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SGB88
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Jul. 27, 2021
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Forum:
Armchair-GM
Feb. 8 at 3:46 p.m.
Thread:
Finishing touches
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>SomeonesOffended</b></div><div>Leafs likely accept but you can drop the retention lol</div></div>
I'm all for dropping it obviously.
I thought Leafs would want to reduce the cap space hit with it being a cap-negative move. Retention could also go through Philly with a little more paid by Toronto if they want the space.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Feb. 8 at 2:39 p.m.
Thread:
Buchnevich
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>AC14</b></div><div>Well it’s also a question of how valuable is RFA status when the QO is 10m</div></div>
Very valuable. The whole qualifying offer thing is such a red herring. Look at Tkachuk, which was technically a sign and trade, but there's really no difference (it's just the differnt between having a handshake deal before the trade which was done all the time in the past and firm contract). Team control to get a long-term contract for these types of players is considered valuable.
It was clear last year that teams valued that RFA control.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Feb. 8 at 1:15 p.m.
Thread:
Buchnevich
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>BDHockey</b></div><div>I would give him the same value as Timo Meier roughly. I don't think a quality prospect and late first is too much to ask.</div></div>
I was going to say definitely worth less than Meiers, but taking another look maybe not so far off. From how good the players are and how they should be valued you're probably right that they should be valued the same or even Buch valued more. But trades are weird and often based more on the market's perception of the player's value and I would say that he falls a step below Meiers at the times of the respective trades. Meiers was seen as a star winger part of it due to his power-forward status and I'd say Buch as seen as a 1st line winger.
I broke down his value in another post using Toffoli, which I think is probably the better comp (although does require some adjustment for the third year). But like I said after a second look, Meiers isn't an unreasonable comp other than how you value RFA status versus 1 more year of cheap contract.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Feb. 8 at 1:00 p.m.
Thread:
Flyers TDL
If you are trading Laughton, I would love him for the Canucks.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Feb. 8 at 12:59 p.m.
Thread:
Brad
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>The_Rocket</b></div><div>I think a reduced role and tochett’s system will get the best out of him. Plus Zadorov is playing 3rd pair minutes right now anyways</div></div>
Also, Bertuzzi 5.5m is being paid as a top 6 winger, Bertuzzi at 3.75m is being paid as a middle six winger. That really helps balance the value. I don't mind it although I would rather target Domi. More center depth and good history with Tocchet. I feel like Bertuzzi is the kind of guy that screws up locker room chemistry. He seems like kind of a toxic guy.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Feb. 8 at 12:55 p.m.
Thread:
Buchnevich
I do think STL fans are over valuing Butch, they value him like a center when he's clearly a winger. That being said, the cost of trading Campbell would be SO much. Without Campbell, its probably a bit of an overpay, but with him its way under.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Feb. 8 at 12:52 p.m.
Thread:
Cheap Thrills
Holy overpay. No thank you. Also I don't think the logic of trading Myers for an unretained Tanev doesn't make sense. You're not improving the team enough. If you are trading Myers for Tanev it would be to get cap space for another bigger move, otherwise, you might as well trade for Tanev retained and keep Myers. Even if you think that makes Myers the seventh best dman, its the playoffs and depth at the quality of Myers would be insanely valuable.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Feb. 4 at 7:32 p.m.
Thread:
Hypothetical
This isn't the kind of return that would get you Pettersson. It's going to be more Tkachuk. It's probably starting Suzuki and then it's plus plus plus. Which you will say Suzuki isn't happening or renders this pointless, which is fair and true, but it's why Montreal isn't a likely trade partner if Canucks had to trade. You don't have enough or the right pieces.
So let's say example is Suzuki, Dach, wpg first, reinbach
Frankly there's no modern comps for a trade like his ever happening.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Feb. 3 at 10:57 p.m.
Thread:
Whats his worth
You can see what Stretcher has got in the past.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Feb. 3 at 8:45 p.m.
