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2022-23 NHL Season Discussion Thread #6: No More Summer of Dorion

Dec. 10, 2022 at 12:46 a.m.
#951
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Quoting: Juiceman
No because that chart is TWO YEARS OLD. Is that seriously so hard to understand? How can you analyse a player using a JFRESH card that is 2 years old and has no data from recent years? Obviously Dadanov doesn't have a projected 81% WAR, it isn't 2020


The Dadonov one is showing his 19/20, 20/21 and 21/22. So last summer he was a top 6 player and VGK dumped him, but became a bad player after 22 games in MTL?

Why didn't MTL flipped him if he was such a great player with 81% WAR back then? Could have retained half and every teams would have drooled over Dadonov 81% WAR?
Dec. 10, 2022 at 12:49 a.m.
#952
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Double post
Dec. 10, 2022 at 12:52 a.m.
#953
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Quoting: LIRIK
The Dadonov one is showing his 19/20, 20/21 and 21/22. So last summer he was a top 6 player and VGK dumped him, but became a bad player after 22 games in MTL?

Why didn't MTL flipped him if he was such a great player with 81% WAR back then? Could have retained half and every teams would have drooled over Dadonov 81% WAR?


You said Dadanov was a bad player. Not me. He has having a bad year but was a pretty solid player for Vegas. Vegas also dumped Pacioretty who is a very good player. You need to learn to separate the player from the contract. Some good players have bad contracts which make them difficult to move. Dadanov is an ok player with an overpriced contract and is a winger so he has no value
Dec. 10, 2022 at 12:56 a.m.
#954
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Quoting: Juiceman
You said Dadanov was a bad player. Not me. He has having a bad year but was a pretty solid player for Vegas. Vegas also dumped Pacioretty who is a very good player. You need to learn to separate the player from the contract. Some good players have bad contracts which make them difficult to move. Dadanov is an ok player with an overpriced contract and is a winger so he has no value


But if he's just an ok player, how does he have a 81% WAR?
Dec. 10, 2022 at 12:58 a.m.
#955
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Quoting: LIRIK
But if he's just an ok player, how does he have a 81% WAR?


He probably doesn't anymore.
Dec. 10, 2022 at 1:01 a.m.
#956
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Breaking news: Canucks insider is broken
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Dec. 10, 2022 at 1:06 a.m.
#957
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Quoting: Juiceman
He probably doesn't anymore.


Yeah, but if you can't relate on last year WAR to project how good a player is supposed to be this year, then what are they for?

According to his WAR, if he had been a UFA last summer, Dadonov should have signed for more than his actual contract. Would he have been worth it?

The other image i tried to link showed Mete and Kulak both had the same WAR last year. Kulak is playing top 4 for the Oilers this year and Mete is an AHLer.
Dec. 10, 2022 at 1:07 a.m.
#958
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Quoting: LIRIK
Yeah, but if you can't relate on last year WAR to project how good a player is supposed to be this year, then what are they for?

According to his WAR, if he had been a UFA last summer, Dadonov should have signed for more than his actual contract. Would he have been worth it?

The other image i tried to link and didn't work, showed Mete and Kulak both had the same WAR. Kulak is playing top 4 for the Oilers this year and Mete is an AHLer.


If you can't even interpret a Jfresh card, what is the point of using one? It shows that Dadanov has consistently been a very good offensive player. His defense was quite bad except for last year where it went up. In the end, he is a solid player, but more of a one dimensional one.
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Dec. 10, 2022 at 1:28 a.m.
#959
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Quoting: Juiceman
If you can't even interpret a Jfresh card, what is the point of using one? It shows that Dadanov has consistently been a very good offensive player. His defense was quite bad except for last year where it went up. In the end, he is a solid player, but more of a one dimensional one.


You said he was an ok player. But with 81% WAR, how much could he have signed for if he was a UFA last summer?

And by the way, Dadonov had better basic and advanced stats than Lehkonen, who signed for 4.5M with Colorado.

Would you say Dadonov is a better player than Lehkonen? That's what last season advanced stats shows.
Dec. 10, 2022 at 7:14 a.m.
#960
SHL NJD GM
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Quoting: Juiceman
Advanced stats aren't very good for hockey because they expose the flaws of Montreal Canadiens players and you just aren't ready to accept that. Advanced stats is just math. It is objective. Eye test is subjective. You can't judge a player just by watching them. You can't expect to pick up all the small details they do. Anderson being big and tough makes him a perfect fourth liner, only problem is that he is paid 5.5 mil a year. You don't pay bottom 6 grinders 5.5 mil a year


Unfortunately they aren’t, or else all analytics models would be the same and you’re forgetting that public analytics models don’t get all the stats an NHL team’s model would
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Dec. 10, 2022 at 11:12 a.m.
#961
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Quoting: LIRIK
But if he's just an ok player, how does he have a 81% WAR?


