I'd say Anderson is misplaced here but there are definitely GMs dumb enough to do that. I'd include Severson on this list.

Interesting, but I don't know how well McCabe has been playing, but I don't see him worth a first, unless if he's been really good this year.

What's the appeal of Joel Edmundson exactly?

Not sure about oreilly, Henrique, Perron and Edmundson. On the fence with toews and gavrikov

Henrique, Toews (b/c of cap hit) & Bertuzzi don’t return a 1st imo but otherwise sounds about right.
You’ve listed 21 players but <10 teams will (should) be willing to part with their 1st rounders - will be an interesting TDL. If only the artificially low cap wasn’t blocking so much potential activity

Edmundson BIG. BIG good! 👺

It's the same thing as Chiarot.

I’m sure a GM would bc big = good but for various reasons I’d have a really hard time wrapping my head around sending a first for Perron Bert Anderson Edmunson ROR Toews. I guess if you start throwing retention in the argument gets easier but I’d still be on the fence.

A lot of fans of non playoff teams tend to:
1/ overvalue their players
2/ forget that leverage works both ways; a lot of these players can leave as FA so there is pressure on gms to get something for them

For a lot of reasons (lots of impact players likely available, limited cap space amongst contenders), I think (hope 🤞) it’ll be a buyer’s market .
Wings fans (in particular) seem to think if they don’t get the return they want, that can just extend their pending FAs. Pretty sure it doesn’t work that way - most players test FA rather than accept extension this late in the game

Sometimes it happens that way (Filip Forsberg), but not that often.

All depends if there are other pieces involved, i.e Toews and a 3rd/4th for a 1st

ROR deserves a first. All these guys could get a first, and it wouldn't be so unrealistic.

Anderson and Toews should not be getting 1st rounders as part of a return.

Anderson should have negative value to be honest, but 90% of NHL GMs are idiots.

Toews should fetch a 3rd rounder at most. He sucks now.

The only guy who I think will resign is Larkin. I have a feeling he will bend to Stevie Y & will be a Wing for life.

On ArmChair GM, if you don't trade any of these guys for a first, its considered a hard no from those teams fans lol.

Yep, totally agree. I think it trending more towards a buyers market like you mentioned is an important factor, especially paired with limited cap space amongst the teams looking for upgrades.

Also, something not mentioned too much is NTC/NMC protection from some players on or off of this list. We’ve seen it play out in the past that returns are limited bc a player only wants to go to a certain team (recent examples are Giroux and Hall).

Yeah, they could. But I think a lot of it will depend on amount of players available versus demand (trending towards a buyers market) and even if a first is sent for these guys it probably won’t be black and white. For example if I’m sending a first for ROR I’m probably expecting full retention or there are other pieces thrown in from both sides to tamp down the value.

It’s all semantics I guess. We’ll see how it plays out.

Definitely 1st: Meier, Larkin, Konecny, Chychrun, Ekholm, Demko

1st with retention: Kane, Karlsson, Toews

Maybe 1st: Tarasenko, Bennett, Jenner, Gavrikov, Vejmelka

Bubble 1st/2nd: O'Reilly, Henrique

Probably 2nd: Bertuzzi, Perron, McCabe, Edmundson

Less with retention: Anderson

good

Bertuzzi, Henrique, Toews, and Vajlmelka doesn't get a first

Translation... the Detroit Red Wings are living rent free inside my head.

Or Stamkos. Wonder who his GM was? 🤔

Best C Rental: OReilly
Best W Rental: Meier
Best D Rental: Gavrikov (though Schenn will have a lot of interest and may end up the top pick simply because there will be more teams able to fit him in)
There's no rental G on the market that will return a 1st.

I'm taking into account Toews/Kane's and Larkin's apparent reluctance to leave their teams and trade protections limiting the market for several players.

I don't think we will see many players with term moved. There are a couple potential big trades that have been percolating (and Meier falls into both categories). Chychrun may finally move, but the rest aren't really deadline moves.

Everyone else will likely be a hockey trade, prospect as the main piece, or a 2nd+ at best.

There are a number of players on this list that get a 1st ONLY if there is retention.

No one is paying a first for McCabe, Anderson, Toews etc without retention. I realize that the retention may be required to facilitate the trade, but the players aren't worth it by themselves (less of a big deal on UFAs--expected to retain)