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Will Alexis Lafreniere Be A Bust

Created by: AnalyticsGeek
Team: 2020-21 Detroit Red Wings
Initial Creation Date: Mar. 25, 2020
Published: Mar. 25, 2020
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Description
A lot of people believe Alexis Lafreniere is going to be a bust. Obviously anything can happen, but does his game seem like it will translate well to the NHL? His speed is decent, but he doesn’t have that big explosive skating stride that lets him burn opposing players. He’s not very flashy with the puck but seems very efficient. Outstanding awareness. I’ve noticed that he works pretty hard off the puck too. He goes to the dirty areas, he battles and hits. Seems like a complete player.
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RFAYEARSCAP HIT
5$6,000,000
7$8,000,000
2$2,250,000
2$950,000
2$950,000
2$950,000
8$9,500,000
Trades
DET
  1. Murray, Matt [RFA Rights]
PIT
  1. 2020 1st round pick (DET)
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(Alexis Lafreniere)
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2020
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2022
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ROSTER SIZESALARY CAPCAP HITOVERAGES TooltipBONUSESCAP SPACE
25$83,000,000$71,616,666$0$2,335,000$11,383,334
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LW, RW
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C
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LW, RW
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$2,250,000$2,250,000
LW
UFA - 2
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$894,167$894,167 (Performance Bonus$212,500$212K)
C
RFA - 3
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RW, LW
RFA - 2
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$894,166$894,166 (Performance Bonus$850,000$850K)
LW, C
UFA - 1
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$5,250,000$5,250,000
C, LW
M-NTC
UFA - 2
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C, LW
M-NTC
UFA - 1
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LD
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G
UFA - 4
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$714,166$714,166 (Performance Bonus$157,500$158K)
RD
RFA - 1
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$3,000,000$3,000,000
G
UFA - 1
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$894,166$894,166
LD
RFA - 1
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$764,167$764,167 (Performance Bonus$132,500$132K)
LD
RFA - 3
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$1,500,000$1,500,000
LD
UFA - 1
ScratchesInjured Reserve (IR)Long Term IR (LTIR)
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$950,000$950,000
RW, LW
UFA
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$6,083,333$6,083,333
C
UFA - 1
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$950,000$950,000
LW, RW
UFA - 1
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$950,000$950,000
LW
UFA - 1
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$875,000$875,000
RD
UFA - 1
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$775,833$775,833 (Performance Bonus$132,500$132K)
RD
RFA - 1

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Mar. 25, 2020 at 12:20 p.m.
#26
Hockey IQ
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Quoting: MaxDomi13
Laf would be worth more imo, probably a package


Quoting: MitchMarnerElite


Quoting: aedoran
Since winning the Cup Murray ranks 35th in GAA and SV%.


Quoting: justaBoss
I think that it's way too early to consider him being a potential bust.

Let's have this discussion in 2023.

Until then, nothing short of Matthews (or something in that ballpark) will not move the pick that gets Lafreniere, no matter which team we're talking about.


Quoting: aedoran
Pittsburgh has some great players but most of them are 30 and older. So if your favorite team had the #1OA pick what would it take for Pittsburgh to get that pick?


Quoting: Teemu_salami
At this point Laffy Taffy is almost untouchable.
if he were to be traded that price is too small.
also Its too early to tell if hes a bust yet.


If Detroit wins the Draft Lottery, there’s no way they move the pick unless they get a kings ransom! I think the only way the #1 pick could be moved is if a borderline playoff team like say Winnipeg, Florida, Nashville, or New York won and wanted to speed up that asset and traded it for pieces to help them now.
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Mar. 25, 2020 at 12:24 p.m.
#27
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Quoting: Jeuck75
That is a MASSIVE overpayment for Matt Murray. He is nowhere near that worth. That would have to be the worst contract in the NHL. I'd say he's worth around 3-5 million.