There's context to everything you are sharing. It's not a direct correlation between Good Advanced Numbers and A Good Hockey player. Same with Bad=Bad
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Dec. 10, 2022 at 12:22 p.m.
#962
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Quoting: NHLfan10506
If someone had the ability to watch every player from every team play every game (that would be amazing).
In meantime, stats can be useful for measuring players one does not watch against ones that they do watch.

If I am making a judgement of Devils players against the league, I'll often use stats.
If I am making a judgement of Devils players against other Devils players, I'll trust both stats and my eye.

(and what is "my narrative" exactly?)


Your judgement of devils players shouldn’t be accepted as fact. Analytics are by far a better representation of a players impact than your eye test.

You want to use analytics when they support your opinion, and ignore them when they don’t
Dec. 10, 2022 at 12:47 p.m.
#963
Hakuna Matata
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https://twitter.com/KF_Kadri43/status/1601042550659616769

The growth of these 2 has been sweet especially with Rielly going down

And together both Sandin and Liligren only cost 2.8mill this and next year
Dec. 10, 2022 at 1:02 p.m.
#964
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Quoting: Devil
So Bergeron and Stone aren’t Selke candidates either?



What would you have wanted the Devils to do? Just stand their and act like nothing happened?


I think Bergeron is not a Selke Candadite this year, when you lead the league in offensive zone starts I'm not sure how you can be considered top defensive center. But we will see.
Dec. 10, 2022 at 1:05 p.m.
#965
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Quoting: Devil




Craziest part of this is he has a minute of more shift before right n then a 10s bench?
Dec. 10, 2022 at 1:41 p.m.
#966
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Quoting: BuFfaLOFaN
Craziest part of this is he has a minute of more shift before right n then a 10s bench?


There was a TV timeout, a team timeout, a goal scored and about 5-6 stoppages within that shift. It’s not like it was 6+ minutes without a rest.
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Dec. 10, 2022 at 2:42 p.m.
#967
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Quoting: KSIxSKULLS
There's context to everything you are sharing. It's not a direct correlation between Good Advanced Numbers and A Good Hockey player. Same with Bad=Bad


That was my point. I was trying to explain to him how a good player can have bad advanced stats, and a bad player can have good advanced stats.

He think that's impossible. To him, bad advanced stats = bad player.
Dec. 10, 2022 at 2:48 p.m.
#968
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Skinner 3 game suspension for crosschecking

DOPS really aint playing around these days
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Dec. 10, 2022 at 2:54 p.m.
#969
WentWughes
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Quoting: LIRIK
That was my point. I was trying to explain to him how a good player can have bad advanced stats, and a bad player can have good advanced stats.

He think that's impossible. To him, bad advanced stats = bad player.


I'm saying you have to look at certain advanced stats and compare them with other stats like TOI, Linemates, Line Role ETC. There's more than just those numbers.
Dec. 10, 2022 at 3:07 p.m.
#970
Ovchinnikov 137
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I mean, it’s just getting too easy to dump on them lol
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Dec. 10, 2022 at 3:13 p.m.
#971
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Quoting: MatthewsFan




I mean, it’s just getting too easy to dump on them lol


When u take Friendly fire to the next level
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Dec. 10, 2022 at 3:16 p.m.
#972
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Quoting: NHLfan10506
There was a TV timeout, a team timeout, a goal scored and about 5-6 stoppages within that shift. It’s not like it was 6+ minutes without a rest.


Is there a reason he never got off?
Dec. 10, 2022 at 3:17 p.m.
#973
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Quoting: MatthewsFan




I mean, it’s just getting too easy to dump on them lol

Doing whatever he can to improve the defense, even if it means taking out Travis Hamonic
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Dec. 10, 2022 at 3:20 p.m.
#974
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Apparently there is an NHL team willing to give Horvat 9+ million a year as they think he is a younger Ryan O’Reilly. I really hope it isn’t the Canucks that think that
Dec. 10, 2022 at 3:23 p.m.
#975
Ovchinnikov 137
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Quoting: Juiceman
Apparently there is an NHL team willing to give Horvat 9+ million a year as they think he is a younger Ryan O’Reilly. I really hope it isn’t the Canucks that think that


Lol CLB
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