Thread:
Is this unrealistic
Canucks will take Lafferty 2.0 and pays a seventh.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Feb. 3 at 1:07 a.m.
Thread:
Tanev and Hanifin
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>NickCH79</b></div><div>I know Lebrun just said Tanev costs a 2nd and an asset, but I really think you could probably get something else other than Friedman, not really sure he's an "asset", I'd assume Lebrun meant a 2nd and a B(ish) tier prospect, so for the Canucks that's maybe The other Elias Pettersson, Sawyer Mynio or Aiden Celebrini</div></div>
No way it's Elias Pettersson. He would probably be the better asset between him and the 2nd. I was thinking around a Woo or something like that.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Jan. 30 at 8:38 p.m.
Thread:
Zadorov to Toronto idea
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>RipNasty</b></div><div>Canuck fans must be having buyers remorse eh? Trying to pawn off a guy they aren't happy with for more than they paid.</div></div>
No Zadorov has been full value. Worth the price, but our left and right side is unbalanced when fully healthy and I don't think the Canucks should resign Zadorov for what he is expected to demand given that I think he isn't better than Soucy and that would make him a very overpaid bottom pair LD.
I don't get why the Leafs undervalue Timmins so much, I think he's great for his contract and he's locked for another year at a reasonable price that fits our cap structure. If he's waiver fodder, then the price can be adjusted to match values, I did say the picks might be different. Retention could also come from a third team.
Sometimes, people are trying to you know make a win-win that works for both teams. That was the idea here.
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>jaok3</b></div><div>Idk if any team has traded for a player mid-season than trade them that same season. I also thought that Vancouver was happy with his play.</div></div>
Teams have done so. I think the Canucks could do it if they send Zadorov somewhere he is happy to go and the Canucks aren't planning to resign him and they can spin it as giving him a chance somewhere else.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Jan. 30 at 8:25 p.m.
Thread:
Selling After The Break
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Beargold</b></div><div>I just don't think his responsibility (or lack thereof) while attempting to be a play maker is what VAN should be after. Sportsnet has a pretty good article about the Leafs as a whole, but it highlights some of what I'm talking about with Domi trying to force offense rather than play reliably: https://www.sportsnet.ca/nhl/article/systems-analyst-how-one-oilers-goal-highlighted-maple-leafs-biggest-issues/
VAN is after a centre, and it is important that Domi can play that, but I think it would create more headaches than it would solve if they were to try and bring him in. In a perfect world, I'd say Drury (CAR) or Frost (PHI) but they'd be quite expensive and neither of their respective teams would have much interest in trading them.. Guess it's Henrique, lol.</div></div>
I'd love Frost. I don't know if he's still in the doghouse with Torts and so I'm not sure if he's available now :(
Looking at the link, the analysis is off, that is the story of Knies making mistake after mistake. Domi is a little in elegant in a couple spot, but all in all is good. The pass in the play is fine and in the other plays in the montage they are also fine, the problem is the Leafs just don't battle for pucks.
Especially in the play broken down when the puck goes across there is no way the Edmonton player should end up on top of Knies, that should be a least a 50/50 puck and there's no way he should be able to move out with speed. Domi should be pressuring Edmonton skater through the neutral zone, and although he does it a little inelegantly, it's hard to say if that is his fault or a system's fault. However, it works. Edmonton get's completely crossed up and yeah they enter the zone, but they do so without speed, out formation and all bunched up. Domi gets back to his own guy and is just about to take him but Knies comes streaking back with speed and takes him. That's fine, but he's taken the center position. Domi does what he's supposed to and swaps with Knies, but then Knies doesn't take the position he's taken. Imagine if a forward covered for a D and then just wandered off back to forward before the D swapped back with him. It would be on the person holding the position.