100% agree. The only way he lands vasilefski(how do u spell that) money is if he goes back to 2016-17 Murray 10 times over and say has a sv % of .930 and a GAA of 2.20 and wins us the cup this year and next year...
He’ll provably take 4Mish for a year to fight Jarry for the job then whoever loses or is too expensive will be shopped or go to Seattle.
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Mar. 25, 2020 at 12:26 p.m.
#28
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Quoting: Pens3lieve
100% agree. The only way he lands vasilefski(how do u spell that) money is if he goes back to 2016-17 Murray 10 times over and say has a sv % of .930 and a GAA of 2.20 and wins us the cup this year and next year...
He’ll provably take 4Mish for a year to fight Jarry for the job then whoever loses or is too expensive will be shopped or go to Seattle.


Andrei Vasilevskiy, lol
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Mar. 25, 2020 at 12:33 p.m.
#29
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Quoting: SammyT_51
"Will Alexis Lafreniere Be A Bust" when clearly he wouldnt be a bust and you just want people to comment angrily like "is this a ****ing joke blah blah blah..". The guy is not gonna be a bust and nobody said that he would be a bust.


anyone can be a bust.

Sean Day was a bust.
Nail Yakupov was a bust.
Patrik Stefan was a bust.
Alexandre Daigle was a bust.

there are lots of busts who were projected as the next "hero" at some point or another.
The whole point of drafting is you never really know.

But I really want to know who "A lot of people believe Alexis Lafreniere is going to be a bust. " are?
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Mar. 25, 2020 at 12:49 p.m.
#30
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Dude, please just stop with these posts. It makes the rest of us pens fans look bad. It’s not even funny anymore. Most people don’t know you’re a troll and it just makes the rest of our fan group look bad. This is your second account anyways because your first one was deleted so you shouldn’t even be on here anyways.
Mar. 25, 2020 at 12:49 p.m.
#31
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Quoting: Billy739
he misunderstood

TSN690 was talking about him being like Patrick Nolan and being picked over
i never heard anything about a bust just that some question if Stutzle success vs profesional men hasnt earned him favor pointing out Lafrenierre unlike Matthews chose to stay and play vs less competition.

i dont think anyone would think he's a bust
i just think he's more a of a Lecavlier then a Crosby


I agree, but I also think that Matthews & Stutzle, they played on a more stacked team than Lafreniere so it sort of justifies why Lafreniere is getting picked first despite playing in weaker competition. This Rimouski team, they are not strong compared to other junior teams. For example, MacKinnon had Drouin, Weegar, Fucale & Frk. Marner had Tkachuk, Dvorak, Jones, Thomas, Mete, Juolevi & Bouchard. Lafreniere is carrying his team making guys like Pare & Zavgorodiny look decent. That’s some incredible stuff.
Mar. 25, 2020 at 12:50 p.m.
#32
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The hardest part about Lafreniere comparisons is he actually plays his position defensively extremely well, along with the offensive talent (especially since he's not a C, but a LW). Not only is he just plain responsible on the defensive side, but he backchecks and battles in corners, which can have an effect on his counting numbers (too bad they don't have Corsi, Fenwick, or any other advanced stats for CHL teams). Usually, guys at this level of talent and age can just out talent their mistakes, instead of trying to outwork mistakes, and it takes them a year or two in the NHL to learn that (McDavid had that issue in his first year really bad, but learned very quickly, so did Crosby even with all those points).

Lafreniere is not on McDavid or Crosby's level, but could be one of the more talented non-Cs to be drafted in recent years. He is definitely better than Hischier and Patrick, and maybe even Jack Hughes. I saw someone say Taylor Hall, probably a better defensively version of Taylor Hall.
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Mar. 25, 2020 at 12:51 p.m.
#33
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Quoting: DiehardRedWingsFan58
It's a freaking joke? Alexis Lafreniere is nowhere near bust territory. And if Detroit does land the #1 overall pick it's definitely not for this. And all of your signings Bertuzzi, Mantha and Murray are way over-priced.


Quoting: DiehardRedWingsFan58
Yeah this guy is a Troll, That's an laugh offer to give up the #1 overall pick.


Quoting: A_K
1. the OP
2. the trade
3. the narrative that a lot of people are saying he will bust


Quoting: justaBoss
Sweet dreams.


Quoting: mikearky
A troll post is one that states the player most pundits believe is a sure fire NHL'er and then trades a goalie who has not been very good this year and has lost his starting job is traded for said prospect.

