SalarySwishSalarySwish
Avatar

TCMonkey

Hockey 1st Sens 2nd
Member Since
Aug. 9, 2016
Favourite Team
Ottawa Senators
Forum Posts
3562
Posts per Day
1.3
Forum: Armchair-GMSep. 10, 2023 at 1:40 p.m.
Thread: Please keep their opponents in your prayers
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>JaredOfLondon</b></div><div>yeah, sens fans know all about never winning despite being one of the best teams in the league.</div></div>
From 1996-97 to 2007-08, Sens made the playoffs 11 years straight, won 8 playoffs rounds, one ECF and one SCF. There was also the 2004-05 season were they got robbed of having one of the best teams on paper in the whole decade. In their current window, Leafs made the playoffs 6/7 seasons and won 1 round (gotta be thankful that Tampa was exhausted by 3 SCF in a row). Not even sure the current Leafs window will last 4 more seasons. The only way the Leafs could do better (or even match) than the Sens 00's window is by winning the Cup. It is Cup or Bust

<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>evelutions2</b></div><div>Korpisalo needs a strong defensive structure in front of him to be truly successful. He doesn’t have that in Ottawa. I’d be surprised if he finished with a .905 s%</div></div>
I agree but it's the same thing for most goalie who aren't Dominik Hasek or Roberto Luongo

That said, Korpisalo has been a lot better last season than in the past because his hip surgery was in March 2022. Surgeries can change a lot of things.

I also don't trust any defensive system coached by DJ smith but management/coaching is about to change in Ottawa (Thank Alfie)

<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Leafsfan98</b></div><div>I’m sorry, but the 6-10 points out, the Sens were never going to get with or whiteout Norris and Talbot… And as for ADB, him and Stuzle are essentially the same play; they went to the same spots so it was bound for only 1, at best, to succeed and the other was doomed to fail… Which caused giveaways</div></div>
Did you say that ADB and Stutzle are essentially the same player? Sorry to say but you're proving that you don't understand hockey much.

So much wrong in such a small post. Talbot was not missed, he was a detriment most of the season. Norris was deeply missed though and they also had lost Formenton for off-ice reasons. Dorion stupidly traded Connor Brown which made the bottom-6 really bad but Formenton and Norris would have made a HUGE difference

<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>TCMonkey</b></div><div>What a ridiculous statement. Norris had 35 goals in 21-22 and was OTT's first line center. Last season OTT lost a majority of their games by 1 goal (or 1 + an EN). Of course having Norris back would easily have added 4+ wins over their 82 games. As for your Stützle / Debrincat comment ... was that written by an A.I. program that wasn't given access to hockey logic?</div></div>
I have a hunch that the guy thinks Stutzle is still playing LW because he is listed LW on NHL.com and hockeydb.com :tearsofjoy
Forum: Armchair-GMSep. 6, 2023 at 8:41 p.m.
Thread: an idea of a trade
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>TCMonkey</b></div><div>Here's hoping OTT finds a way to keep him and he explodes on our third line for a career year. So tired of every post moving him for a second getting replied to with "It would take a 1st and a prospect!" "We're not taking your cap dump for less than blah blah blah"</div></div>
It gets annoying fast.

I don't know if you have seen this before but this is why I think trading Kubalik is a no brainer :

- Kubalik is UFA after the season. Sens won't have the cap space to re-sign him as they really need to focus on signing a better forward than him or even Tarasenko. He would walk for nothing while we could get an asset for him NOW. Joseph will COST an asset to move now and will most likely restore positive value this season and particularly with the cap going up next season

- Kubalik scored 17 of his 45 pts on the PP last season. There's TEN (10) other guys who require and need PP time before him, and that's not even counting Greig and Brannstrom.

- Over the last 2 seasons, Total Points per 60 minutes at 5v5, Joseph 1.46 and Kubalik 1.37

- Joseph is our best PK forward (history of posting Elite K metrics). He's also one of our fastest skaters and one of our best forwards defensively at ES. Kubalik wouldn't come close to any of that.
Forum: Armchair-GMSep. 4, 2023 at 2:44 p.m.
Forum: Armchair-GMAug. 31, 2023 at 6:59 p.m.
Thread: an idea of a trade
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>TCMonkey</b></div><div>Agreed. I just meant adding LOC to our PK while NOT losing Joseph would be great. Especially since Motte and Watson are also gone.
Ottawa was short-handed 296 times last season, 2nd highest in the league. (This is a DJ smith thing IMO. Haven't been among the most penalized teams since Paul Mclean)
Last season Ottawa had its 2nd most successful PK in 8 years at 80.1%.
Leading PK fwds (TOI/SH per game): Motte, Joseph, Kelly, Gambrell, Watson.
From that list only Joseph (and maybe Kelly but I doubt it) will be in the line up.
Our best PK in 8 years was 21-22 at 80.3%
Leading PK fwds that season: C Brown, Nick Paul, Formenton, Joseph, Watson.
If this team continues to take penalties like have under DJ, they'd better make damn sure they have the players they need kill 'em.</div></div>
Agreed, this proposed deal is perfect. Helps our PK, creates enough cap space for Pinto etc

