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sensibleguy

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Forum: Armchair-GMMay 9, 2022 at 6:39 p.m.
Thread: Patience
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>JustanIdea</b></div><div>I really don't want Fiala as he is already 25 and in his prime. I want a player that will enter and play his prime with the Sens core. Also the price would be absurd. And the Buffalo trade isn't bad if you shelter him.

As for the Oilers trade I saw you're earlier comment about PJ and though that he would be perfect for the line but it's really just a base but I could see true potential there as with Kane you don't really need PJ anymore and his relationship with Edmonton is probably still a bit rocky.</div></div>

I can’t reply to that other guy because I have him on ignore, for good reason, but here’s the Senators defencemen giveaway numbers from Oct 15 on. Zaitsev had a terrible first game of the season, and it’s skewed his seasons numbers from, day one. Here are the teams final 81 games, among defencemen.

<img class="for_img" src="https://pbs.twimg.com/media/FSWa3cfWYAAdL8A?format=jpg&amp;name=large" alt="FSWa3cfWYAAdL8A?format=jpg&amp;name=large">
Forum: Armchair-GMMay 1, 2022 at 8:18 a.m.
Thread: Realistic Next Year Playoff Contender
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>PLDGEY</b></div><div>Im going to keep saying this until someone can give me a good answer

Why are you using draft capital to dump Zaitsev when youre not using the cap space for anything?</div></div>

<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Cowling</b></div><div>1. So Dj will stop playing him
2. Save owner money
3. Not a great look having 4.5 being a liability or just watching the game</div></div>


People keep complaining about Zaitsev, and they have no idea what he brings to the team, and his salary is irrelevant. Zaitsev, Murray, and White were all needed to make the cap floor the last couple seasons. Next season we're looking at around a $70MM opening day cap hit. The following season it will be closer to $80MM, but probably not over. At that point, both Zaitsev and Murrays contracts expire. Don't worry about Zaitsev's contract and how much he makes. People that complain about Zaitsev always point to his salary first, as if that's a credible argument. It isn't for any team not near the cap ceiling.

Zaitsev is an NHL defenceman. he is the first defenceman over the boards on the PK, the 13th best PK in the league this season. The past couple seasons Ottawa has had to deal with Coburn, Gudbranson, and a severily declining Hainsey on the PK.

There's a reason Zaitsev has 2:49 of SH time per game. Smith doesn't want to play Zub on the PK, or the PP actually, he wants him on 5v5, that's where Zub excels. You get rid of Zaitsev, and Zub spends more time on the PK. JBD will eventually replace Zaitsev, let it happen when he's ready, not when fans are throwing temper tantrums over a defensive defenceman playing a defensive role.

Zaitsev had 5 solid months, and 1 bad month, relative to his teammates

Even strength goals forced versus goals allowed
Oct - 2GF 7GA GD -5 <strong>22.2%</strong> - (4th out of 6)
Nov - 6GF 6GA GD 0 <strong>50.0%</strong> - (1st out of 8, this was the month the team was horrible)
Dec - 8GF 6GA GD +2 <strong>57.1%</strong> - (3rd out of 7)
Jan - Injured
Feb - 7GF 6GA GD +1 <strong>53.9%</strong> (3rd out of 7)
Mar - 7GF 16GA GD -9 <strong>30.4%</strong> (4th out of 6)
Apr - 11GF 10GA GD +1 <strong>52.4%</strong> (3rd out of 6)

Zaitsev was 2nd in hits by defencemen
3rd in blocked shots by defencemen
Team lowest in giveaways per 60 minutes among the regular defencemen
4th highest in takeaways per 60 among the regular defencemen

Zaitsev's first season in Ottawa wasn't great, but he's been solid these last two seasons
Forum: Armchair-GMApr. 26, 2022 at 2:11 p.m.
Forum: Armchair-GMApr. 26, 2022 at 12:00 p.m.
Thread: Extremely in-depth plan
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>oliver_wahlstrom</b></div><div>If ant of Stutzle, Batheron, Norris, Tkachuk, Formenton and Brown are not getting top 6 minutes, then there is a problem. <strong>And the Sens need to hit the cap floor</strong>. I truly do understand why Bailey is not the forward you need, but he can shift around in the middle 6 and play anywhere with anyone.

Also there are a ton of centers in there. Its obviously pretty easy to just move one of them to the wing but you never know. Plus, after the Hamonic deal you really never know with these guys</div></div>


I stopped reading at "cap floor". It's obvious you don't know anything about the Senators



$59,055,714 total cap already alloted for next season

RFA's to sign
Norris
Formenton
Joseph
Gambrell
Gaudette
Brännström
Mete

After Norris signs for $6MM-$7MM, and Formenton &amp; Joseph receive about $3MM combined, three more forwards and that puts the Sens over $70MM

And you think Ottawa needs help getting over the cap floor, lol
Forum: Armchair-GMApr. 23, 2022 at 10:35 a.m.
Thread: Unlikely trade partners
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>drambui</b></div><div>well im defenitly not arguing that he is worth that package, he is not imo. all im saying is the fact someone was picked up on waiver at some point is a bit relevant qhen you want to assess is tade value 6-9 months later, because other variables will be more important by that time. im not really sure qhat qe are arguing about, i just wanted to say that it was a bad argument to use in the first place '' he was on waiver a while ago, could have had him for free at starts of season blablabla''. what relevant is what he has done since, not that he was in waiver. but yeah, he is not worth tgat package at atll imo. maybe.one day!</div></div>

Rem Pitlick was acquired off waivers Jan 12th, and we can only assess his possible change in value from then until today, so it's 3 months after acquisition, and trying to stretch it to 6-9 months does not make your argument stronger, it makes it weaker because you're being disingenuous with the time frame.

My point is, sugesting that I mentioned he was a waiver wire pickup was not just distracting from the main point, but incorrect. You can believe what you want, but waiver wire pickups are considered, "one mans trash" so to speak. He wasn't a top 14 forward.

And no he isn't "another mans treasure" either, he's depth
Forum: Armchair-GMApr. 22, 2022 at 9:06 p.m.
Thread: Sergachev
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Point21</b></div><div>yes cause a 23 year old dman putting up about .50 PPG with a QO of 5m next year and still has a year left is worth nothing cause he has a few bad games like every other dman in the league..</div></div>

<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>sensibleguy</b></div><div>$7,200,000</div></div>

<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Point21</b></div><div>he signed it after the change, it would be a little over 5m</div></div>


Okay, under the new rule

<strong>For players who are on expiring contracts that were signed after July 10, 2020:
The Qualifying Offer is limited to 120% of their previous contracts annual average (AAV)
Reference: 2020 NHL CBA extension Memorandum of Understanding (MOU)</strong>

It's $5,760,000 ($4.8MM x 120%)

Less than the $7.2MM, more than a little over $5MM.
Forum: Armchair-GMApr. 21, 2022 at 6:59 p.m.
Thread: Experimental Jets
WPG
2024 4th round pick (OTT)
- Dillon's market value is anywhere from a late 3rd to an early 5th.
OTT
Dillon, Brenden
Additional Details:
- Grit for the Senators


<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>YourWinnipegJets</b></div><div>That take on Dillons return is not true at all. He can fetch at least one second and another draft pick. The market value for defencemen is very high right now.</div></div>

<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Claesson4Norris</b></div><div>Wouldn't be surprised if someone traded for Dillon, but Ottawa isn't a team that really needs his services. Look at their left side next year.</div></div>

<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>toque</b></div><div>No way Dillon's value has dropped that much</div></div>

It's Brenden Dillon...

If we're talking grit, how about a slightly used Zaitsev for Dillon?