In other words this post. Wings could trade that pick for a lower pick and more or a package of young players and picks not a a goalie who is not the starter and will try to command a large salary.

Do you really believe Wings would trade 1st overall for Murray?


Quoting: Teemu_salami
At this point Laffy Taffy is almost untouchable.
if he were to be traded that price is too small.
also Its too early to tell if hes a bust yet.


Just add this guy to your mute list. This is his second account on here. He’s trying to make pens fans look bad. Don’t give him the time of day.
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Mar. 25, 2020 at 12:55 p.m.
#34
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Quoting: SammyT_51
I wonder how many people would take the bait on this post. Its obviously a troll post.


Quoting: A_K
1. the OP
2. the trade
3. the narrative that a lot of people are saying he will bust


Quoting: DiehardRedWingsFan58
Maybe because you don't give up a potential franchise player for a goalies who's numbers have been trending down since he last won the cup. This is pure laughable if you think Detroit would ever make this deal. It's pure trash for us.


I asked a genuine question about whether or not his game will translate well to the NHL level. There are many people on YouTube, Twitter & Instagram who say he’s nothing special.
Mar. 25, 2020 at 12:56 p.m.
#35
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Quoting: mhockey91
Just add this guy to your mute list. This is his second account on here. He’s trying to make pens fans look bad. Don’t give him the time of day.


already done tears of joy
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Mar. 25, 2020 at 12:56 p.m.
#36
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Quoting: MaxDomi13
Laf would be worth more imo, probably a package


Quoting: DiehardRedWingsFan58
Yeah this guy is a Troll, That's an laugh offer to give up the #1 overall pick.


Quoting: mikearky
A troll post is one that states the player most pundits believe is a sure fire NHL'er and then trades a goalie who has not been very good this year and has lost his starting job is traded for said prospect.

In other words this post. Wings could trade that pick for a lower pick and more or a package of young players and picks not a a goalie who is not the starter and will try to command a large salary.

Do you really believe Wings would trade 1st overall for Murray?


Quoting: Teemu_salami
At this point Laffy Taffy is almost untouchable.
if he were to be traded that price is too small.
also Its too early to tell if hes a bust yet.


How about Poulin, Legare, Joseph & Murray for Lafreniere?
Mar. 25, 2020 at 12:56 p.m.
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I won’t be a generational talent Like Crosby or Mcdavid! He play a lot like Peter Forsberg, a lot a skill with a physical edge, great skater, good shoot, excellent passing skill. Don’t expect him to put 80 point next season on team like Detroit he will likely need a couple of season before raising is stock to the elite level.
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Mar. 25, 2020 at 12:57 p.m.
#38
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Quoting: MitchMarnerElite


I mean.... I wish but never would happen
Mar. 25, 2020 at 12:58 p.m.
#39
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Quoting: MitchMarnerElite
How about Poulin, Legare, Joseph & Murray for Lafreniere?


Dude, it’s not happening. Just stop. This site is for (somewhat) realistic trade discussions. The only way Pens land Laf is if they do the draft lottery like they did in 2005 when every team had a chance. (Which is actually an interesting armchair to make lol)
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Mar. 25, 2020 at 12:58 p.m.
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Quoting: Sebybbq
I won’t be a generational talent Like Crosby or Mcdavid! He play a lot like Peter Forsberg, a lot a skill with a physical edge, great skater, good shoot, excellent passing skill. Don’t expect him to put 80 point next season on team like Detroit he will likely need a couple of season before raising is stock to the elite level.


yes you are right i doubt you will be a generational talent sorry
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Mar. 25, 2020 at 12:59 p.m.
#41
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Quoting: TMarch
The hardest part about Lafreniere comparisons is he actually plays his position defensively extremely well, along with the offensive talent (especially since he's not a C, but a LW). Not only is he just plain responsible on the defensive side, but he backchecks and battles in corners, which can have an effect on his counting numbers (too bad they don't have Corsi, Fenwick, or any other advanced stats for CHL teams). Usually, guys at this level of talent and age can just out talent their mistakes, instead of trying to outwork mistakes, and it takes them a year or two in the NHL to learn that (McDavid had that issue in his first year really bad, but learned very quickly, so did Crosby even with all those points).

