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dilldoughs

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Forum: Armchair-GMDec. 21, 2021 at 10:17 a.m.
Forum: Armchair-GMDec. 13, 2021 at 8:17 p.m.
If Hyman and Keith are healthy, as you have things listed here, the only changes I'd make are Sceviour over Ryan and Lagesson over Niemelainen, with Niemo headed back to Bakersfield for the Keith activation. Ryan cannot justify his place on an NHL roster right now and Sceviour has played really well so far into the season. Lagesson does more on the ice currently than Niemelainen, but I think Niemo ends up having the better career once he fine-tunes his game in the AHL for another season and a half.

<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>uphere</b></div><div>I'd be leery of putting that 3rd line on the ice against the Leafs. Toronto is already almost assured a win against a depleted Oilers team, there is no need to let them run at two rookies and a struggling young RW for 15-20 minutes. McLeod has played well, but he is still developing and would probably be better served playing 4C. Benson has done everything that's been asked of him, but his skating is okay, at best. Yamamoto might be a very good 3rd line player, but he's going to need some support from his line mates.</div></div>

I think this is a shrewd observation but I don't think the Oilers have much else of a choice. As you identify in the other half of your post the Oilers really don't have much for alternative options regarding what they do with their bottom six, and I think running 3 centers or loading up the top line can't be an option either for the same reasons. Toronto has an excellent, deep team and the Oilers are going to need to bring their best to even hang in that game.

Tippett's best option - and one of his biggest failings - would be to linematch the Leafs as much as possible. I think this second line would handle the Matthews line effectively and by default the McDavid line would have to contend with the Tavares line. This makeshift third line could hopefully tackle the Leafs' fourth line and come out even, which unfortunately exposes a Sceviour-centered fourth line to the Leafs' third? It looks grim either way, but more because of how much better the Leafs' blueline is and that Keefe will happily feed the Oilers 60 minutes of Jack Campbell.
Forum: Fauteuil - DGNov. 29, 2021 at 11:40 a.m.
Forum: NHLNov. 11, 2021 at 9:28 p.m.
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>BeterChiarelli</b></div><div>Call me crazy, but I don't think there's any player from the upcoming draft class I'd be in a hurry to rush to the NHL, even Wright.

I'm a firm believer in NHLe being a strong indicator, not necessarily an end-all-be-all metric, of an undrafted prospect's potential. Using NHLe, Wright doesn't appear to be anything profoundly special, at least not yet. Shane Wright projects to an NHLe of 34.484 points per 82GP.

Looking at the NHe for previous first-overall forwards in their first season and their actual production, we see:
Lafreniere - 48.591 points per 82GP (30.750pts / 82GP actual)
Hughes - 32.374 points per 82GP (28.230pts / 82GP actual)
Hischer - 36.077 points per 82GP (52pts / 82GP actual)
Matthews - 53.596 points per 82GP (69pts / 82GP actual)
McDavid - 64.084 points per 82GP (87.467pts / 82GP actual)

and should expect Wright to fall between with the likes of Hughes and Hischier more than in the camp with McDavid and Matthews. Many people believed Hughes wasn't ready, should Wright be expected to be ready?

Considering the unspectacular debuts for many players recently selected within the top-3 of their draft class and the most-likely teams Wright would end up on (ARI, MON, CHI, OTT, and SEA total to 66.9% or about two-thirds), I think any team looking to call Shane's name first overall at this upcoming draft - <em>possibly</em> with Chicago and Ottawa being the exceptions - I wouldn't rush Wright in the NHL beyond his 9 games to start the season. Between the quality of teammates he would be forced to play alongside and likely getting hammered by quality of opposition, giving Wright the extra year to develop alongside his peers or in Europe makes a lot more sense to me.

The NHL and AHL really need to work out some other system for the CHL age agreement. The transfer system is broken and disparages the top of every draft class.</div></div>

Like this a lot, just going to talk on the final point.

There are players that would likely benefit from being able to play at the AHL level at 18 or 19 years old. Putting up over two points-per-game at the CHL level is impressive but it’s not necessarily the best thing for a prospect. But the catch 22 is the sustainability of the CHL and the three leagues. If teams were allowed to take their drafted players out of their junior team’s hands at will when they are hitting their peak junior hockey years, you strip them of the reason many fans are in the buildings. The CHL is dependant on gate revenue and people being in the building and in a typical year, they would feel the hit of losing a star.

Not sure what the right answer is, cause the NHL NEEDS the CHL to be prosperous as it sends the most players to the NHL.