Joined: Aug. 2017
Posts: 8,440
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I think Lukas Sedlak will surprise some people this year
in his 3 NHL seasons he had an elite defensive impact:
16-17: -0.28 relTM xGA/60 and was in the 80th percentile in even strength defensive WAR
17-18: -0.36 relTM xGA/60 and was in the 96th percentile in even strength defensive WAR
18-19: -0.40 relTM xGA/60 and was in the 90th percentile in even strength defensive WAR
but struggled offensively and had poor finishing ability:
16-17: -0.03 relTM xGF/60, was in the 62nd percentile in even strength offensive WAR, and was in the 32nd percentile in shooting ability WAR
17-18: -0.57 relTM xGF/60, was in the 13th percentile in even strength offensive WAR, and was in the 2nd percentile in shooting ability WAR
18-19: -0.06 relTM xGF/60, was in the 49th percentile in even strength offensive WAR, and was in the 21st percentile in shooting ability WAR
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Seems kinda similar to Valeri Nichushkin where he had elite defensive impacts but poor offense and finishing ability in his final season with DAL:
Defense:
18-19: -0.27 relTM xGA/60 and was in the 93rd percentile in even strength defensive WAR
Offense:
18-19: -0.29 relTM xGF/60, was in the 8th percentile in even strength offensive WAR, and was in the 2nd percentile in shooting ability WAR
His next year in Colorado Nichushkin continued his elite defensive play and his offense and finishing ability ended up above average
Defense:
19-20: -0.48 relTM xGA/60 and was in the 99th percentile in even strength defensive WAR
Offense:
19-20: +0.22 relTM xGF/60, was in the 70th percentile in even strength offensive WAR, and was in the 63rd percentile in shooting ability WAR
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Plus Sedlak scored at a 0.74P/GP rate in his 3 KHL seasons while Nichushkin scored at a 0.59P/GP rate in the KHL (not including his rookie year). Nichushkin was younger when he played in the KHL but I think this still means Sedlak has some untapped offensive potential to go along with his elite defensive play. Im not saying Sedlak is going to be the Nichushkin we saw this year, but if he has a good transition back to the NHL I think he can perform like Nichushkin did in 19-20 and 20-21 - a very defensively sound middle 6 winger