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Nashville Predators signed Ryan Ellis (8 Years / $6,250,000 AAV)

Was this a good signing?
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Aug. 14, 2018 at 6:57 p.m.
#26
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I think it's too high priced by about a million but he would get what he did from Nashville from any other team based on his past play and good solid reputation. He will be a steady top 4 defensemen for at least 6 more seasons and then he will begin to decline but at that point it's no big deal. He is just SOLID. A good contract for him and his family and a very good contract for the D core of the Predators. Nice work by one of the best GM's in the business.
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Aug. 14, 2018 at 10:11 p.m.
#27
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Quoting: Laudan
damn
...i was prepared to give him 7,5 M......

https://www.capfriendly.com/armchair-gm/team/816397


Shanahan and Dubas weren't though.
Aug. 15, 2018 at 1:08 a.m.
#28
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Quoting: rebecca
I don’t see as many red flags for this contract as I do for other D-Men locked up long term (e.g. former Predator Shea Weber’s contract). Ellis was a bit of a late bloomer and I think it’s just as likely that he will still be capable of playing Top-4 minutes with special teams come his age 35 & 36 seasons as it is that he is relegated to bottom pair or press box roles. Will he be like Ryan Suter, Zdeno Chara, Brent Burns - who have all shown the ability to play solid Top 4 minutes plus special teams into their mid 30’s (and beyond in Chara’s case)? Or will be burn out quicker but still stay relevant on a bottom pair, like Kronwall, Campbell, or Beauchemin? My bet is on the former and, while the overall Cap Hit May be a Ritchie high for the final 2/3 years of the contract I don’t think it outweighs the benefit in the first 4/5 years.
A shorter contract would have certainly meant a higher Cap Hit. Would this have impaired the Preds ability to Jer their D core together and to compete? At some point, yes!
For example would you want this 8y deal or a 7y deal at 7M? Or a 6y deal at 7.4M or a 5y deal at 7.75M? Given those options I would take the 8y deal. Gambling for length isn’t always a great idea but elite Top 50 D-Men in the NHL tens to age better into their mid-30’s than their forward counterparts - so I think it’s a solid move.
Weber's contract was a different situation. Poile didn't offer Weber that deal; Paul Holmgren, then GM of the Flyers, did as an attempted offer sheet, in the hopes that the then-budget-team Predators wouldn't match the insanely-front-loaded contract. It was intentionally structured as such.
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Aug. 15, 2018 at 8:43 a.m.
#29
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The point here is quite simple: Predators needed to swallow the term to sign for a lower salary. And when you have a contender like Nashville are, this is the right way to make the deals to keep your top guys. You have to do anything possible to win RIGHT NOW!! So, David Poile made a great job here indeed. He's surely one of the best GMs in NHL negotiating contracts and he ONCE AGAIN show us that. Congrats, Nashville fans.

PS: I can imagine how many fans of the other teams (Leafs, Oilers, Flyers, Devils...) who dreamed with Ellis playing for their teams crying like babies right now. That's tough, guys...
Aug. 15, 2018 at 8:53 a.m.
#30
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Quoting: Willian_Cardoso
The point here is quite simple: Predators needed to swallow the term to sign for a lower salary. And when you have a contender like Nashville are, this is the right way to make the deals to keep your top guys. You have to do anything possible to win RIGHT NOW!! So, David Poile made a great job here indeed. He's surely one of the best GMs in NHL negotiating contracts and he ONCE AGAIN show us that. Congrats, Nashville fans.

PS: I can imagine how many fans of the other teams (Leafs, Oilers, Flyers, Devils...) who dreamed with Ellis playing for their teams crying like babies right now. That's tough, guys...


Why would the Flyers be crying like babies? I guess you aren’t aware of our prospects/current young guys...
Aug. 15, 2018 at 1:47 p.m.
#31
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Quoting: DirtyDangles
Why would the Flyers be crying like babies? I guess you aren’t aware of our prospects/current young guys...


Do u really think your team don't need a guy like Ellis??? Ok, then. Do I need to remember u what Pens did to your team in playoffs? Good luck with that.
Aug. 15, 2018 at 5:56 p.m.
#32
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Quoting: weirfanno1
Good for the first 5 years the back part of the contract ugh. Huge cap hit for a 34,35,36 year dmen who will be a 5th/6th dmen at that point in his career. It's one of those win now contracts and worry about the last 2-3 years later on. Just ask Chicago about the Keith/Seabrook contracts and the Kings with the Gaborik contract they offloaded as well as Dustin Brown contract... or Mike Richards one they bought out.


Comparing this deal to Keith's is like comparing apples to oranges. And to make it sound like the Keith deal is/was ever a bad deal is a bit ridiculous. Duncan Keith's 13 year contract was a GREAT signing. During which he won 3 Stanley cups, 1 Conn Smythe trophy, 2 Norris trophy's, 2 First Team All-star, 1 Second Team All-star, and 4 NHL all-star games. Meanwhile he is still a first pairing NHL defenseman making only $5.5M.
I would even go as far as to argue that 38-39 year old Keith in the last 2 years of his contract is a better player than 35-36 year old Ellis in the final 2 years of this contract.
Brent Seabrook's signing is a whole different story. But then again you're trying to compare arguably the worst contract in the league to this good signing.
Aug. 15, 2018 at 6:01 p.m.
#33
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Quoting: Willian_Cardoso
Do u really think your team don't need a guy like Ellis??? Ok, then. Do I need to remember u what Pens did to your team in playoffs? Good luck with that.


