What This Team Could Look Like April 16th 2024

Forums/Armchair-GM

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Created by: CaseyFlyman

Team: 2023-24 Columbus Blue Jackets

Initial Creation Date: Dec. 20, 2023

Published: Dec. 20, 2023

Salary Cap Mode: Basic

Description

Based on results so far, this is what I could see the roster looking like by the end of the season. I actually like what Paz has done with the system so far, but Jarmo likely gets fired in the offseason to signal a leadership change. Players on the chopping block include:

Bemstrom: He's an RFA and probably doesn't fit the long-term plans, but he's looked good recently
Peeke: Pleasge get this man off my team
Bean: He's a UFA, and there's better 3LD in the system. Trade him to a contender looking for depth D
Roslovic: He probably doesn't have a spot on the roster when he comes back from injury, let alone long-term. Hasn't been a fit, move him to a contender half-retained.
Provorov: What's the point of keeping a Mateychuk-placeholder when Mateychuk becomes NHL-ready? Sell him for essentially even-value to cost of acquisition

And controversially:
Laine: I don't know what else to say other than he doesn't look right. There's flashes of game-changing power and skill, but 99% of the time he's just coasting or turning over the puck. Find a hockey trade for a team looking at reclaiming his value.
Jenner: Look, I don't know that there's a more valuable realistic trade chip on the roster. Nothing signals "the results aren't good enough" like trading your captain and franchise games-played record holder. This sets us up for a massive leadership change and culture change. The bidding war for a player like Jenner yields a massive haul for the future. Maybe we move some picks for NHL-players in the offseason, like last year.

Players rumored to be on the move that stay put:
Merzlikins: I just don't think there's a non-Campbell swap that makes sense for this team, and the price of a Campbell swap is something Edmonton likely isn't willing to pay. He stays put until the goalie of the future, Jet Greaves, is ready.
Boqvist: He's, IMO, one of the 6 best defensemen on the roster now. May or may not have a long-term spot, but he's signed through next year so we punt on that decision.

Lines are based on what's working now (based on Moneypuck), and what might make sense.

If there's enough discussion on it, maybe I'll make a revision 2 later.

Trades

CBJ

Olausson, Oskar
2024 1st round pick (COL)
2025 1st round pick (COL)

Additional Details:

Colorado gets a legit 2C, with an insanely good cap hit and term. It costs an arm and a leg, considering the retention and bidding war if Jenner became available.

COL

Jenner, Boone ($1,875,000 retained)

Additional Details:

Columbus gets essentially three 1sts for trading the captain, and retaining on what's already one of the best contracts in the league.

CBJ

Zegras, Trevor

Additional Details:

Swap of two underperforming, injured forwards. A hockey trade, but Anaheim gets a 2nd and Peeke (an NHL defenseman who needs a change of scenery too) for taking back the much higher cap hit, and for giving up arguably the better player.

ANA

Laine, Patrik
Peeke, Andrew
2025 2nd round pick (CBJ)

Additional Details:

Columbus trims some of the fat, moving two players who could use a change for a longer-term piece.

CBJ

2024 2nd round pick (PIT)

Additional Details:

Pittsburgh, assuming they're still in contention for a wild card spot, make a deadline move for a scoring forward who can play center.

Could be another team as well. I also considered POJ and a lesser pick coming back instead, so let me know if you'd prefer that.

PIT

Roslovic, Jack ($2,000,000 retained)

Additional Details:

Columbus sells a UFA half-retained for futures.

CBJ

2024 3rd round pick (NJD)

Additional Details:

NJ picks up some defensive depth with Dougie on LTIR until the playoffs, and doesn't pay much to do so.

NJD

Bean, Jake ($1,000,000 retained)
2024 5th round pick (CBJ)

Additional Details:

Columbus upgrades a pick by selling a UFA, in a quality over quantity move. Of note, they use their final retention slot here for 2024.

CBJ

Dillon, Brenden
2024 1st round pick (WPG)
2025 3rd round pick (WPG)

Additional Details:

WPG upgrades their 2nd pair, with a good puck moving defenseman on a decent contract with term.

WPG

Provorov, Ivan

Additional Details:

Columbus recoup some assets, effectively receiving the can kicked down the road last year. If Mateychuk is ready, Provorov is redundant.

Dillon gets flipped for additional picks or prospects at the deadline.

CBJ

Reaves, Ryan
2024 4th round pick (TOR)
2024 5th round pick (TOR)
2025 3rd round pick (TOR)

Additional Details:

Toronto gets Reaves off the books, and an NHL defenseman with some physicality, all for relatively cheap.

TOR

Dillon, Brenden

Additional Details:

Columbus moves a UFA for picks, and buys out Reaves in the offseason ($450,000 cap hit for 4 seasons).

