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Forum: NHL SigningsJul. 12, 2022 at 2:01 p.m.
Thread: Colorado Avalanche signed Valeri Nichushkin (8 Years / $6,125,000 AAV)
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Random2152</b></div><div>It was only ever one good season to people who don't pay attention. Val has been great ever since he landed in COL

The twins ****ing nailed it:

<blockquote class="twitter-tweet"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">It hasn't been reported what the cap hit will be for Nichushkin quite yet, but our projections on <a href="https://twitter.com/EvolvingHockey?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw" rel="nofollow noreferrer noopener" target="_blank">@EvolvingHockey</a> have his most likely contract (signing with Colorado ahead of free agency) at 8 years x $6.2M. <a href="https://t.co/UkD0Bb65FN" rel="nofollow noreferrer noopener" target="_blank">pic.twitter.com/UkD0Bb65FN</a></p>— EvolvingWild (@EvolvingWild) <a href="https://twitter.com/EvolvingWild/status/1546614763173601282?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw" rel="nofollow noreferrer noopener" target="_blank">July 11, 2022</a></blockquote>

</div></div>

Within 100k. That's impressive.
Related, has anyone done an analysis to determine mathematically how accurate EvolvingWild's contract model actually is? I know anecdotally it's the best one but I haven't seen any data on it.
Forum: Armchair-GMMay 23, 2022 at 10:50 p.m.
Forum: Armchair-GMMay 23, 2022 at 10:41 p.m.
Thread: Leafs Coyotes trade idea
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>GMBL</b></div><div>Might be a pressure free environment for him to try making a bounce back,

The issue with the trade is that Arizona can sign FAs on one year deals to get the equivalent of a late 1st and they aren't getting a guy that costs little in real dollars + high cap hit for reaching the floor getting a (and seem to like their goalie too). They are going to want to tank this season especially too, so trading for Mrazek to flip him after a rebound (his buy out is cheap for them) isn't worth it</div></div>

I did see that his contract is back loaded which obviously lessens the fit for a cash strapped team. Agree with the point about it being a good environment for a bounce back year.
I think the main concern here obviously is giving up Vejmelka, who they obviously value higher than me :squintytongue. I think if Mrazek put up similar numbers to for instance, Scott Wedgewood this year it wouldn't hurt the tank too much, and obviously if he stinks it actively helps it.

The point about signing rental free agents is true, but this doesn't diminish their ability to do that, and those players would have to play well enough that they'd be helping the Yotes win games; which obviously conflicts with the goal of tanking. I think taking on cap dumps, especially ones that double as reclamation projects, is the best way to go for them. But that's just my take.
Forum: Armchair-GMMay 23, 2022 at 10:30 p.m.
Thread: Leafs Coyotes trade idea
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Ledge_And_Dairy</b></div><div>No chance Arizona does that. Other NHL teams are not Toronto's farm team</div></div>

<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>odyssey</b></div><div>leafs say yes. you can take off your third</div></div>

<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>palhal</b></div><div>Coyotes still need NHL goaltending.....Mrzarek and Sateri ain't it</div></div>

<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Lancebmx</b></div><div>Take out vejmelka and Arizona would accept. You aren't close in value for him, let alone getting a pick sent back.</div></div>

<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>TampaBayLightning22</b></div><div>Arizona declines.

And i doubt Petr Mrazek is dying to play in the 5,000 seat dump for the next 2 years anyways.</div></div>

First off, thanks for the feedback. Second, it kind of surprises me how much you guys are valuing Vejmelka; I don't think he's necessarily bad, but his numbers this year were sub-par in both traditional SV% and GSAX, which accounts for shot quality. He seems like more of a 1B type long term than a starter, which is basically what Mrazek was before his poor performance this season.
The other thing is that Arizona is pretty obviously tanking next season and although having at least somewhat competent goaltending would help make them look respectable, it's also counterproductive in terms of helping their lottery position. IMO another 1st round pick this year would do wonders for their prospect pool and personally I don't mind this cost at all from their perspective.
Again, appreciate the feedback to hear some others' thoughts.
Forum: Armchair-GMMay 7, 2022 at 6:13 p.m.