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what Id expect for a return on Gibson

Created by: rookescr96
Team: 2022-23 Anaheim Ducks
Initial Creation Date: Jun. 13, 2022
Published: Jun. 13, 2022
Salary Cap Mode: Basic
Description
Goalies don't get traded for as much value as you would think...

General idea was going off of Keumper trade for a 1st + prospect
(yes there was a 3rd round pick in the trade but it was on a condition that colorado wins the cup)

Figured Anaheim would be willing/have to take some money back from a team so went for prospect + first + money player
Trades
1.
ANA
  1. Bowers, Shane [RFA Rights]
  2. 2023 1st round pick (COL)
COL
  1. 2023 5th round pick (ANA)
Additional Details:
Doubt they do this based on how much they gave up for Keumper, this would more just be if Keumper walks
2.
ANA
  1. Hunt, Daemon
  2. Kulikov, Dmitry
  3. 2022 1st round pick (MIN)
MIN
3.
ANA
  1. Bourgault, Xavier
  2. Kassian, Zack
  3. 2022 1st round pick (EDM)
EDM
4.
ANA
  1. Bernier, Jonathan
  2. McLeod, Michael
  3. 2023 1st round pick (NJD)
NJD
5.
ANA
  1. Knies, Matthew [Reserve List]
  2. Mrázek, Petr
  3. 2022 1st round pick (TOR)
TOR
6.
ANA
  1. Hagelin, Carl
  2. Samsonov, Ilya [RFA Rights]
  3. 2022 2nd round pick (WPG)
Additional Details:
General thought is either Samsonov + 2nd or Vanechek + 1st
WSH
    Don't think this one would actually happen but Wash always seems unhappy with their goalie situation
    Buyouts
    Buried
    DraftRound 1Round 2Round 3Round 4Round 5Round 6Round 7
    2022
    Logo of the ANA
    Logo of the BOS
    Logo of the MIN
    Logo of the EDM
    Logo of the TOR
    Logo of the ANA
    Logo of the PIT
    Logo of the WPG
    Logo of the ANA
    Logo of the ANA
    Logo of the TOR
    Logo of the NSH
    2023
    Logo of the ANA
    Logo of the COL
    Logo of the NJD
    Logo of the ANA
    Logo of the BOS
    Logo of the COL
    Logo of the ANA
    Logo of the MIN
    Logo of the ANA
    Logo of the ANA
    2024
    Logo of the ANA
    Logo of the ANA
    Logo of the BOS
    Logo of the ANA
    Logo of the ANA
    Logo of the ANA
    Logo of the ANA
    Logo of the ANA
    ROSTER SIZESALARY CAPCAP HITOVERAGES TooltipBONUSESCAP SPACE
    22$82,500,000$56,011,250$0$4,460,000$26,488,750
    Left WingCentreRight Wing
    Logo of the Anaheim Ducks
    $2,037,500$2,037,500
    LW
    RFA - 1
    Logo of the Anaheim Ducks
    $1,456,250$1,456,250
    LW, C
    M-NTC
    UFA - 2
    Logo of the Anaheim Ducks
    $1,450,000$1,450,000
    RW
    UFA - 1
    Logo of the Anaheim Ducks
    $1,295,000$1,295,000
    LW, RW
    RFA - 2
    Logo of the Anaheim Ducks
    $1,500,000$1,500,000
    LW, C
    UFA - 1
    Logo of the Anaheim Ducks
    $425,000$425,000
    C, RW
    UFA - 2
    Logo of the Anaheim Ducks
    $925,000$925,000 (Performance Bonus$850,000$850K)
    C, LW
    RFA - 1
    Logo of the Anaheim Ducks
    $894,167$894,167 (Performance Bonus$2,500,000$2M)
    C, LW
    RFA - 3
    Logo of the Washington Capitals
    $2,750,000$2,750,000
    LW
    UFA - 1
    Logo of the Edmonton Oilers
    $925,000$925,000 (Performance Bonus$177,500$178K)
    RW
    RFA - 3
    Logo of the Edmonton Oilers
    $3,200,000$3,200,000
    RW
    UFA - 2
    Logo of the New Jersey Devils
    $975,000$975,000
    C
    RFA - 1
    Left DefenseRight DefenseGoaltender
    Logo of the Anaheim Ducks
    $6,500,000$6,500,000
    LD/RD
    M-NTC
    UFA - 4
    Logo of the Anaheim Ducks
    $3,900,000$3,900,000
    RD
    M-NTC
    UFA - 1
    Logo of the Anaheim Ducks
    $6,400,000$6,400,000
    G
    M-NTC
    UFA - 5
    Logo of the Anaheim Ducks
    $750,000$750,000
    LD/RD
    RFA - 1
    Logo of the Anaheim Ducks
    $925,000$925,000 (Performance Bonus$850,000$850K)
    RD
    RFA - 1
    Logo of the Anaheim Ducks
    $950,000$950,000
    G
    UFA - 1
    Logo of the New Jersey Devils
    $4,125,000$4,125,000
    G
    UFA - 1
    Logo of the Minnesota Wild
    $1,125,000$1,125,000
    LD/RD
    M-NTC
    UFA - 1
    Logo of the Toronto Maple Leafs
    $3,800,000$3,800,000
    G
    M-NTC
    UFA - 2
    Logo of the Minnesota Wild
    $828,333$828,333 (Performance Bonus$82,500$82K)
    LD
    RFA - 3
    ScratchesInjured Reserve (IR)Long Term IR (LTIR)
    Logo of the Anaheim Ducks
    $5,250,000$5,250,000
    RW, LW
    M-NTC
    UFA - 2