You seem to be VERY clueless when it comes to the Flyers.
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Aug. 15, 2018 at 8:15 p.m.
#34
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Quoting: Willian_Cardoso
Do u really think your team don't need a guy like Ellis??? Ok, then. Do I need to remember u what Pens did to your team in playoffs? Good luck with that.


Again...clearly you have no idea who our kids/prospects are.
Aug. 16, 2018 at 1:54 p.m.
#35
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Quoting: Hockeyplayer1
Comparing this deal to Keith's is like comparing apples to oranges. And to make it sound like the Keith deal is/was ever a bad deal is a bit ridiculous. Duncan Keith's 13 year contract was a GREAT signing. During which he won 3 Stanley cups, 1 Conn Smythe trophy, 2 Norris trophy's, 2 First Team All-star, 1 Second Team All-star, and 4 NHL all-star games. Meanwhile he is still a first pairing NHL defenseman making only $5.5M.
I would even go as far as to argue that 38-39 year old Keith in the last 2 years of his contract is a better player than 35-36 year old Ellis in the final 2 years of this contract.
Brent Seabrook's signing is a whole different story. But then again you're trying to compare arguably the worst contract in the league to this good signing.


Again that is what happens when you signed those long term contracts and tried to circumvent the cap. Chicago is learning the back end of those contracts with very little pay with a high cap hit hurts!! Down the road. Nashville will learn as well. It's a win now worry about it later kind of contract.
Aug. 16, 2018 at 6:25 p.m.
#36
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Quoting: Hockeyplayer1
You seem to be VERY clueless when it comes to the Flyers.


Well, we'll see if you guys are right and Flyers have those huge prospects as you said, cause they need to be huge indeed to improve the mess that we all have seen in Flyers D, till last season. In fact, the biggest situation in your team is surely the goalie. You guys don't have any. Elliott and Neuvirth can't lead Flyers to win any series in playoffs. And both Lyon and Stolarz didn't prove to be good enough to be regular goalies in NHL yet.

I'm not a Flyers specialist indeed. But I ain't clueless about your team either.
Aug. 16, 2018 at 6:27 p.m.
#37
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Quoting: DirtyDangles
Again...clearly you have no idea who our kids/prospects are.


If you want to, take a look at my answer to hockeyplayer.
Aug. 17, 2018 at 1:56 p.m.
#38
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Quoting: Willian_Cardoso
If you want to, take a look at my answer to hockeyplayer.


Your answer seems pretty clueless to me!

Ever heard of Carter Hart?

Also here is our future D

Provorov/Ghost
Sanheim/Myers
Hagg/anyone

Maybe that will help you out...
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Aug. 17, 2018 at 4:21 p.m.
#39
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Quoting: Willian_Cardoso
The point here is quite simple: Predators needed to swallow the term to sign for a lower salary. And when you have a contender like Nashville are, this is the right way to make the deals to keep your top guys. You have to do anything possible to win RIGHT NOW!! So, David Poile made a great job here indeed. He's surely one of the best GMs in NHL negotiating contracts and he ONCE AGAIN show us that. Congrats, Nashville fans.

PS: I can imagine how many fans of the other teams (Leafs, Oilers, Flyers, Devils...) who dreamed with Ellis playing for their teams crying like babies right now. That's tough, guys...


crying like babies, when any reasonable fan knows the chances of signing a good ufa is rather small. of course wiiliam you're a habs fan and pulled off such as ufa steal last summer signing alzner at 4.6m. so I guess we know who is crying now
Aug. 20, 2018 at 10:29 a.m.
#40
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Quoting: clark
crying like babies, when any reasonable fan knows the chances of signing a good ufa is rather small. of course wiiliam you're a habs fan and pulled off such as ufa steal last summer signing alzner at 4.6m. so I guess we know who is crying now


I think he's a Pens fan, but they did pull off that blockbuster Jack Johnson signing.
Aug. 20, 2018 at 11:49 a.m.
#41
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Quoting: clark
crying like babies, when any reasonable fan knows the chances of signing a good ufa is rather small. of course wiiliam you're a habs fan and pulled off such as ufa steal last summer signing alzner at 4.6m. so I guess we know who is crying now


Habs fan??? Lmfo

No way, clark. I'm a proud Pens fan. But nice try...
Aug. 20, 2018 at 12:05 p.m.
#42
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Quoting: DirtyDangles
Your answer seems pretty clueless to me!

Ever heard of Carter Hart?

Also here is our future D

Provorov/Ghost
Sanheim/Myers
Hagg/anyone

Maybe that will help you out...


