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Kuch813

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Jul. 26, 2016
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Tampa Bay Lightning
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Forum: Armchair-GMJul. 10, 2018 at 3:16 p.m.
Thread: No cap for Karlsson
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>nashless</b></div><div>Most of those beautiful, cheap ELCs will be gone for EK, Cally and 3rd team for taking Ryan.</div></div>

<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>jp_harvey</b></div><div>You're forgetting that some of the youth will leave with the Karlsson trade...and it might be 2 or 3 if they don't include a young roster player...Foote and Raddysh will FOR SURE be targeted, at the very least</div></div>

Yes, I was accounting for 1 of Raddysh/Joseph going in the trade and assuming Sergachev was in it as well. I was thinking Sergachev+Gourde+Raddysh+Dotchin+2020 1st, but that may even be too much. Would still have a couple of guys with high enough potential to crack the top-6 and more than enough to fill out the bottom-6, so it is very doable. I don't think Callahan will cost more than a decent pick/prospect combo, don't think it will require any huge prospects, since his real salary is less than the cap hit and the team absorbing it would have the cap space easily.
Forum: Armchair-GMJul. 10, 2018 at 2:48 p.m.
Thread: No cap for Karlsson
It's doable but not easily. A Callahan buyout/trade next year would save at least 3.133M and Miller will be traded at the draft before his limited NTC kicks in which is another 5.25M, so that moves the space to about $24.852M with your ceiling. Joseph/Volkov/Raddysh will be ready at RW by then, and will combine for less than $2M together. AT LW you will have Katchouk by then and that's under 1M. So that's now about $21.8M to work with, with 14 players. Koekkoek or Masin as the third pairing LD will be at or below 1M, so that's $20.8M with 15 players. Cernak will probably be ready as the third pairing RD at under 1M by then as well, so that's now $19.8M with 16 players. I think they may be patient with Foote and re-sign Stralman as well, so that's probably at least 4.5M which would put it at $15.3M with 17 players. Put Karlsson at 10M and that brings it down to $5.3M with 18 players signed. Point on the Kucherov bridge of 4.8M brings it down to only $0.5M with 19 players signed. If they dump the full Callahan contract that adds another 2.667M and I left about 1M of fluff in there, so that brings the space up to $4.167M for the remaining 4C, 4LW, and 7D. I may have made a mistake somewhere in there, but I think the math is close enough. It would no doubt require the cap to take some jumps, and the drafting and ELCs would have to keep on working out. It will be interesting no matter what happens.
Forum: Armchair-GMJun. 20, 2018 at 2:16 p.m.
Thread: Moar Ruskies Pls
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>jasalex</b></div><div>So we give Tyler, Gourde, Miller ( collectively 69 goals) plus two third line defensemen for Panarin (27 goals) . I would say that is a bit of overpayment.</div></div>

You don't get elite players for scraps, and this trade is assuming he would want to come here and extend. Gourde could probably be removed and it would still be fair, but I tend to lean towards doing more than less, just to have a different look than most of the severe underpayments on this site. Johnson would be helpful to move for cap purposes and Miller is not a core (or important enough) piece to give the kind of contract he will be looking for probably. Don't kid yourself about Koekkoek and Dotchin, they are popcorn servers, but Koekkoek may have slightly more value due to draft pedigree.
Forum: Armchair-GMJun. 20, 2018 at 11:13 a.m.
Thread: Retool with CGY and TBL
Don't see Yzerman doing that to Johnson after giving him that long term deal, although I do think he will be moved to a team where he can compete, and I think someone like Dallas may be a fit. Foote was apparently a no-go before, so I doubt that has changed much. It would be nice to move Girardi's cap, but he's not waiving to go to a team in a bad spot, and he would also be sacrificing money in the process. Say the Lightning could get two mid 1sts and also offer you a cost-controllable D (like Koekkoek or Dotchin) as well as add maybe a forward prospect and a conditional second. Would something hypothetical like that work?
- 2018 1st Round Pick (DAL)
- 2018 1st Round Pick (COL)
- Slater Koekkoek / Jake Dotchin
- Taylor Raddysh
- Conditional 2018 2nd Round Pick (becomes 1st in 2020 if TBL wins the Cup)
Forum: Armchair-GMJun. 1, 2018 at 10:05 a.m.
Forum: Armchair-GMMay 30, 2018 at 3:36 p.m.
Thread: Two Trades - Rasmus and a 1st
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>cberg</b></div><div>From the Flames perspective, I would say Johnson "better" than Bennet, and Anderson "much better" than Dotchin, so with the pick upgrade the trade proposal is in the ballpark. Even so, I am not sure I would do the trade even though it addresses the Flames' need for a right shot forward. Bennet's style likely to be a much better fit with the new coach (and playoffs), and both he and Anderson still have significant potential to grow to their ceilings, so Tampa gets all the upside, with little upside potential for Calgary. To me, all things considered Bennett and Johnson are a saw-off, and losing Anderson is a big loss for Calgary. The pick upgrade is marginal in reality, considering the likelihood that either end up NHLers 2-3 years down the road.

If you substituted someone like Taylor Raddysh (young RW that Calgary needs) instead of Dotchin, and dropped the pick exchange, then there would be something to seriously talk about.</div></div>
I think that would be fair.
Forum: Armchair-GMMay 24, 2018 at 4:12 p.m.
Forum: Armchair-GMMay 24, 2018 at 3:54 p.m.
Thread: Shaking It Up - Too Many Trade Ideas
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>jccamps18</b></div><div>If the Lighting are hitting the #panicbutton, what are most of the other teams in the NHL doing?



I'm not sure how you could say Cooper is getting outcoached, but usually head coaches receive the blame and he's the kind of coach that would put the blame on himself.

At the end of the day, TB was one of the last 4 teams left in the NHL, and lost in a game 7 against a good WSH team who had a hot goalie in games 6 and 7. At some point, you agree that TB was easily good enough to win the cup, they just lost a series too another good team. They have a loaded roster, a great prospect pool, and have somehow still managed to keep the cap under control. I feel like TB has nothing to panic about.</div></div>

I do believe there is a strong core in place with Hedman, Kucherov, and Stamkos; and you can probably also add Point, Vasilevskiy, and Sergachev to that list as well. With Cooper he is just not good at adjustments especially in-game, unless something falls into his lap like the triplets did, and then he rides it to the end. Not sure how he worked it into his head that Kucherov and Stamkos are inseparable, but at points they were a detriment to the team together, yet he would not yield. I am no saying it is all his fault though, as obviously the players have to want to play. Bowness runs the defense and penalty kill, and I think even the casual Lightning watcher can see they are schematically atrocious quite often. There is no doubt the talent is there and there is no doubt the prospect pool is good too, but I have to think something small will be changed. That could be firing Bowness and that could be trading a non-core someone out of the top-9. I don't know, but I hope they make at least one move just as a wake up call if nothing more, because there definitely seems to be some complacency now with this roster. I had us losing to Boston just because of history, so I was surprised when we took it to game 7 in the ECF against Washington, especially with how the team played at times in front of Vasilevskiy.