I don't really have a good read on the value here so LMK.

CBJ

Bankier, Caedan

Additional Details:

The Wild look to get some cheap depth and a bargain on an inconsistent player that has upside and can play throughout the lineup.

MIN

Bemström, Emil
2024 4th round pick (CBJ)

Additional Details:

Columbus pays for a prospect at a position of need, hoping to essentially upgrade one of the now abundant draft picks with a player that may contribute a few years sooner.

Buyouts

Alexander Wennberg: $891,667

Retained Salary Transactions

Boone Jenner: $1,875,000 (50%)
Jack Roslovic: $2,000,000 (100%)
Jake Bean: $1,000,000 (42.86%)

Draft	Round 1	Round 2	Round 3	Round 4	Round 5	Round 6	Round 7
2024
2025
2026

ROSTER

LONG-TERM OUTLOOK

EMBED

TEXT-EMBED

ROSTER SIZE	SALARY CAP	CAP HIT	OVERAGES	BONUSES	CAP SPACE
23	$83,500,000	$66,474,166	$0	$7,832,500	$17,025,834

Left Wing	Centre	Right Wing
Gaudreau, Johnny $9,750,000$9,750,000 LW NMC UFA - 6	Fantilli, Adam $950,000$950,000 ($3,200,000$3M) C RFA - 3	Zegras, Trevor $5,750,000$5,750,000 C, LW RFA - 3
Chinakhov, Yegor $800,000$800,000 RW, LW RFA - 1	Voronkov, Dmitri $925,000$925,000 LW, C, RW RFA - 2	Marchenko, Kirill $925,000$925,000 ($850,000$850K) RW RFA - 1
Johnson, Kent $925,000$925,000 ($1,850,000$2M) LW, C RFA - 1	Sillinger, Cole $925,000$925,000 ($850,000$850K) C RFA - 1	Danforth, Justin $975,000$975,000 RW, C UFA - 1
Texier, Alexandre $1,525,000$1,525,000 LW, C, RW RFA - 1	Kuraly, Sean $2,500,000$2,500,000 C, LW M-NTC UFA - 2	Olivier, Mathieu $1,100,000$1,100,000 RW UFA - 2
		Reaves, Ryan $1,350,000$1,350,000 RW UFA - 3

Left Defense	Right Defense	Goaltender
Werenski, Zachary $9,583,333$9,583,333 LD NMC UFA - 5	Severson, Damon $6,250,000$6,250,000 RD NTC UFA - 8	Merzlikins, Elvis $5,400,000$5,400,000 G M-NTC UFA - 4
Mateychuk, Denton $918,333$918,333 LD RFA - 4	Jiricek, David $918,333$918,333 ($1,000,000$1M) RD RFA - 3	Tarasov, Daniil $1,050,000$1,050,000 G RFA - 2
Svozil, Stanislav $825,000$825,000 ($82,500$82K) LD RFA - 3	Gudbranson, Erik $4,000,000$4,000,000 RD M-NTC UFA - 3	Martin, Spencer $762,500$762,500 G UFA - 1
	Boqvist, Adam $2,600,000$2,600,000 RD RFA - 2

Dec. 20, 2023 at 5:07 p.m.

TMLBRIAN

Joined: May 2018

Posts: 9,644

Likes: 4,219

Leafs accept that. I think that is a steal of a deal for the Leafs.

That Colorado trade would require Columbus to send 2 picks back to Colorado as well. Maybe 2 x 3rds.

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Dec. 20, 2023 at 5:12 p.m.

ArakinSkywalker

Dr.

Joined: May 2019

Posts: 2,565

Likes: 1,472

i think i'd probily do the jenner trade. That leave us cap for another add this deadline as well which could really strengthen the playoff push.

CaseyFlyman liked this.

Dec. 20, 2023 at 5:15 p.m.

swissmontana

Joined: May 2023

Posts: 998

Likes: 1,178

i personally think the avs should save their 2 first round picks for syd but that's just me /s

avs aren't parking with 2 firsts.

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Dec. 20, 2023 at 5:15 p.m.

swissmontana

Joined: May 2023

Posts: 998

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Quoting: ArakinSkywalker

i think i'd probily do the jenner trade. That leave us cap for another add this deadline as well which could really strengthen the playoff push.

two firsts! two!

MeetYourMakar and TJTwolf liked this.

Dec. 20, 2023 at 5:15 p.m.

Windjammer

Joined: Jul. 2020

Posts: 16,367

Likes: 7,275

No from Winnipeg. No need for another LHD, the Jets have tons of internal options that cost far less.

RationalHockeyFan and CanMerc liked this.

Dec. 20, 2023 at 5:16 p.m.

