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bikelh

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Jun. 15, 2021
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Winnipeg Jets
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Forum: Armchair-GMDec. 5, 2022 at 5:54 p.m.
Thread: Toews
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>ChiHawk</b></div><div>How's he looking in the KHL? Yeah....meh</div></div>

Guys 19 years old and not even playing on the KHL team because there isn't space for him (KHL isn't a development league)
He crushed all reasonable expectations last year, I'm willing to put early season struggles as an outlier. The Athletic went over the 2021 draft recently and re-ranked him 18/19th can't remember specifically, I'll take their word over both my own and some person on the internet.
He's not a "meh" prospect, if he got included in a Toews deal he would be the primary piece.
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Hawksguy81</b></div><div>Any guarantee that Chibrikov is even coming to N America? Not sure a rebuilding Hawks team wants to take that gamble is a deal for one of their better trade chips. This deal could just as easily wind up being Harkins and a 2nd for Toews

Also question how much more Harkins is going to blossom - he's already 25 and will be playing on what will be another weak Hawks team next season.

I gotta agree w/ ChiHawk. This doesn't feel like the right pieces for Toews half retained</div></div>

No one really knows esp with the War, but the expectation is because he's not getting chances in the KHL is that he'll come over this offseason cause his contract is up.
Your gut is right about Harkins though, guy's just a tweener
Forum: Armchair-GMNov. 29, 2022 at 8:59 p.m.
Thread: Blowing up the team
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>tkecanuck341</b></div><div>Because goaltenders are too inconsistent from year to year, and can't be relied upon for more than a few seasons. Their play largely depends on the team in front of them, so there's no way to know what you'll be getting when that goaltender actually suits up for your team.

With very few exceptions, quality goaltenders aren't great for more than 3 or 4 seasons throughout their entire careers. Not worth giving up a 1st. The ones that are worth it aren't getting traded.</div></div>

I mean I agree with you generally, but Hellebuyck is one of those exceptions lol. Even his "worst year" last year was still an above average goalie, and he's right back to his normal elite self this year. I'd argue one of, if not the most consistent goalies in the league
Forum: Armchair-GMNov. 29, 2022 at 6:24 p.m.
Thread: It has to happen
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>bagelbob</b></div><div>if the jets would be interested in some sort of heinola/beau swap with whoever adding (honestly not sure of heinola's value right now so could be either side) as long as it's not a first on the isles side i could see a lot of interest</div></div>

I think that would definitely be intruiging from the Jets perspective. I'm not sure what his general value is around the league, I know the Jets value him pretty highly though, he's been one of the better dmen in the AHL the past few years (analytically/production). From a cap/long-term perspective it would probably be better for the Jets to move a salaried defenseman to fit Beau's 4m.
You think the Isles would have interest in any of the non-Morrissey roster defenceman on the Jets? Or is it Heinola or go home?
Forum: Armchair-GMNov. 28, 2022 at 5:34 p.m.
Thread: deadline
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Windjammer</b></div><div>The fact that you can't see that a starting defenseman is far more important than an expensive bottom 6 LW is kind of ridiculous. It's also equally ridiculous to think that a team that is buying at the TDL is going to trade a solid starting roster player for depth help. What buying team does that?

It's a lot harder to find competent NHL defenseman, that expensive bottom 6 role players.</div></div>

Wow. Adam Henrique is not a Bottom Six winger. he scored 42 points in 58 games last year, and is off to a slow-ish start for scoring this year. But he has great underlying stats while playing on an NHL top line, even if it is on a bad team. You realize Nate Schmidt is currently playing on our bottom pairing because we have too many defensemen right? A buying team that is prioritizing both the present and the future does this trade. This is a hockey trade, not a "buying" trade. Move other assets to pick up a depth defenseman if you need one, but right now we have too many defensemen, and not enough quality forwards. You move a defenseman with a similar cap hit, contract, age, and ability. It's really just simple.
Regardless of "importance of position" Henrique as an individual player is more valuable than Schmidt is.
Anyway, doesn't happen due to trade protections
Forum: Armchair-GMNov. 28, 2022 at 5:19 p.m.
Thread: deadline
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Windjammer</b></div><div>Nah, this would be terrible for the Jets. Trading a good starting defenseman for an older luxury player does nothing for the Jets and isn't the kind of deal you consider at the TDL. Especially getting stuck with an expensive, old LW for another year.

Schmidt simply plays a more important position.</div></div>

Schmidt is fine, but he's not a game-breaker. Henrique is a pretty good, but also not a gamebreaker. They are fairly equivalent players. You say it's a more important position, and you bring up the contract, but the Jets have too many middle-pair defensemen as it is, and not enough decent forwards. Henrique's contract is actually better than Schmidt's because it ends a year earlier. (also Henrique is only one year older than Scmidt lol). Even if you think Schmidt is better, Henrique has the better contract no question, and plays a position the JETS need more, not the more important position.
This would be a fantastic value trade for the Jets, so the fact you can't see that is kind of ridiculous.
Trade protections stop this trade in its tracks though. Henrique probably has Winnipeg on his NTC, and Schmidt might not waive for Anaheim either.
Forum: Armchair-GMNov. 25, 2022 at 8:27 p.m.
Thread: Getting some help
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>worldwidesensei</b></div><div>Umm, basically everyone on BUF has been badly outscored over the past 3 years.

Eichel and Hall have a worse GF% than Olofsson with BUF. They must be empty calorie players too, right?

Has a lot more to do with horrible goaltending and defense than it has to do with his 5v5 game. He's improved drastically in this regard.</div></div>

Lol. No. Eichel and Hall actually outchance their opponents. Olofsson gets no actual chances and gives up a ton. He's a shot and nothing else. Which is fine, but his 5v5 play is horrible, you can't even defend that.
Comparing Olofsson to Eichel and Hall. Lol.

<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>worldwidesensei</b></div><div>Eichel and Hall have a worse GF% than Olofsson in the past 3 years when they played for BUF. They must be empty calorie scorers too.

The fact of the matter is, Olofsson is 11th in the league in G/60 this year.

Thompson 7th 2.12
Pasta 8th 2.01
Rantanen 9th 1.98
Svechnikov 10th 1.97
Olofsson 11th 1.95

The trade package offered here is laughable.</div></div>




I never said the trade package was fair, its not, its way undervalued. I just don't want the player. That's all.
Forum: Armchair-GMNov. 25, 2022 at 6:41 p.m.
Thread: Getting some help
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>MisstheWhalers</b></div><div>Like who?</div></div>

So Olofsson has term left at 4.7m, and Buffalo obv would have a pretty high ask for him, which I get buy-beware from.
Jets should go two ways: mid-round pick for a rental/buy-low candidate (Dadonov, Craig Smith, Athanisou, Nyquist, a million other players like that)
Or you actually solve the Problem and swing big for a really quality player, maybe having to trade a d-man in the process: (Garland, Reinhart/Duclair, Mantha if he's available)
Olofsson is in that middle ground where he's not really good enough to be making a swing for, but also not a buy-low candidate where you only have to give up a pick for. If the Jets end up acquiring him I'm not going to mope about it, but there are other players i would prefer
re: the edit: thats obviously the case, the jets can't score right now. biggest problem. But we should target scorers who actually help the team through more than just goals.
Buffalo has been outscored with Olofsson on the ice, by significant amounts, for 3 years... That's horrible. This is a case of seeing the goals and not checking to see if its a good player, or a bad player with a good shot.