Muse? Are we going to have 3 goalies at the AHL level?</div></div>

Good question. With the Muse signing, he isn't making that money to just play in the ECHL unless it is a 2-way type contract. I haven't seen any indication that the Flyers would move on from Stolarz just yet, and ditto with Lyon, though poor showings from Lyon as the NHL backup to Mrazek might change that decision. So yeah, still good question and not sure. What are your thoughts?
Forum: Armchair-GMMar. 2, 2018 at 4:54 p.m.
Thread: PHI 2018 Roster, with CAR/NYI and PIT goalie trades.
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Bdinella</b></div><div>I could be wrong but I believe because of his age or status Frost must be in the NHL or back in the minors. I don't think he can go to the AHL</div></div>

You are correct. He will be AHL ineligible next season, so NHL or back to OHL. That would alter the lineup a bit if he makes the opening day roster, but I still don't think it would lead to any off-season acquisitions.

<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>BigBeardBurns</b></div><div>Elliotts hurt so Car passes.</div></div>

Since Darling lost the starter's job this season, and Ward is a UFA at end of 2017-2018, a healthy Elliott may be an option for the 2018 season, particularly at a reasonable cap hit.

<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Jfstompers</b></div><div>Just wait and watch mrazek before you think he is your saviour in net.</div></div>

Mrazek is no savior and is not being signed as one. Elliott, Neuvirth, and now Mrazek are all stop-gap measures signed to short-medium contracts until the presumed savior Hart (or Sandstrom) are ready to take over.
Forum: Armchair-GMFeb. 18, 2018 at 11:59 a.m.
Thread: Trades with NSH, TB, LA, COL (maybe TOR)
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>tweaky</b></div><div>Late getting back on this, but here goes. On the right side, the Avs have Erik Johnson and Tyson Barrie, and insert #6D of the day. Gudas could very well fit in the #6D slot....but they are not going to give up a early round pick to fill it. Maybe a 4th or 5th. And moving forward, they have Cale Makar, Conor Timmins (you may have heard of them, the two best D on the recent WJC champs), and Nic Meloche (another young kid that plays a very similar style to Gudas, but is much cheaper and less suspension prone).

They could use a bit of help on the left side though. Say those two picks for Sanheim?</div></div>

Definitely heard of Cale Makar. Not so much with Timmins. If Meloche is ready to go this season or upcoming season then it wouldn't make much sense. I do not know if he is ready, since I only see his ELC started this season and d-men tend to need some development time.

Regarding Sanheim, despite some probable early mismanagement, he should be a top-4 fixture. I can't see trading a 2nd and 3rd for a former 1st with that type of potential that doesn't need a change of scenery. Maybe not the Avs, but some other team might look for that physical defenseman. At least I found out more about the Avs defense then when I first started.
Forum: Armchair-GMFeb. 4, 2018 at 7:10 a.m.
Thread: Trades with NSH, TB, LA, COL (maybe TOR)
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>JK94</b></div><div>Filppula is barely over 50% this year and was at 47-48% last year. Really don't think TB would give up a 2nd and 3rd for 2% more Faceoff wins from a player. Matt Peca has recently taken over the 3C role and is at 62% so far, so this wont happen, sorry.</div></div>

Filppula, compared to the rest of the team, was 7% better at face-offs than the team average at the time of the original post, and can still generate a bit of offense on a 3rd line. A veteran presence taking a face-off in an important situation might be valuable. I'm not familiar with Peca but if he can provide the same things, then so be it.

<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Artuma</b></div><div>Didn't Flip just block a trade to Toronto last year before he was traded to Philly? I doubt he has changed his mind.</div></div>

I wasn't aware that he blocked a trade to Toronto. That's unfortunate, but he might appreciate having essentially a locked in playoff spot in the Atlantic as opposed to a bubble team that may or may not make the playoffs.