Edited Aug. 9, 2019 at 6:40 p.m.
Quoting: F50marco
They're not making the playoffs??? Well why the hell are they even playing then??? Just pack up and wait till Eichel and Dahlin are in their primes than try.....lol
When someone says that they're not making the playoffs: It means the likelyhood of
making the playoffs:
Slim
For example:
I would give right now for the Sabres: Maximum of 20% of making the playoffs, if things go the standard way, without huge injuries or huge trades for the whole year. But offseason not over yet, so things can change, and next month, after a huge trade it can go up to 25-30%. But i just can't see it right now. But you never know...
On the other hand: Boston, Toronto, Tampa: 90% chance to make the playoffs.
You see the difference between those percentages? It's like theese teams in a different kind of league on the same division, than the Sabres. So the Sabres only has a chance for 4th place for the start there.
That's really bad to start a season with odds like that.
But the answer is a couple of names: Matthews, Kucherov, Vasilevsky, Tavares, Bergeron, Marchand etc... These guys not comparable to a guy like Dahlin, who starts his 2nd year, and yes he can be a future superstar in the NHL, but when we talk about next season, we need to value the players from the last season, and add a little, if young, or detract some, if age = over 30 ( general regression).
The biggest problem i see with Buffallo is Goaltending: I just can't see a huge change from last season.
For example Florida for Bobrovsky = i can see a crazy improvement there. So you can bet Florida will be much better = bad for Buffalo.
So yes Buffalo improved some, but not that much to change things dramatically, unless other teams starts to play bad hockey. But what's the chance when Bergeron is healthy that Boston is losing incredible amount of games in next season, when they have a solid defense they can rely on, so only need to score 2-3 goals/ games. They will probably reach ~ 100 points as they usually do in recent years.
Carey Price = voted for best goalie for years in the league = Montreal will probably finish ahead of Buffalo after 2019/2020 reg season ends.
Let's see the power rankings based on my predictions.
From the metro div:
WSH,PIT,Carolina kinda super safe picks for playoffs.
NYR,NYI,NYD = huge improvements = possible playoffs contenders from metro
So these 6 teams, on paper = better than Sabres
PHI kinda same as last year = hit or miss. CBJ = worse than last year for sure.
So Buff would make 6-7th place if they were on the other division. Yes there are miracles, but i just can't see a team with like Crosby,Ovechkin suffering through the whole year = less than ~ 85-90 points. It's kinda unlikely.
Continue the atl div:
Det,Ott = rebuilding = you can bet that they will be under 85 points... = no playoffs
Montreal = kinda same , like philly = around ~ 90 points i would say
Florida = again, super big improvements = better than Sabres, for now.
So if we build a ranking for the Atlantic:
1-3:Bos,Tor,Tampa
4-5:Mtl,Florida
6: Sabres
7: Det
8:Ott
same thing for Metro:
1-3:Wsh,Pit,Car
4-6:NYR,NYI,NJD
7:Phi
8:Col
So the problem is:
5 from Atlantic,6 from Metro = 11 teams right now looking better, based on past season and signings, tradings.
That makes Buffalo the 12th team on the EAST based on power rankings.
So lets say they finish before montreal and florida, which is a reach.
The problem that it's still not looking good, because the 3 NY teams probably makes more points, at least 2 of them next season.
So its really likely it goes 3 from atl and 5 from metro in the case if buff finishes 4th with like 95 points in the atlantic divsion. So 9th place = out of playoffs again.
So thats not looking good, based on my predictions.
But when we look up odds on bookies for conference finishes:
Buffalo:14th
Fair enough, pretty close to my predictions, they predict for Buffalo ( around 84 points for the regular season).
So for Buffalo to make the playoffs, at least 4-6 teams performance would really need to be really bad over the whole season.
As you can see i was generous ranking buffalo on the east the 12th best team at the moment. (compared to the experts who are making the odds)
So i wouldn't be surprised if they finish under 80 points, and miss the playoffs by a mile.
On the other hand, i would be surprised seeing Buffalo making 100 points and make the playoffs.
Anyways, things not looking bright for Buffalo... but i still wish
good luck for the next season. And hopefully they prove everybody wrong