Quoting: MatthewsFan
I am with you it’s 100% on the players at the end of the day to perform. But…
The bad
1. The Kadri trade
2. The Foligno trade
3. The Murray trade
4. The Rittich trade
5. The Johnsson trade
6. The Marleau trade
The good
1. The Muzzin trade
2. The Campbell trade
3. The McCann trade (but he f’d that up)
4. The Kapanen trade
He has done a great job at drafting for the most part and found some great value signings in Bunting, Kase, Mikheyev, Spezza, Boyd, and Galchunyuk. Did a great job of building the d-core but has done a terrible job a surrounding the main core with solid pieces that can complement them. The secondary core has been non existent and 😂 we are now on the 3rd starting goalie since he took over in 2018.
They are 1 year away till Matthews full NMC kicks in and I am just shocked he would tie his boat to Murray. Fukc it over pay for Kuemper or Campbell, deal with it later. I can’t see into the future, so maybe Murray comes in and plays incredible. But with his play, injury history, this is such a gamble.
I’ll believe it when I see it but he is so true to his guys (commendable but to a fault) but trading Kerfoot or Holl I don’t see happening. It’s looking very likely Sandin is on his way out and god help us on that potential trade. With 15m still owing on the final 2 years, and all they could squeeze was 25% retention, a 3rd and a 7th. The only two teams he would waive to was TOR or EDM 🤷♂️They wanted to get out of his contract, how could he not get more, at least get a 3rd team to retain.
I will look forward to see how he fills out the roster, but fukc this was a bad day.
I think Dubas should be cut a little bit of slack on the Kadri trade. Everybody knew he had to be traded after arguably costing the Leafs two playoff series in a row. And his first deal was to Calgary for Brodie, who is clearly an excellent fit, but that got nixed. And even if you didn’t think Barrie was the best fit, I doubt anybody predicted he would go from a 60-point defenseman to barely bottom pair calibre, and part of that was misuse by Babcock, who was far too set in his ways. The Marleau and Johnsson trades were cap casualties. The former is Lou’s fault, if Dubas hadn’t traded that 1st he woulda lost a more important player for below market value, and while he lost the Johnsson trade, at least Anderson might be a cheap contributor for the next two seasons, and again it’s better than moving a key piece (you could argue he won the combo of trading Kapanen+Johnsson for cap room). The Rittich trade was a mid-round pick for a rental goalie, he wasn’t great but he was never supposed to be more than a #3 not named Hutchinson so that’s not that bad. The Foligno trade was proper horrible though, I think he got tired of hearing how there was no grit and decided to prove that overpaying for grit/leadership isn’t how you win lol.
I think his three worst decisions are the Murray trade (although we should maybe see if Murray’s post-demotion pre-injury numbers weren’t a flash in the pan). the Foligno trade, and protecting Holl over Kerfoot/McCann. And yes I will acknowledge that the Murray trade is a huge risk and a lopsided deal in terms of Day 1 value, but it is slightly better than still not having a goalie in 3 days. Although I feel sorry for you if it goes poorly, because Dubas will be gone, the new guy will be some old fart that brings in a relic like Bowness and a 4th line grit grinder, the Leafs’s talent will finally push them to a playoff win and the fanbase will be jubilant until the fossil leads them into an extended stretch of mediocrity through Matthews’s prime. I feel like the second the Leafs win one round, they probably win three under Dubas.
The problem with “fukc it overpay for Kuemper or Campbell” is that if you lose out on them you’re more desperate (and I’d argue Campbell isn’t even an established starter still), and if you do get one you have zero money for necessary upgrades elsewhere. The fact that he’s found so many cheap guys like Bunting, Spezza, Giordano, etc. is crazy, and much better than any other GM’s track record as far as signings go. But being set up to be forced to have 5 of those guys in your top 9 is just doomed to failure, which is why it’s important to cut costs where possible (i.e. Murray) and hope for the best, so you can add at least 1, maybe 2 mid-cost (2-3mil) guys to the top 9. I would fully expect the Leafs to target guys like Milano, Steel, and Heinen. The flat cap definitely screwed the Leafs more than other teams, but in hindsight Dubas has done a much better job of handling it than several other GMs considering he has always had the worst starting position.
At the end of the day there’s no excuse for a team that got 115 points to not win at least a round or two, regardless of who they played. There’s no excuse for a team that steamrolled their division last year to not reach the conference final. There’s no excuse for them not to smoke a supremely less talented Blue Jackets team. And there’s really no excuse for choking back to back series against the Bruins (including a 3-2 series lead), even if they weren’t the favourite in one of them. Like Dubas set this team up to easily have won 4 playoff rounds by now, maybe more, and any less than that number is on the players.
I also don’t think you can fault him for being true to his guys, as unfortunate as that is. If the GM doesn’t believe in them, why should the fans? Or the players themselves? He’s banking on talent eventually breaking out, just like it did in Washington, and Tampa Bay, and Colorado despite years of crushing losses for those teams. The Leafs just have their crushing losses in round one instead of two lol.