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Uberrima_Fides

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Forum: Armchair-GMSep. 6, 2016 at 11:24 p.m.
Thread: nsnsnsn
I like the idea of the Shattenkirk trade -- under normal circumstances, the Blues would definitely need more for Shattenkirk, but with his contract expiring that's not far off -- but the Oilers and Wild trades are totally unfeasible.

Fast is less valuable than Yakupov, and Staal is even less valuable than Ference. Although Staal is younger and somewhat less useless than Ference, his contract carries a $5.7M Cap hit ($2.45M higher than Ference's) and still has 5 years left on it (whereas Ference's expires at the end of this year). No team would be willing to take on Staal's contract for the modest upgrade he represents, especially with his NMC meaning that they'd have to protect him in an expansion draft (Ference also has an NMC, but since his contract is expiring, he will waive it for expansion).

The Wild trade is much closer to being fair, but Minnesota has no need for Klein.
Forum: Armchair-GMSep. 4, 2016 at 7:33 p.m.
Forum: Armchair-GMSep. 4, 2016 at 7:05 p.m.
Thread: Panarin to Montreal
I'm usually one to tear down people's rosters, but I really, really like this one. I especially like the Spooner deal and I think both trades are a lot better and a lot more creative than most of the stuff that gets posted here.

My biggest concern with the roster is that Ryan Spooner is going to get way more that $2,750,000 on his next contract. It would be really tough cap-wise, but I think it could be done using the framework of your moves. If Gustavsson was replaced in the Spooner trade by a prospect or pick, you could go without signing Wideman, saving at least $1M. You could also try leaving Kruger unprotected in expansion -- Las Vegas will have too many Defenseman to have need for TVR or Gustavsson, and trading Pokka would give the Blackhawks the room to protect McNeil and Hartman, making Kruger possibly the most appealing option for the expansion team, even with his Cap hit -- which could save $3M. Kruger would be tough to part with, but a passable replacement could be found on the cheap.

Also, could you imagine an all Rusophone line in Montreal of Panarin-Galchenyuk-Radulov? Fuck, that would be so sick.
Forum: Armchair-GMSep. 4, 2016 at 4:06 p.m.
Thread: Ta Dun!
<div class="quote">Quote: <i>I think the precedent of the Seth Jones for Ryan Johannsen and Hall for Larsson would suggest that a straight up Trouba for Draisaitl would be enough w/o Burmi, plus Oilers need a dman more than Jets need another young forward. Might need something else coming Jets way.</i></div>

I agree that, if Trouba for Draisaitl was going to work, it would work without Burmistrov, don't think it's wise to use the Hall-Larsson trade as a precedent. It's important to remember that the Oilers are not nearly as desperate for a young RHD as they were before they traded for Larsson, and that in this hypothetical, the Jets are also trading away Bryan Little and have acquired Justin Faulk (which would result in them having even less need for Trouba and much more need for a Center, although I think Perreault would suffice as a 2C), so the difference in leverage is not nearly so big as you describe. Crucially, Leon Draisaitl is probably worth more than Jacob Trouba right now; whereas Trouba is a 22-year-old who really struggled with his game last year and has become something of an uncertain commodity, Draisaitl is a 20-year-old who was scoring a point-per-game for half of last season. If anything, this trade favors Winnipeg.

<div class="quote">Quote: <i>I like Faulk but... A bit pricey for my money</i></div>

I don't see how that's the case. The propose trade is a 28-year-old low-end 1C plus a 31-year-old Top 4 D-man (whose Cap hit and NMC reduce his trade value to almost zero, especially with the Expansion draft coming up) for a 24-year-old high-end #1 D-man on a fantastic contract.

<div class="quote">Quote: <i>I like Faulk but... A bit pricey for my money</i></div>

I understand that the Jets don't really have a need for him, but if they got him at that price, I'd be jumping for joy. Hartnell may be getting up there in age, but he's been over 1.99 5v5 P/60 in each of the last two years, and in 5 of the last 6 seasons where he played at least 1000 5v5 minutes. That's <em>really</em> good production.
Forum: Armchair-GMSep. 4, 2016 at 3:37 p.m.
Thread: Ta Dun!
Carolina trade: With players Jordan Staal, Viktor Rask, Teuvo Teravainen, Elias Lindholm, Andrej Nestrasil, Jacob Slavin, Noah Hanifin, Brett Pesce, and Ron Hainsey, the Hurricanes' deepest positions are Center and Defenseman. They would not have nearly enough interest in a low-end 1C in Little (which, to be clear, means that he's on the lower end of legit 1Cs, not that he's a low-end Center playing on the 1st line) to trade Faulk (a high-end #1 D-man, the face of their franchise, and the most likely candidate to be their next captain) for Little and Enstrom (an aging 2nd pair D-man with a ghastly contract). Maybe the Jets could swing something involving Dano + Enstrom + [?] for Slavin.

Edmonton trade: If the Carolina trade happened, the Edmonton trade would make sense. I just don't think the Carolina trade would ever happen, unless Ron Francis suffers some sort of mental breakdown.