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    Jun. 13, 2022 at 3:15 p.m.
    #1
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    This seems way more reasonable than some of the other threads I've seen like Nylander, Sandin, Hirvonen, Kerfoot, and a 2nd for Gibson+Comtois lol
    Jun. 13, 2022 at 3:21 p.m.
    #2
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    Caps give you samsonov + second in a heartbeat. I do think Gibson's reputation will raise the price a bit, but not by that much and all of these make much more sense than Gibson for four firsts or whatever else ducks fans have been posting
    csick and rookescr96 liked this.
    Jun. 13, 2022 at 3:23 p.m.
    #3
    KFTW
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    Quoting: qc14
    Caps give you samsonov + second in a heartbeat. I do think Gibson's reputation will raise the price a bit, but not by that much and all of these make much more sense than Gibson for four firsts or whatever else ducks fans have been posting


    I think it’ll be something like

    Samsonov
    Hagelin
    Protas
    2022 1st
    qc14 and OldNYIfan liked this.
    Jun. 13, 2022 at 3:23 p.m.
    #4
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    Only way the Devils make that move is if that 1st rounder is lottery protected
    rookescr96 liked this.
    Jun. 13, 2022 at 3:24 p.m.
    #5
    KFTW
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    The Edmonton one is close. Edmonton still needs to add a little bit but the rest are pretty far off
    Lenny7 and OldNYIfan liked this.
    Jun. 13, 2022 at 3:25 p.m.
    #6
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    Minnesota declines. They aren't committing that money to a G , nor are they going to restrict Jesper wallstedt to take place in 1-2 year. Minnesota wouldn't show any interest
    Jun. 13, 2022 at 3:25 p.m.
    #7
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    Quoting: csick
    I think it’ll be something like

    Samsonov
    Hagelin
    Protas
    2022 1st


    Would be completely fine with that
    OldNYIfan and csick liked this.
    Jun. 13, 2022 at 3:27 p.m.
    #8
    Lenny7
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    Quoting: csick
    The Edmonton one is close. Edmonton still needs to add a little bit but the rest are pretty far off


    Agreed. If the best offers are a late 1st, cap dump and decent prospect, I'd just keep him and use some of the draft capital/prospects/abundance of cap space to actually upgrade the team.
    OldNYIfan and csick liked this.
    Jun. 13, 2022 at 3:27 p.m.
    #9
    Lenny7
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    Quoting: qc14
    Would be completely fine with that


    I just don't know why Sammy would be involved, TBH. I get that Washington would have to move a goalie, but Stolarz/Dostal would immediately be the tandem in Anaheim.
    Jun. 13, 2022 at 3:27 p.m.
    #10
    Trad Breliving
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    Gibson is very hard to judge.

    He really hasn’t been spectacular for a few years now, but neither has the team in front of him.

    So is it worth the gamble?