With Tarasenko signing, Kubalik is not that needed anymore. We already have 5 guys who could be over PPG or close, plus Tarasenko, Greig and Pinto. And Joseph might actually surprise offensively this season depending on his role. He just burned a 3v3 league this summer with several NHLers. Scored 25 goals in 7 games. Comtois, Drouin, Perron, Letang, etc were playing
Forum: Armchair-GMAug. 26, 2023 at 6:52 p.m.
Thread: block busters for each team
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Db1899</b></div><div>It’s not just the production. Matthew is by far the best offense driving winger in the NHL. He’s also elite defensively. He does it all. It’s not a knock on Brady it’s more so Matthew being a borderline generational talent. He’s that good</div></div>

Again I hear you but you could take those words and insert Brady for Matthew without many pundits batting an eye. On top of that I dont think anyone was talking about Matthew that way coming off that D+5 season. He really only made the strides to achieve that level of status the last two years. This year will be telling as to the comparison between the two but there's nothing within either of their first 5 years in the league to definitively give the nod one way or the other.
Forum: Armchair-GMAug. 25, 2023 at 8:22 p.m.
Thread: 2 last moves
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>exo2769</b></div><div>I guess I just disagree. Joseph is making ~4x what Boris is making and nothing about last year (in isolation I'll admit) says they're really all that different. Yes a little...ok fine, but $9.3M is what's owed to Mathieu. That's down right awful for a guy they'll give 14 atoi to.</div></div>
Can’t compare Katchouk‘s contract with Joseph’s, he had zero NHL games when he got it… I mean come on… let’s be at least a bit down to earth

And Joseph’s contract is far from awful… I mean ES defense, ES offense, PK, speed, forecheck… brings some good stuff… wouldn’t have been overpaid at all based on his 2021-22 season

<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Leafsfan98</b></div><div>I mean, it's what, 750-800K per goal last year? And it's not like Joseph is some defensive nightmare either...</div></div>
Oh yeah because hockey players are paid based on the goals they scored last season… and Joseph PK metrics are always among the top of the league
Forum: Armchair-GMAug. 24, 2023 at 7:33 p.m.
Thread: Whats the price on Konecny
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>AlTintin1122</b></div><div>Wouldn’t move Pinto 1 for 1 for Konecny personally</div></div>
Sens wouldn’t trade Pinto or Greig for Chychrun (and DeBrincat I believe), nothing has changed

<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>AlTintin1122</b></div><div>2 years of team control is terrible because you don’t know if the player will pull a Debrincat. If you wait till next summer you can extend him</div></div>
Sens don’t even need Konecny right now. They have 13 players who need PP time and don’t even have cap space.

Lowering the team support quality (players like Brannstrom, Kubalik/Joseph) and good futures (1st, 2nd/Thomson) to make that move would be stupid. Wait next summer, let Tarasenko walk (and Kubalik if he’s still there) and invest on the best forward you could get (which should be 6-7 if they kept Joseph and Brannstrom)

<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>GMDannyB</b></div><div>I appreciate you guys covering everything I usually have to explain to Sens fans lol. Everyone wants TK for second rate players but everyone wants TK, go figure lol. Nobody wants to pay for him. Nobody ever wants to pay for Flyers players cause even tho everyone wants them, apparently they all aren’t good enough for real returns.</div></div>
You can’t explain anything to anybody because you know Jack **** about hockey. You’re not fooling anybody
Forum: Armchair-GMAug. 24, 2023 at 1:11 p.m.
Thread: Whats the price on Konecny
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Rob32sjsharks</b></div><div>Yea and let’s be honest and add Pinto and remove the retention and even then I would have to wonder if it’s a smart trade for Philly!</div></div>

I can understand if Konecny returns a bit more than this in a trade, but adding Pinto is ridiculous.

In this trade, Philly is getting a 1st round pick likely between 13-20th overall, a legit #4D in Branny (worth a 2nd), a 20 goal UFA in Kubalik who they can easily get a 2nd for at the deadline, a young nhl ready D in Lassi, and an overpaid bottom 6er in Joseph who has slight negative value.

Saying Ottawa adds a 2nd here is fair, or someone like Boucher (who has ties to Philly). But add Pinto and you still don't think Philly does it? That's bananas.

You could offer me Konecny for 2 more years for Pinto (4 more years of team control) straight up and I probably wouldn't do it.
Forum: Armchair-GMAug. 18, 2023 at 2:01 p.m.
Thread: Senator Cap Pickle
McLeod is not the best comparable because he's a year older (closer to UFA) and has 2 NHL seasons while Pinto has one.

McLeod got a 2 years extension, so Pinto's would be quite cheaper on a 1 year

They had a similar PPG last season (Pinto got to play with two first liners and had 168 minutes of PP time) while McLeod's possession and defensive metrics were very good. Plus Pinto has no arbitration rights.

<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>sens65</b></div><div>He was on track for 26 points in a down year, and is very good at carrying the puck up the ice and penalty killing.</div></div>
Exactly, don't listen to the noise, Joseph is not a bad player at all. Defensive forwards who excel on the PK are not supposed to produce 50 pts per season (or they'd be paid a lot more than 2.95 AAV)

26 pts pace in a down year, 36 pts pace the year before (30 pts in 69 GP, all at ES or on the PK), he's also a pretty good forechecker

I trust that Dorion can make the right decision and trade Kubalik instead (who is a better scorer but UFA-to-be, really not as good defensively and would need big PP minutes, which we don't have)

This is a good picture of Joseph's game, and his EV production can vary from year to year

<img class="for_img" src="https://pbs.twimg.com/media/FYyq7EmXEAE1R7q?format=jpg&amp;name=large" alt="FYyq7EmXEAE1R7q?format=jpg&amp;name=large">
Forum: Armchair-GMAug. 18, 2023 at 12:59 p.m.