Edited Mar. 23, 2021 at 9:57 p.m.
Quoting: Wqrrior
What's your honest assessment of Hertl's value?
I personally think papishark has single handedly exponentially increased the perceived value of him on this website into something unviable and unrealistic.
Of course they might not move him, but if he is moved, is it realistic to assign his value to about what Trocheck should have gotten if the Panthers weren't fleeced? I've seen the Duchene trade to CBJ used as a comparison too.
IDK, it just seems like so much personal interference as to his value has overcome realism as to assessing his value on here. Seemingly viable trade ideas get shunned for falling short to the Sharks demands.
You seem to be the most realistic and extensive Sharks fan in terms of your assessments of things - so what would a realistic return be? (note that this isn't ideal return, since that is often inflated by bias)
"You seem to be the most realistic and extensive Sharks fan in terms of your assessments of things - so what would a realistic return be? (note that this isn't ideal return, since that is often inflated by bias)"
lol ty
"I personally think papishark has single handedly exponentially increased the perceived value of him on this website into something unviable and unrealistic."
lmfao idk why that killed me - id be proud of that lol
Now as for the Hertl discussion its a very mixed bag.
I kinda agree with both arguments for Hertl
A) Being worth ton - a solid return for a amazing player (top prospect, 1st, good prospect - Lundell, FLA 1st, Knight (yall have driedger, Levi and Knight chill FLA) or Denisenko)
and
B) Being a average 1C - top 6C who deserves a return but nothing special as he is not "special" (prospect, 1st, prospect/ add)
Ive had discussions with many fans over Hertls career and his perceived value vs what his value should be.
Hertl over the last 3 season (at the least I'm just going to use the last 3, 4 including this year) has been the Sharks best player in my opinion and many peoples opinions.
This year he hasn't' but there's time for that to change as he hasn't been bad at all. He may not provide 80 pts, but he provides everywhere and in big moments - period.. I like comparing him to a player like what Krejci was - a guy who can be your 1C, and the best player a lot of nights - but is solid 2C/ top 6 with top line ability (not saying theyre comparable career wise etc etc etc). Hes a guy you'd pay a good chunk to have on your team.
At the same time Hertl also has the injury history and has not really broken out consistently (only once or twice) (which is mainly due to injury as he likely would have been a consistent 70pt+ guy).
I think the best trade base to use and honestly should be what the Sharks go for is the Zucker trade (Zucker is also a great player who similar to Hertl may not be "elite" but damn good).
I also think Hertl being a C and having a good playoff history adds value (as well as I think Hertl is just better than Zucker; if I had to pick one or the other for 1 game Id go Hertl).
Zucker
for
Project but some value - Galch
A/ near Blue Chip Prospect (Addison)
1st (was 15th OA but changed to this year so N/A)
So I think Hertl IF TRADED AT THE 2020-21 APR 12 TDL:
Hertl @50% Retained
for
Prospect of "A" Value = ex: Boldy, Addison, Newhook, Denisenko
Prospect of decent value or a roster player (middle 6 C, like Kerfoot for balance)
1st rd pick
maybe small add (if its something larger sharks send back a 3rd atleast)
ex:
Hertl @50% Retained
-> COL
Newhook
2021 1st RD (Likely 25-32) or top 10 protected 2022 first
Prospect like Sampo Ranta or Sasha Mutuala (I think thats their names but to summarize basically a C or B prospect)
or
Hertl @50% Retained
-> FLA
Denisenko ( I personally am very HIGH on Denisenko )
Serron Noel ( I PERSONALLY DO NOT LIKE NOEL but ehhhhhhhhh )
2021 1st (top 10 Protected)
IF HERTL IS TRADED IN 2021-22:
Hertl @ 50% Retained
->
A - B Prospect = Could be Denisenko if he hasn't killed his league that he plays in prior
2021 1st (could be reduced to a single second depending on where Hertl and the prospect are in the year)
So basically a damn good prospect and a first (late first, a team who NEEDS a upgrade and will overpay/ cough up like other contenders ie TAMPA do), and another prospect based on the prior values)
HOWEVER (I know this is long lol).
Its Doug Wilson. He may get hate but his trade track record is quite great (dont say the Er** K******* trade thats a cuss), he could conceivably fetch more then what I think.
Although I doubt Hertl is traded this year TDL AND thats big part of Hertls value as just contractually; the play he provides for 2.8?million dollars for 2 playoff runs/ cup runs is a amazing value for your money.
(above average top 6 play who can play top line center)
So if hes traded after this coming TDL, his value instantly gets reduced unless he pops off.