Well, man...Do u know Yakupov or RNH? Both these guys were considered much better prospects than all those kids that u said and now they're just depth players in NHL. Yakupov specially is one of the greatest busts in NHL history. So, you can't be sure that all those kids will become as good as you and all Flyers fans think and hope so.

The fact is RIGHT NOW your team has terrible depth on their D and is even worse at goalie position. That's why Flyers has no chance to win even one playoffs series.

But as a Flyers fan, you're right to be so optimistic about your prospects. We'll see what's gonna happen...
Aug. 20, 2018 at 12:12 p.m.
#43
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Quoting: Willian_Cardoso
Well, man...Do u know Yakupov or RNH? Both these guys were considered much better prospects than all those kids that u said and now they're just depth players in NHL. Yakupov specially is one of the greatest busts in NHL history. So, you can't be sure that all those kids will become as good as you and all Flyers fans think and hope so.

The fact is RIGHT NOW your team has terrible depth on their D and is even worse at goalie position. That's why Flyers has no chance to win even one playoffs series.

But as a Flyers fan, you're right to be so optimistic about your prospects. We'll see what's gonna happen...


Promman did a ranking of best prospect pools and the Flyers placed 12th.
Aug. 20, 2018 at 1:50 p.m.
#44
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Quoting: Hockeylover360
Promman did a ranking of best prospect pools and the Flyers placed 12th.


LMAO, well I guess that discredits anything he has to say now doesn't it!
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Aug. 20, 2018 at 1:56 p.m.
#45
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Quoting: Willian_Cardoso
Well, man...Do u know Yakupov or RNH? Both these guys were considered much better prospects than all those kids that u said and now they're just depth players in NHL. Yakupov specially is one of the greatest busts in NHL history. So, you can't be sure that all those kids will become as good as you and all Flyers fans think and hope so.

The fact is RIGHT NOW your team has terrible depth on their D and is even worse at goalie position. That's why Flyers has no chance to win even one playoffs series.

But as a Flyers fan, you're right to be so optimistic about your prospects. We'll see what's gonna happen...


Provy, Hagg, Sanheim, Ghost have all already played in the NHL and have done just fine...not going to be busts. Myers has top pairing upside with middle pairing downside. Carter Hart is more than likely the best goalie to ever come out of the CHL so I HIGHLY doubt he will be a bust.

We could very easily win one or multiple playoff series.
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Aug. 20, 2018 at 2:19 p.m.
#46
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Quoting: DirtyDangles
LMAO, well I guess that discredits anything he has to say now doesn't it!


You say like your team had a top 5 prospects pool...Based on that opinion Flyers has not even a top 10 prospects pool. Sorry, but that information is not enough to discredit my opinion. The fact is, right now, either me or you can be sure about what's gonna happen. So, neither of us can be too cocky about it. But I'm a little ahead of you at this moment, cause we didn't see enough about your kids to be sure about what they'll become in NHL.
Aug. 20, 2018 at 2:22 p.m.
#47
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Quoting: Willian_Cardoso
You say like your team had a top 5 prospects pool...Based on that opinion Flyers has not even a top 10 prospects pool. Sorry, but that information is not enough to discredit my opinion. The fact is, right now, either me or you can be sure about what's gonna happen. So, neither of us can be too cocky about it. But I'm a little ahead of you at this moment, cause we didn't see enough about your kids to be sure about what they'll become in NHL.


Reading comprehension. If Pronman, whoever he is, thinks the Flyers are 12th then he is clueless. Dobber has us ranked #1 and it was a consensus #1.
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Aug. 20, 2018 at 7:24 p.m.
#48
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Quoting: DoctorBreakfast
I think he's a Pens fan, but they did pull off that blockbuster Jack Johnson signing.


If ellis had gone to free agency, I think the leafs would had a good a chance as anyone in signing him, maybe 20%. cap reasons they would have to trade a high price forward.
I was surprised the leafs signed Tavares, though I had the leafs as # 2 favourite. still I thought their chances were only about 20% and surprise.
that 2019/20 free dman UFA pool sure has got smaller. no doughty, ellis, mcdonagh. Jake gardiner might be much in play, ugh.
Aug. 20, 2018 at 9:46 p.m.
#49
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Quoting: DirtyDangles
Reading comprehension. If Pronman, whoever he is, thinks the Flyers are 12th then he is clueless. Dobber has us ranked #1 and it was a consensus #1.


Flyers can has one of the best farm systems. Ok. But that doesn't change the fact that there's no guarantee of success on good prospects. There're tons of busts top prospects in NHL history. I just named 2 of the greatest ones. So, your team has a good chance to be successful in the future. But we have no guarantees till all those kids prove that they can reach their upsides.
Aug. 20, 2018 at 10:27 p.m.
#50
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Quoting: Willian_Cardoso
Flyers can has one of the best farm systems. Ok. But that doesn't change the fact that there's no guarantee of success on good prospects. There're tons of busts top prospects in NHL history. I just named 2 of the greatest ones. So, your team has a good chance to be successful in the future. But we have no guarantees till all those kids prove that they can reach their upsides.


All I will say is this...in 2 years we will have ZERO holes in our lineup.
 
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