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jluqueSF

JLuque
Member Since
Jul. 13, 2017
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Toronto Maple Leafs
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Nashville Predators
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Forum: Armchair-GMMar. 4, 2020 at 4:36 p.m.
Thread: 88 mil prob means Petro stays a Blue
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>jluqueSF</b></div><div>fair enough, but what if Seattle doesn't select him?</div></div>

Well, that's why I said "hopefully" Faulk.

They probably won't select him outright, they're building a very progressive front office and Faulk is very mediocre analytically in what should be his prime, knowing that will only get worse as he goes through this contract, not to mention we'll probably have some pretty good players exposed for less money and time. But if the Blues retain Pietrangelo, they need to look into incentivizing Seattle to take Faulk. Faulk is objectively the third best RHD on this team, and we can't justify paying 6.5 million to a third pairing defenseman. Kind of the same thing with why we need to move Allen this summer.

Even if Seattle doesn't select him, they need to pursue every opportunity to move him even if it involves asking him to waive, because his contract is going to seriously hamstring us in the future. We can't afford to pay 20million+ on our right side D, and I don't think Faulk is a second pairing caliber defenseman right now, so letting Pietrangelo walk or moving Parayko and replacing them with Faulk long term is a poor bet if we want to stay in contention.
Forum: Armchair-GMJun. 24, 2019 at 7:48 p.m.
Thread: little cap relief
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>jluqueSF</b></div><div>just curious (not trying to be a d*ck), but why is it that Point / Aho / Mikko are always signed for $8-9M max; yet Marner has to be $10.5-$11.

I get the taxation in FL, but in Toronto there is more availability for spokes person $ too.</div></div>

At least according to what reporters have been saying, Marner is demanding a contract like Matthews'. He wants one that will take him right to his UFA years and give him an eight-figure AAV along the way. He rejected 10x8, according to Sportsnet. So either the Leafs will have to go above $10m to get the term they want. Maybe he'll take 10x5, but he feels he should be paid like Matthews so even then, the Leafs would have to convince him to give in. If the Leafs can't convince him to give in, then his contract will look like the Matthews' deal, and either way, it's going to be close to that.

Point, on the other hand, is in a city without state taxes and where the expectation among all players is to take discounts and put the team first (not to mention the state tax advantage). He has said that he's committed to a team-friendly deal for the Lightning, and negotiations seem to be going relatively smoothly. I don't know all that much about the Rantanen situation and he could easily command a lot of money if he wanted, but considering the team the Avalanche have, that would surprise me. I never thought Aho was really on that level; he's a great player, of course, but is he on Point/Marner/Rantanen's level? He is a center, I suppose, so that brings up his value.

The big problem for the Leafs is that they have a massive media presence and irrational ideas (like Marner's value being greater than Matthews' every time Matthews goes a couple of games without scoring) that inflate everyone's perception of their own value. I'm also really wondering about the culture in the Toronto locker room. The Lightning have Stamkos as a captain, a player who has adapted his play style through tons of adversity, stayed with the team during the awful flashes, and took a discount when asked. Hedman followed suit with an even more extreme discount. Kucherov took a bridge for under $5m as a consistent 60+ point winger, and then took $9.5m as a 100+ point forward even as comparables pushed $11m. For all of his career, those are the players Point has looked up to, and nobody expects him to have issues following their lead in negotiations. Does Toronto have that kind of a culture? It doesn't seem like it.
Forum: Armchair-GMJun. 7, 2019 at 11:57 a.m.
Thread: Have a constructive comment or dont bother
Oilers fan here, i think most of those trades are reasonable. The marleau one is especially creative. Its probably a lot more movement than any one team would make in an offseason, especially with the same coach and management team, but nonetheless, very creative.

I think the Zaitsev deal will need to be tweaked. With Vancouver doing better last year than they thought, and with the expectation they will start to compete going forward, i don't know that the "extras" that you have would get the deal done. To me they would probably want picks or a salary going the other way to facilitate this trade due to Zaitsev's term remaining.

The only other trade that gave me pause was the NJ trade. i know its salary dump but you could get way more for kadri in my opinion, especially from some western canadian teams. He would be a perfect fit for the oilers for example. Kadri would probably get you larsson, a prospect, and a 2nd minimum. i suspect though the leafs could do better still.

As an oilers fan i think the brown trade is doable at that valuation, though i suspect they would want to move out a contract. Benning seemed to be the thought at the deadline.
Forum: Armchair-GMJun. 7, 2019 at 12:12 p.m.
Thread: Tell me if this doesnt work
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>jluqueSF</b></div><div>it would occur after the bonus is paid, by TML, and paying $416,666 this year and next (buyout cost), is better than paying Gaborik $3,175.000 and $3,075,000 this year and next (real salary $); and also Marleau's cap hit is higher than Gaborik, so reaching the floor is easier and cheaper for Eugene</div></div>

<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>jluqueSF</b></div><div>it would occur after the bonus is paid, by TML, and paying $416,666 this year and next (buyout cost), is better than paying Gaborik $3,175.000 and $3,075,000 this year and next (real salary $); and also Marleau's cap hit is higher than Gaborik, so reaching the floor is easier and cheaper for Eugene</div></div>

The point I have already made is you cannot buy out Marleau after his bonus his paid. The buy out period ends before his bonus is due. Thus, if Toronto pays his bonus, you cannot buy him out as the buyout period has gone by.