Lafreniere is not on McDavid or Crosby's level, but could be one of the more talented non-Cs to be drafted in recent years. He is definitely better than Hischier and Patrick, and maybe even Jack Hughes. I saw someone say Taylor Hall, probably a better defensively version of Taylor Hall.


Thank you for the analysis. I agree, I’ve noticed that he’s a good defensive Forward & he goes into the corner. Do you think he can be better than Pastrnak & Matthews?
Mar. 25, 2020 at 1:00 p.m.
#42
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Quoting: mhockey91
Dude, it’s not happening. Just stop. This site is for (somewhat) realistic trade discussions. The only way Pens land Laf is if they do the draft lottery like they did in 2005 when every team had a chance. (Which is actually an interesting armchair to make lol)


Well if the season gets cancelled, maybe they will do that type of draft lottery.
Mar. 25, 2020 at 1:01 p.m.
#43
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Quoting: mhockey91
Dude, please just stop with these posts. It makes the rest of us pens fans look bad. It’s not even funny anymore. Most people don’t know you’re a troll and it just makes the rest of our fan group look bad. This is your second account anyways because your first one was deleted so you shouldn’t even be on here anyways.


LOL, Love the new pic of D. Murray
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Mar. 25, 2020 at 1:01 p.m.
#44
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Quoting: pharrow
anyone can be a bust.

Sean Day was a bust.
Nail Yakupov was a bust.
Patrik Stefan was a bust.
Alexandre Daigle was a bust.

there are lots of busts who were projected as the next "hero" at some point or another.
The whole point of drafting is you never really know.

But I really want to know who "A lot of people believe Alexis Lafreniere is going to be a bust. " are?


Alexandre Daigle was probably the only one in that list that was really projected as a super elite star. Yakupov was not a consensus 1st overall i a extremely weak draft year. Patrick stefan was drafted on a early 2000 draft where hockey talent was very rare at that time, not a big draft year. And sean day have received the exceptional status but have never enter conversation to even be a 1st overall pick.
Mar. 25, 2020 at 1:03 p.m.
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Quoting: MaxDomi13
yes you are right i doubt you will be a generational talent sorry


Une
Mar. 25, 2020 at 1:03 p.m.
#46
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Quoting: pharrow
anyone can be a bust.

Sean Day was a bust.
Nail Yakupov was a bust.
Patrik Stefan was a bust.
Alexandre Daigle was a bust.

there are lots of busts who were projected as the next "hero" at some point or another.
The whole point of drafting is you never really know.

But I really want to know who "A lot of people believe Alexis Lafreniere is going to be a bust. " are?


Well there’s lots of people on YouTube, Twitter & Instagram who believe that Lafreniere stinks.
Mar. 25, 2020 at 1:04 p.m.
#47
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Quoting: MaxDomi13
yes you are right i doubt you will be a generational talent sorry


Si ta rien d’intelligent Farme toi
Mar. 25, 2020 at 1:05 p.m.
#48
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Quoting: Sebybbq
Si ta rien d’intelligent Farme toi


vous avez peut-être raison
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Mar. 25, 2020 at 1:08 p.m.
#49
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Quoting: Sebybbq
Alexandre Daigle was probably the only one in that list that was really projected as a super elite star. Yakupov was not a consensus 1st overall i a extremely weak draft year. Patrick stefan was drafted on a early 2000 draft where hockey talent was very rare at that time, not a big draft year. And sean day have received the exceptional status but have never enter conversation to even be a 1st overall pick.


That's the whole point on Sean Day. Did you not read what I typed. All of them at one point were considered the next great player. Including him. They all ended up being busts.
You have a lot of excuses for guys who were drafted 1st over all who didn't become anything. No matter how you want to put it they were busts. Because if you are going 1st over all the people drafting you are saying, you will at least become something of value.
Lets also be honest. This is a short list. There are more out there.
In the end trying to argue the fact that being drafted a consensus number 1 is somehow being immune from being a bust is naive at best.
Mar. 25, 2020 at 1:12 p.m.
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Quoting: Sidstick87
LOL, Love the new pic of D. Murray


Penguins legend. Best skater I’ve ever seen. Makes Crosby’s edgework look bad. wink
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