    His contract also makes it super tough.
    drambui and rookescr96 liked this.
    Jun. 13, 2022 at 3:29 p.m.
    #11
    Once a Kings Fan Too
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    The Kuemper deal is a good comparable, but I think you're overlooking the fact that he was signed for only one year and Gibson is signed for 5. Anyone trading for Gibson has already made the decision that he's their starting goaltender for at least 4 of those 5 years. (Not that I'm saying that he's entitled to return four times what Kuemper brought; just that the cost will be considerably higher than just a late first and an A prospect.)
    csick and ZachHymanForTheHart liked this.
    Jun. 13, 2022 at 3:32 p.m.
    #12
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    Quoting: Lenny7
    I just don't know why Sammy would be involved, TBH. I get that Washington would have to move a goalie, but Stolarz/Dostal would immediately be the tandem in Anaheim.


    Yea if they don't want him thats fine and the caps would just move him in a separate trade. I feel like the Ducks would see value in taking a flyer on Sammy rather than rely on just a career backup and a 21 yo who probably needs another year in the AHL next year. He definitely wouldn't be the centerpiece of any deal though
    Lenny7 and OldNYIfan liked this.
    Jun. 13, 2022 at 3:32 p.m.
    #13
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    Quoting: OldNYIfan
    The Kuemper deal is a good comparable, but I think you're overlooking the fact that he was signed for only one year and Gibson is signed for 5. Anyone trading for Gibson has already made the decision that he's their starting goaltender for at least 4 of those 5 years. (Not that I'm saying that he's entitled to return four times what Kuemper brought; just that the cost will be considerably higher than just a late first and an A prospect.)


    i think the fact the he is signed four 5 years might lower his value more than raise it. long comitment for a goalie who has been subpar foe the last 3 years.
    qc14 and WN88 liked this.
    Jun. 13, 2022 at 3:34 p.m.
    #14
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    Quoting: OldNYIfan
    The Kuemper deal is a good comparable, but I think you're overlooking the fact that he was signed for only one year and Gibson is signed for 5. Anyone trading for Gibson has already made the decision that he's their starting goaltender for at least 4 of those 5 years. (Not that I'm saying that he's entitled to return four times what Kuemper brought; just that the cost will be considerably higher than just a late first and an A prospect.)


    Contract goes the other way too, should your really give up more assets for the privilege of playing a goalie with an injury history and a ton of games under his belt already 6.4 mil until he's 34?
    Jun. 13, 2022 at 3:36 p.m.
    #15
    Lenny7
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    Quoting: qc14
    Yea if they don't want him thats fine and the caps would just move him in a separate trade. I feel like the Ducks would see value in taking a flyer on Sammy rather than rely on just a career backup and a 21 yo who probably needs another year in the AHL next year. He definitely wouldn't be the centerpiece of any deal though


    From the Ducks end, I'd personally rather see a bit more quality than Sammy+Protas. I like Protas, but I don't really see where he fits long term with Anaheim, especially with the kids coming up. I get that it's a big ask, but I don't think you move Gibby just for the sake of moving him.
    csick, OldNYIfan and qc14 liked this.
    Jun. 13, 2022 at 3:36 p.m.
    #16
    KFTW
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    Quoting: Lenny7
    Agreed. If the best offers are a late 1st, cap dump and decent prospect, I'd just keep him and use some of the draft capital/prospects/abundance of cap space to actually upgrade the team.


    I also think it’s very likely Anaheim gets back a second conditional pick based on Gibson’s performance next year or team performance. (Equate to same thing)
    OldNYIfan liked this.
    Jun. 13, 2022 at 3:37 p.m.
    #17
    Once a Kings Fan Too
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    Quoting: drambui
    i think the fact the he is signed four 5 years might lower his value more than raise it. long comitment for a goalie who has been subpar foe the last 3 years.


    Quoting: qc14
    Contract goes the other way too, should your really give up more assets for the privilege of playing a goalie with an injury history and a ton of games under his belt already 6.4 mil until he's 34?


