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Itchy22

Member Since
May 25, 2020
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Toronto Maple Leafs
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St. Louis Blues
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Forum: Armchair-GMJun. 14, 2022 at 10:10 a.m.
Thread: Definitely need to make a push
John Gibson's last 3 seasons combined (142 GP):

.904 SV%
3.07 GAA
-19.1 GSAA

And before you say that Anaheim was a bad team, here are his backup's numbers in those 3 season:

2019-20: .908 SV%, 3.05 GAA, -2.1 GSAA (combined Ryan Miller's 20 starts and Anthony Stolarz's 1 start)
2020-21: .882 SV%, 3.51 GAA, -11.2 GSAA (Ryan Miller's 14 starts)
.926 SV%, 2.20 GAA, 4.2 GSAA (Anthony Stolarz's 7 starts)
2021-22: .916 SV%, 2.71 GAA, 8.2 GSAA (combining Stolarz's 23 starts with Luka Dostal's 3 starts)

So with the exception of 40 year old Ryan Miller, Gibson's numbers have been equal to or worse than his backup's - so it's hard for me to even say "well he's putting up bad numbers on a bad team" when the guys starting 1/3 of the games every year do better than he does.

It's just a biggggg contract to take on and give up as many assets as you have Toronto giving up here for something that is far from a sure thing.
Forum: Armchair-GMAug. 4, 2021 at 12:59 p.m.
Forum: Armchair-GMJul. 9, 2020 at 3:35 p.m.
Thread: Captain Crunch
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Itchy22</b></div><div>what prediction tool do you use? I have referred to this model lately but doesn;t account for term/bridge. <a href="https://dobberhockey.com/2020/02/20/capped-prediction-model-for-free-agents/" rel="nofollow noreferrer noopener" target="_blank">https://dobberhockey.com/2020/02/20/capped-prediction-model-for-free-agents/</a></div></div>

he's likely using EW where Serg is listed at 6.5x8 and Cirelli at 5.812x6. Due to the cap crunch and no arbitration rights, neither will be correct

<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Itchy22</b></div><div>It could be safe to assume that Cirelli &amp; Sergachev will come in around $9.5m-$10m combined on the cap on 3 year bridge deals, no? I would think TBAY has a $10m cap issue that could be solved by moving 2 players. Problem is Killorn is the only one that doesn't have an NTC...</div></div>

Johnson's NTC becomes modified next year, if he doesnt want to end up on in somewhere randomly he will likely choose a couple locations he's willing to waive to this off season.