Former NHL Executive
Joined: Sep. 2023
Posts: 702
Likes: 156
Was thinking about this recently. Do you feel it would be beneficial to abolish the draft.
I have 2 main concerns with the draft:
1. We seem to be wasting the best years of many top talents on a ****ty team. Eichel on Buffalo, McDavid on Edmonton, Jones in Nashville then Columbus now Chicago, Bedard on Chicago, etc.
2. There is no incentive for ****ty teams like Arizona to improve. They play in their college arena with no fans and no consequences cause they'll just pick high and get good players and get their payment from Toronto/NY at the end of the year to keep them afloat. Players are essentially forced to waste 9 years of their life there until they become UFAs.
So how can we fix this?
I'm proposing a hybrid draft. So you'd have a "Primary Draft" and a "Secondary Draft"
The primary draft would be Day 1 of the draft. The week before, NHL teams could meet with prospects and pitch their team to them. To "pick" a player in the primary draft, you'd need to sign them to an ELC before Day 1 of the draft. Also, the first player you sign in the primary draft costs you your own 1st round pick that year, and the 2nd player costs you your 2nd round pick, if you want to sign more than 2, then you need to acquire another team's 1st round pick.
So the first day of the draft, the "Primary" draft would consist of each team announcing its signings. If every team used both its picks to sign players in the "primary" draft then essentially the 1st and 2nd rounds would be players choosing their teams instead of teams choosing the players.
The second day of the draft would be what we currently have but minus any picks used in the "primary draft" so if every team signed two players except for Arizona who signed zero in the primary draft then every team would have used their 1st and 2nd round picks so the draft would be Arizona's 1st, Arizona's 2nd then the 3rd round starts.
Why this format?
The dual format keeps some level of balance between all the franchises. Toronto can't just get the rights to every Toronto born player every year. They can only get 2 and then if they want more they need to acquire 1sts.
If a team struggles in the Primary draft they get priority in the secondary draft to provide some balance.
The fact that you NEED to sign players to ELCs is also a big factor cause teams have a max 50 contracts so you can't just accumulate the rights to loads of prospects, each prospect you sign is one less AHL/NHL player so you need to be careful about using those contract slots on an 18 year old who will take it up for the next 3-5 years.
What could be the result?
The idea that top picks automatically "fix" teams is absurd. Edmonton picked in the top 5 every year for like 7/8 years and it still took 10 years to make the playoffs. Buffalo constantly has top 10 picks and struggles to make the playoffs. The truth is that these organizations are fundamentally flawed in their decision making and that high draft picks just help them cover those flaws.
The hope is that this system would force teams to actually fix what makes them unattractive since they now need to attract all top talent.
Another thing that should benefit is investment in youth hockey and retention of franchise icons. Arizona is a great example of this. They had massive investment in youth hockey 10-15 years ago and that led to players like Knies and Matthews who are now in Toronto. Arizona has now drastically cut back its funding for youth hockey. If this system existed both those guys could be in Arizona, they would be fan favourites and idols for the young players who could go watch them every week. This would encourage more young people to play hockey, encourage Arizona to invest in minor hockey and build a strong system. The truth is they invested all this money just to see its top players go to Toronto. It might seem "fair" when that happens to Toronto born players but places like Arizona (Matthews), Winnipeg (Toews), can't afford to keep losing their homegrown talent cause it kills their local ecosystems.
Another type of investment that should change would be investment in foreign markets. Imagine the Edmonton Oilers are struggling to attract players, they could invest heavily in Germany's youth hockey system with Draisaitl at the front of that campaign and try to attract all the future top German players (like Stutzle) to build their team around. We could see other teams like Columbus do this in Austria (Reinbacher) or LA in Slovakia (Kopitar) and actually start to grow the game around the world and have a real economic incentive to do so instead of just random foreign games the NHL puts on. This has worked really well in Soccer and Baseball where MLB teams have programs in Cuba, Dominican, Japan and more.. In Soccer, European teams have academies in Brazil, Argentina, Canada, Mexico, etc to train and develop talent to come to the European leagues when they get older.
Last change
The last change I'd make if the league adopted this would be to lower the UFA age from 27 to 24 so that the advantage of signing top prospects is a bit less and players can move more.
Just Imagine
If Bedard has been able to choose to play with his idol in Crosby this year and help him win 1 more cup then be the core of the Penguins rebuilt.
OR
If Bedard had been able to choose to play with his idol Matthews and fix Toronto's 3rd line center hole and help break a 50+ year cup drought.
Maybe Michkov decides not to resign in the KHL if he knew he could choose to play with Ovi this year.
How different is the situation in Arizona if Matthews signs there to pay with Doan? Arizona was 9th in the West the year before Matthews debut. Does he turn them into a playoff team? He took Toronto from last to a playoff team (with help)? Does he help attract other players to Arizona to play with him?
I know that this is a crazy idea but the more you think about it the more sense I think it makes.