    34 is old for a defenseman, even older for a forward, but not for a goalie. Actual GMs have made the decision that it's sensible to sign goalies like Hellebuyck and Vassilevskiy until they're 34.
    csick liked this.
    Jun. 13, 2022 at 3:37 p.m.
    #18
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    Why are the Oilers paying more than anyone else??
    Jun. 13, 2022 at 3:42 p.m.
    #19
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    rookescr96
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    Quoting: csick
    The Edmonton one is close. Edmonton still needs to add a little bit but the rest are pretty far off


    Can only really go off of history. And not many goalies have been traded for much more than a prospect and a 1st round pick. Personally I think Gibson is really good but he has had his up and downs through the past couple of years and has a big cap hit. So I personally think the return is going to be lower than people think
    Jun. 13, 2022 at 3:43 p.m.
    #20
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    rookescr96
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    Quoting: Wildnochance
    Minnesota declines. They aren't committing that money to a G , nor are they going to restrict Jesper wallstedt to take place in 1-2 year. Minnesota wouldn't show any interest


    You have to be careful rushing goaltending prospects though, just ask Philly how Carter Hart is doing. Especially because even if Wallstedt is ready to go in 2 to 3 years, Minni is in a win now mode so would need a goalie to compete for those 3 years of transition
    Jun. 13, 2022 at 3:43 p.m.
    #21
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    Quoting: Lenny7
    Agreed. If the best offers are a late 1st, cap dump and decent prospect, I'd just keep him and use some of the draft capital/prospects/abundance of cap space to actually upgrade the team.


    Quoting: Lenny7
    From the Ducks end, I'd personally rather see a bit more quality than Sammy+Protas. I like Protas, but I don't really see where he fits long term with Anaheim, especially with the kids coming up. I get that it's a big ask, but I don't think you move Gibby just for the sake of moving him.


    Trust me I absolutely hate the mindset that if you aren't going to make the conference final you should sell everyone over the age of 25, and that's completely fair. Also fair to want more quality than samsonov + protas, but I just don't know how much quality the caps have to give. I think McMichael is completely off limits for everyone not named DeBrincat, Pastrnak, or PLD, Fehervary too maybe Chychrun in addition. Does one of Lapierre/Iorio/Alexeyev and a first get it done? maybe, but I could easily see both Anaheim getting a better offer and the caps thinking that they should be getting someone better than gibson back if they are going to move both in the same deal.
    Jun. 13, 2022 at 3:44 p.m.
    #22
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    rookescr96
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    Quoting: CD282
    Why are the Oilers paying more than anyone else??


    Cuz I'm an oilers fan and want them to get Gibson hahahaha. Bourgault is definitely the higher end of prospects i've used in these trades but their first round pick is very late in the first round
    OldNYIfan liked this.
    Jun. 13, 2022 at 3:46 p.m.
    #23
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    rookescr96
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    Quoting: OldNYIfan
    The Kuemper deal is a good comparable, but I think you're overlooking the fact that he was signed for only one year and Gibson is signed for 5. Anyone trading for Gibson has already made the decision that he's their starting goaltender for at least 4 of those 5 years. (Not that I'm saying that he's entitled to return four times what Kuemper brought; just that the cost will be considerably higher than just a late first and an A prospect.)


    Ya it is a very good point. Personally when i saw the Keumper return I thought he for sure would've come/agreed to a contract extension right away. So hard to say because Colorado was pretty desperate for a goalie at that point too
    OldNYIfan liked this.
    Jun. 13, 2022 at 3:50 p.m.
    #24
    Lenny7
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    Quoting: qc14
    Trust me I absolutely hate the mindset that if you aren't going to make the conference final you should sell everyone over the age of 25, and that's completely fair. Also fair to want more quality than samsonov + protas, but I just don't know how much quality the caps have to give. I think McMichael is completely off limits for everyone not named DeBrincat, Pastrnak, or PLD, Fehervary too maybe Chychrun in addition. Does Lapierre/Iorio/Alexeyev and a first get it done? maybe, but I could easily see both Anaheim getting a better offer and the caps thinking that they should be getting someone better than gibson back if they are going to move both in the same deal.


    Yeah, it's hard to say with the Caps. I honestly think whatever team tries to acquire Gibby is doing so knowing that he's the number 1 guy for the next 4-5 years, and that it's not going to be cheap to do. Honestly, if I was Washington I'd be trying to upgrade my D first.
    OldNYIfan liked this.
    Jun. 13, 2022 at 3:51 p.m.
    #25
    Osiecki death stare
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    There's no shot Minnesota would trade a 1st for Gibson.
    Wildnochance liked this.
     
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