It's not surprising, Knies is a rookie, but man that is the story of Knies making multiple mistakes and honestly Domi looks pretty good to me. The pass doesn't connect, but is dangerous and can lead to a high danger chance. More importantly, the downside is very low, until Knies just doesn't battle. If Knies battles the Leafs actually are in a good spot since the puck is basically in the opposite corner, where Edmonton doesn't have support. If Knies didn't try to take the puck and on the inside and takes the player on the outside, this looks great.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Jan. 30 at 5:30 p.m.
Thread:
Ny Rangers REAL
Lol, you are dreaming about that Canucks trade. I mean realistically they aren't moving him for any value that a team would be willing to pay for him since the Canucks are competing for the playoffs. But even at fair value you are starting at a second with how he's played this year. He was a third last year and he's been amazing this year, which is probably why you want him.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Jan. 30 at 5:18 p.m.
Thread:
Selling After The Break
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Beargold</b></div><div>I don't think Domi would fit the Canucks. As mentioned, he is an absolutely defensive liability and just kind of throws the puck into the slot and hopes for the best. He'd be a 4th liner at best for the Canucks and be scratched worse than Kuzmenko since Domi can't even score. Lafferty >>>> Domi</div></div>
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>mv21227</b></div><div>I’d much rather Bertuzzi over Domi if we make a trade with Toronto</div></div>
I think the fact he's a center actually really matters. I think him with Miller on the wing could be interesting. Miller can be elite on the wing defensively, and that would be a very heavy forecheck that would fit Tocchet's system well. Worst case scenario you move him to wing, and I think he can play in the top 6 just fine.
https://edge.nhl.com/en/compare/skaters/20232024-regular-8477503-20232024-regular-8483808
I think his speed really matches what the Canucks want to do.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Jan. 30 at 4:02 p.m.
Thread:
Selling After The Break
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>mv21227</b></div><div>Domi isn’t returning more than he did last season when he was playing much better</div></div>
I do like Domi for the Canucks. I think he probably gets about a 2nd, so this is about reasonable. I do think his good playoffs last year probably helps his value and the fact that he scored more points with a bigger opportunity in Chicago last year during the regular season last year probably isn't a mark against him.
I don't think Leafs are selling like this.
Forum:
Fauteuil - DG
Jan. 28 at 4:57 a.m.
Thread:
Rumor Monahan Canucks
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>habslife</b></div><div>Frank Seravalli</div></div>
Seravalli's quote on this was they should be. He didn't comment on their actual interest.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Jan. 26 at 12:59 p.m.
Thread:
Whats kuzmenkos value
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Black61</b></div><div>Does he even have positive value at this point. 5.5 million for a 40 point player who offers nothing beyong points and who has been publicly questioned on his commitment by his coach.</div></div>
That's definitely not true if the Canucks waived Kuz to the AHL he'd picked up in a second. But I would be shocked if the Flames couldn't get this done 1 for 1 and more realistically, if you think Tanev is worth about a 1st, it's probably move the second to the other side of the trade.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Jan. 25 at 11:48 a.m.
Thread:
Pitt Otta Accept
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Prime_Jimbo</b></div><div>Not necessarily a direct response to yours but...
I just don't want Van to pay Big Z Graves money on an extension. I also prefer Reilly Smith to Kuz by a wide margin. Graves with a solid, stay at home guy like Cole could be interesting. Z doesn't really match up super well with anyone on the team currently. Graves and Marino was pretty solid last year.
I get the cap space is an enviable part here (for both teams) and I see Big Z as a rental in Van. His agent, Milstein, is always talking about big $ for Z. I just don't want Van to focus on any deals but Petey and Hronek, so Graves already sorted is a + to me. Not to mention all the constant Kuz chatter. Next year would be a lot of chatter about Kuz extension... Don't want it.</div></div>
I agree we shouldn't be paying Z that money and I look at him as a rental. What I want is for him to walk. We've got lots of good bottom pair LD in the farm. I think you've got to leave room for them to make the team. Resigning Cole or looking at options like that are the way to deal with our bottom pair LD imo. But I appreciate the logic. If we didn't have Soucy, while I probably still wouldn't want Graves, but I would agree with looking for a player in that role.