OldNYIfan

Once a Kings Fan Too

Joined: Jun. 2018

Posts: 41,149

Likes: 25,913

I can't see Anaheim trading a young guy on the sunny side of the hill with at least four more years of team control for a short-term guy who's never really achieved the heights hoped for him. Even though he'll only be 26 next year, Laine's two seasons of an $8.7 million cap hit on an underwater contract doesn't really fit Anaheim's window.

palhal liked this.

Dec. 20, 2023 at 5:17 p.m.

CaseyFlyman

Thread Starter

Joined: Sep. 2018

Posts: 2,299

Likes: 2,036

Quoting: TMLBRIAN

Leafs accept that. I think that is a steal of a deal for the Leafs.

That Colorado trade would require Columbus to send 2 picks back to Colorado as well. Maybe 2 x 3rds.

For the Leafs, if I did a 2nd revision, what do you think even value would be? And I don't know about sending picks back, not opposed to it but I think there's other teams that would be willing to make the deal without the extra picks.

Dec. 20, 2023 at 5:21 p.m.

CaseyFlyman

Thread Starter

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Quoting: Windjammer

No from Winnipeg. No need for another LHD, the Jets have tons of internal options that cost far less.

That's fair, so a longer-term option isn't a need. How are you feeling about the D-men that are there already? Genuine curiosity, I don't know that much about Winnipeg.

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Dec. 20, 2023 at 5:21 p.m.

ArakinSkywalker

Dr.

Joined: May 2019

Posts: 2,565

Likes: 1,472

Quoting: swissmontana

two firsts! two!

i mean if they can get syd sure you go with him retained but this is a 2C for 3 years at 1.8. Even if he regresses he'd still be one of the top 3C's for 1.8 the following two years. i think it gives us too good of depth piece down the center for playoffs that it would be worth 2 firsts. Odds are even if we drafted those two players neither would be playing till the 2027 season. I'm always more for win now and pay the price later though.

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Dec. 20, 2023 at 5:22 p.m.

#10

swissmontana

Joined: May 2023

Posts: 998

Likes: 1,178

Quoting: ArakinSkywalker

yeah, i see what you mean. 2 firsts is just a lot. the only 2 firsts trade i can recall in the past 5 seasons was the EK one.

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Dec. 20, 2023 at 5:22 p.m.

#11

Altar7358

Joined: Dec. 2022

Posts: 516

Likes: 328

Quoting: swissmontana

i personally think the avs should save their 2 first round picks for syd but that's just me /s

avs aren't parking with 2 firsts.

For 3 years having a 2C for less than 2 million I think it would be well worth it and give us a ton of cap flexibility. The next 3 years will be our worst cap years as well if landy comes back. Now in real life I don’t think the jackets would be willing to retain for 3 years on such a good contract

TJTwolf liked this.

Dec. 20, 2023 at 5:24 p.m.

#12

GeneralLandro

Joined: Jun. 2021

Posts: 16,096

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Not even close for Anaheim

Dec. 20, 2023 at 5:24 p.m.

#13

TMLBRIAN

Joined: May 2018

Posts: 9,644

Likes: 4,219

Quoting: CaseyFlyman

Boone at 50% would be a worth ALOT. I agree with you there. But you have the value listed at 3 x 1st round picks. That's too much.

As for the Leafs trade, I am not sure. Last time Dillon was traded it was for 2 x 2nds. He is having a solid year also. I doubt Winnipeg makes that trade to begin with.

Maybe Reaves + 1st for Dillon and a 3rd? Preferably 50% retained.

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Dec. 20, 2023 at 5:24 p.m.

#14

ArakinSkywalker

Dr.

Joined: May 2019

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Likes: 1,472

Quoting: swissmontana

yeah, i see what you mean. 2 firsts is just a lot. the only 2 firsts trade i can recall in the past 5 seasons was the EK one.

ohh yeah big pill to swallow and looks rough on paper but hopefully they're 32nd overall and if you win the cup the pain of moving 1sts is eased quite a bit haha

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Dec. 20, 2023 at 5:25 p.m.

#15

CaseyFlyman

Thread Starter

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Quoting: OldNYIfan

In fairness, Laine is only 3 years older and they have the same term remaining on their deals. Laine is still a long-term option for any team that would potentially add him, and his next deal theoretically costs less (particularly when Anaheim and Columbus are probably looking to compete). I'm not saying it absolutely makes sense for Anaheim, but Laine does get an unfair perception from time to time IMO.

Dec. 20, 2023 at 5:27 p.m.

#16

Altar7358

Joined: Dec. 2022

Posts: 516

Likes: 328

Quoting: swissmontana

yeah, i see what you mean. 2 firsts is just a lot. the only 2 firsts trade i can recall in the past 5 seasons was the EK one.