Columbus trade: This past season, Hartnell was only willing to waive his NMC for a handful of teams, and it was reported that Winnipeg (who play in a city with very harsh weather, have an especially taxing travel schedule, and drafted 2nd Overall in 2016) were one of the least-desired destinations around the NHL; I don't think Hartnell would waive his NMC to go to Winnipeg. Even if he would, the Blue Jackets would not trade him for a 22-year-old Bottom 6 C.

Montreal trade: Pretty good; I think the picks given up by Montreal are a little much, though. Maybe a 3rd and a 4th, or just a 2nd would be more appropriate.
Forum: Armchair-GMJun. 27, 2016 at 1:24 a.m.
Thread: Just For Fun | NHL's Best Line
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Bringer_Of_Snow</b></div><div><i>Regarding the trades, don't really like them. You trade Nuge, Ebs and Yakupov and don't really get a solid peice coming back. Ellis is nice, but he's a small guy who's had success on a stacked Nashville defense.
I personal don't see him being a top a 2 way top 3 guy.</i></div></div>

I'd content that Ellis is a #3 guy; regardless, what makes him so appealing is his amazing contract and that he's an RD. All of Edmonton's valuable Defensemen (Klefbom, Davidson, Sekera, Reinhart, Nurse) are natural LDs.

You're right that I didn't get one really great piece in either trades, but the several complimentary pieces picked up more or less make up for that. Jarnkrok is an immediate replacement for Nuge who can slot in at 3C and take on RNH's Defensive responsibilities, Kamanev is the 2LW of the future that the team was lacking, Pesce is a really good young RD, and Wallmark could be almost NHL-ready despite being only 20.

I guess I could've added more to the Carolina side of the Eberle trade, but I feel that it's the general framework of the deal that's important.
Forum: Armchair-GMJun. 27, 2016 at 1:16 a.m.
Thread: Just For Fun | NHL's Best Line
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>rollie1967</b></div><div><i>the Stamkos signing aside, I like the Hopkins for Ellis deal, as it helps both teams. Jarnrock would be a good 3rd liner, although Im thinking the Preds might not want to add that much salary.
I dont see the Eberle deal at all though, hes shown good chemistry with McDavid, so trading him is only slightly less likely than the Oil signing Stamkos. I doubt Ference returns to the Oil, could be bought out or buried. Another veteran dman ( Hamhuis/Russell/Demers?) is what they need more than anything.</i></div></div>

This roster is just to see how a Stamkos to Edmonton scenario would play out; I felt they'd needed to clear Eberle's Cap to make that happen and not be screwed Cap-wise a couple years down the line. I suppose I could have added more to the Carolina side of the deal, but I felt was the framework of the trade was more important than the details.

I didn't buy out Ference because he's only got a year left on his contract, and the Oilers could afford it for this year. There wouldn't have been any point in buying him out and having the buyout on the books for the next couple seasons, since I could be done with it in one year just by not re-signing him. I didn't send him down because, IIRC, you aren't allowed to do that with NMCs. Plus, as you mentioned, the team could use some veteran leadership.

I didn't sign a guy like Hamhuis because he'd take up a roster spot on an already full Defense, taking playing time away from a young player. The target years for this team would be a couple years down the road, so I'd rather go with the young Defensemen and have them develop than sign a veteran to be good for right now.
Forum: Armchair-GMJun. 17, 2016 at 2:37 a.m.
Forum: Armchair-GMJun. 17, 2016 at 12:40 a.m.
Forum: Armchair-GMJun. 14, 2016 at 2:02 p.m.
Thread: New Leafs
I really like the ideas behind your trades; they make sense and they're ones I haven't seen before. However, they do need to be tweaked, especially the Ducks deal.

Anaheim wouldn't be willing to part with Lindholm and (as much as Carlyle may like Bozak) they're already overcrowded at Center, so the deal could be simplified to the framework of JVR for Andersen. The looming expansion draft may make for a trade market (and thereby drive Andersen's value down) so the Leafs might be able to get some additional value back. Kevin Bieksa is worth next to nothing to the Ducks, so the Leafs could add him for experience/leadership/depth on the blue-line if they were so inclined; he has an NMC, but he could waive it to go home to Ontario (the NMC also means the Leafs would have to buy him out before the expansion draft, but the buyout Cap hit would be minimal at that point). Simon Despres, Brandon Montour, and Josh Manson will likely all be exposed in the expansion draft, so one of them could also be on the table for the right price.
Forum: Armchair-GMJun. 6, 2016 at 6:02 p.m.
Thread: Winnipeg Edm Car Yay or Nay?
It wouldn't be a given that Edmonton would take that package for just Hall; I can't see them accepting it for Hall <em>and</em> the #4 Overall draft pick. I do really like the Fleury trade, but you'd need to remove Carolina's 2nd from the equation, and maybe even upgrade the 4th going the other way to a 3rd.

Also, as TrueNorth touched on, the Hall trade weakens an already suspect Defense corps and strengthens an already overcrowded group of Forwards. That is addressed for the short-term with the Yandle signing, but his prime probably won't fit within Winnipeg's contention window. Regardless, I'm not a fan of Yandle's contract; he'll probably get more than $5.5M per, and the Jets will likely be very reluctant to sign Free Agents to anything longer than 3 years (since the contracts of Wheeler, Myers, Laine, and Conner all expire in exactly 3 seasons).