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CMcAvoy73

Member Since
Apr. 12, 2021
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Forum: Armchair-GMApr. 27, 2022 at 8:14 p.m.
Thread: How do we feel about the first round matchup
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>CMcAvoy73</b></div><div>I’m not. You’re confusing the english language with something else. Just google it dude. There are online dictionaries. Or just sound it out. Probability….probable…hey we found a root word.

I’m guessing maybe you heard this in some intro to stats class or something like that, but missed the day on dependent and independent events, or mutually exclusive events, compound events, even complementary events.

What you think you’re doing is saying “flipping a coin has two events, heads or tails. 50:50. Same with a hockey series.” A coin flip is what is known in statistics as a “simple event.”

What you’re actually doing is saying (and this is a very hyperbolic example for effect): “If a feather and a pebble are dropped from a height of 10,000 feet, there is an equal probability that the feather or rock will hit the ground first. Two outcomes, one event. 50:50. I know gravity and aerodynamics don’t agree here, but maybe a bird is flying by at the exact same time and the rock lands on the birds back and is carried away.”

To which someone that understands simple events vs the other types of events listed would say, “uhhh, okay, go through the probabilities of that bird flying by at that exact time.”</div></div>

well you are defintly wrong in the part you assumes things about me... and im not really sure about the relevance about what you are saying about that first part with sounding it out.

but i see the rest of your points. I feel i did not use the world probablity correctly and had aifferent idea (a simplified one) about its meaning. you just won an online argument!
Forum: Armchair-GMApr. 25, 2022 at 6:41 p.m.
Thread: Price and Weber Retire
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>CMcAvoy73</b></div><div>The description makes it sound like you think they’re retiring, rather than going on LTIR.

0% chance that happens. I think that would cost Price 31.25M, and Weber, 6M. They aren’t doing that. There is a chance that neither play again and spend the next four years on LTIR, but LTIR doesn’t exactly equate to “free cap space.” It can be used, so it is very useful, but it isn’t exactly the same.</div></div>

LTIRetirement will also not work for the Habs with both or even just Price. Since you can only be over the cap by 10% in the offseason (8.25 this year) you would have a team cap of about 72 million not 82.5 million if both wound up on LTIR. And that is before accounting for any bonuses from this year that will roll over.
Forum: Armchair-GMApr. 21, 2022 at 9:18 a.m.
Forum: Armchair-GMMar. 28, 2022 at 3:54 p.m.
Forum: Trade Machine ProposalsMar. 19, 2022 at 12:31 a.m.