Lightning with hagel as well. Would be for a guy on an equally good contract imo. I think Jenner would be just a fine 2C nothing more but that would allow us so much flexibility

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Dec. 20, 2023 at 5:29 p.m.

#17

CaseyFlyman

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Quoting: TMLBRIAN

3 1sts is a TON, but I think the market drives up the price to that point. How often does a 2C at $1.8M with term come available? What team wouldn't want that?

Sounds like WPG is a no, so the Reaves trade may not happen in that case. If it did, and Columbus has a retention slot, I'd take that.

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Dec. 20, 2023 at 5:30 p.m.

#18

CaseyFlyman

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Quoting: GeneralLandro

Not even close for Anaheim

What is close? And would Anaheim even consider moving Zegras? With Laine, CBJ would definitely be looking for a hockey trade, and with his cap hit the options are slim.

Dec. 20, 2023 at 5:32 p.m.

#19

JuanDamienNebraska

Joined: Jan. 2023

Posts: 2,446

Likes: 1,271

Even with retention, Roslovic wouldn’t fit under the Pens’ cap. We would have to involve a third team for double retention. With Puustinen emerging at RW, it’s just not necessary or worth it. Also, being that Roslovic is coming off of a fractured ankle, I’d expect a 3rd (+ maybe a small sweetener), not a 2nd. Ya never know though, maybe a team will pay a 2nd, but it shouldn’t be the Pens.

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Dec. 20, 2023 at 5:51 p.m.

#20

OldNYIfan

Once a Kings Fan Too

Joined: Jun. 2018

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Quoting: CaseyFlyman

My antipathy for Laine isn't general and personal but specific vis-a-vis Zegras in this trade because No, they don't have the same term remaining on their deals -- Zegras is a RFA with at least 2 years under team control after the current contract expires (if Anaheim so desires) and Laine is a UFA after two seasons, and there's no assurance that he and Anaheim would agree on a deal even if the Ducks wanted to keep him.

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Dec. 20, 2023 at 6:00 p.m.

#21

CaseyFlyman

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Quoting: OldNYIfan

Ah that's what I misunderstood. Yeah, that's valid, although he extended in Columbus so chances are good he'd extend in Anaheim too.

Dec. 20, 2023 at 6:02 p.m.

#22

Mr_Canoehead

Joined: Oct. 2019

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Quoting: CaseyFlyman

That's fair, so a longer-term option isn't a need. How are you feeling about the D-men that are there already? Genuine curiosity, I don't know that much about Winnipeg.

I know you didn't ask me specifically, but I'll chime in:
- Morrissey is the best one on defense.
- Pionk has bounced back this year and the Jets don't have alot of RHD depth.
- Dillon and DeMelo are the two pending UFAs, but the Jets are comfortably in a playoff spot so I think they will keep them as the "own rental". They may try to re-sign one or both
- Samberg has been playing sheltered minutes on the third pair with Schmidt and if Dillon moves on then I could see the Jets moving him up to 2LD. Schmidt is a servicable bottom pairing guy, but his contract is not efficient.
- Heinola has potential and yesterday Bowness said that if Heinola didn't get injured he was going to be on the opening day lineup.
- Stanley and Chisholm have been the 7/8 guys because they require waivers to go down to the AHL. Stanley was once ahead of Samberg and Heinola on the organizational depth chart so he has stagnated. Chisholm seems promising, but who knows with not may NHL games under his belt.

Edit: they have the kid Salomonssen in Sweden and The Athletic have him being a 4/5 NHL defenseman eventually (and he is right handed)

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Dec. 20, 2023 at 6:08 p.m.

#23

Windjammer

Joined: Jul. 2020

Posts: 16,367

Likes: 7,275

Edited Dec. 20, 2023 at 6:13 p.m.

Quoting: CaseyFlyman

That's fair, so a longer-term option isn't a need. How are you feeling about the D-men that are there already? Genuine curiosity, I don't know that much about Winnipeg.

It's just one year really and that's a lot to pay for one year of a guy that isn't really needed. Dylan Samberg likely takes over 2LD next year if they don't bring back Dillon. And there's Declan Chisholm behind Samberg that will be looking for ice time.

If the Jets are spending those kind of assets it needs to be for a top 4 RHD or top sixer, preferably 2C.

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Dec. 20, 2023 at 6:14 p.m.

#24

JJHockey_15

BruinsFan2003

Joined: Sep. 2022

Posts: 102

Likes: 27

Boone Jenner isn’t worth 2 first round picks and a prospect. He’s one first round pick at most.

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Dec. 20, 2023 at 6:41 p.m.

#25

CanMerc

Joined: Dec. 2023

Posts: 543

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Jets decline
What the realistic cost for Jenner and/or Severson

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