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Victor24</b></div><div>The problem there is the Pens are already short of defenseman. They can't trade one who has been much better as of late. It would need to be a swap like Prime suggested.</div></div>
Oops, ****ed up what I was trying to say. I meant a Kuz Smith swap with low picks to offset difference in value of there is any. If either team things value is to far apart then, no need to do it.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Jan. 24 at 8:36 p.m.
Thread:
Pitt Otta Accept
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Imagine874859</b></div><div>Pens get a younger forward, one who isnt injured for that matter and is Russian which will boost chem with Geno. And Zadorov is a big physical defenseman which we lack in the defensive department, physicality wise. Everytime I see you post something you always say "pens will never trade so and so" but quite frankly that's not true at all. That's true for Crosby, maybe a few others. But not for Smith and Graves. We need a shakeup. Not saying they will 100% be traded. More likely they wont, but it's also not 100% out of the conversation</div></div>
He consistently posts direct confident bad takes with no reasoning.
Obviously, most of what is proposed here isn't happening, but just to say it's not happening for all but the most obvious bad takes contributes nothing.
There's obvious logic here for both teams lol. It's not so extremely off that it's worth dismissing off-hand.
Personally seems like a bad deal for the Canucks Graves deal looks bad and I don't think the Canucks really get an upgrade in swap although Smith looks like a better fit than Kuz. I think a straight-up swap Kuz and Graves with maybe a lower pick to balance.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Jan. 24 at 5:35 p.m.
Thread:
No end in sight
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>AntiAnalytics</b></div><div>U sound totally absurd with that reasoning
Mitts next contract will be a few mil bigger also
Plus Ek is the better player right now
I’m a Sabres fan,
but i agree there’s no way Minny makes that deal</div></div>
Yeah, no way this makes any sense for Min. The contract difference alone is massive.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Jan. 24 at 5:29 p.m.
Thread:
What Would It Take
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>BoomerTheHero</b></div><div>more than that and honestly it would be more than any reasonable team would give. He's more valuable to our organization than he would be to any other team. Hes also not being traded so it doesnt really matter</div></div>
Unless he asked to be traded to a contender, which I've seen nothing to suggest that he has or would make that request.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Jan. 23 at 9:20 p.m.
Thread:
Jenner v45
I mean, I like Jenner, but that's a crazy offer.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Jan. 23 at 12:32 p.m.
Thread:
Soucy Out 2
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>BDHockey</b></div><div>I don't totally disagree with you, but the Debrincat trade sent Kubalik to the Sens. Definitely a downgrade, but Kubalik had scored the same amount of even strength goals the year prior as Debrincat. Sebrango is also a better prospect potentially in my opinion. If you were going to base it off Debrincat the trade would proabably be something around like unretained Buch for Hunter B., Kuzmenko, a 2024 1st, and like 3rd or 4th maybe.</div></div>
I'm not going to base it off the Debrincat trade. The point is he's way more valuable and look what he got, not this is a comp.
Wingers just aren't getting the kinds of returns expected in this post. The Toffoli comp is solid. Blake Coleman could be another comp, although a little older and before the market for wingers really crashed. It would probably suggest closer to Hunter B and a first.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Jan. 22 at 10:57 p.m.
Thread:
Soucy Out
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>jpsnow13</b></div><div>So what you are saying is that the "better playoffs teams" are more inclined to give away their 1st? Great that's my point.
As for a low 1st being "more than double his actual value", since a low 1st can be traded gor a 2nd +3rd, that would means Monahan's value is a 3rd, and that my friend is way out in left field!</div></div>
A low 1st is multiple mid to high seconds you can literally look it up (27th got 40th and 51st) and believe it or not playoff teams with low firsts also have shockingly correspondingly low seconds. So when you say a first instead of a second he's worth, it is again, more than double his value.
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