Since the bad southeast road trip, the Flames have had a 10 game winning streak (outscoring opponents 42-15), an 11 game home winning streak (outscoring opponents 53-15), and currently have an active 12 game home point streak. In their last 9 games against playoff teams they've won 8 of them by a combined score of 44-19 (pretty much winning 5-2 on average), see below for the matchups, many of them were dominant wins. Of lines with 200+ mins TOI together this season, the top line of Gaudreau-Lindholm-Tkachuk is 4th in xG% with 62.6% and the second line of Mangiapane-Backlund-Coleman is 1st in xG% with 64.5% (Boston's top line is 2nd with 64.2%, Toronto's top line is 3rd with 62.8%, Dallas's top line is 7th with 60.5%, and Colorado's top line is 16th with 57.1% for comparison). In terms of actual goals percentage for lines with 300+ mins TOI, the top line is 4th at 73.8% and the second line is 4th at 71.4% (the first three are Minnesota's GREEF line [is that their 2nd or 3rd line?], Carolina's 3rd line, and Tampa Bay's 4th line lol, Colorado's top line is 5th at 66.7% and Toronto's top line is 7th at 66% for comparison). The top line is also 5th in GF/60 with 4.5 and 12th in GA/60 with 1.59, and they have the most time together of any line in the league by well over 150 minutes lol (640, Dallas's top line is second at 473). The second line is 6th in GA/60 with 1.14. The 3rd line just added Toffoli. All 3 defense pairs have a xG% of 58.5% or better, and all 3 are in the top 5 among D pairs with 300+ mins TOI together (Grzelcyk-McAvoy is 1st, Toews-Makar is 3rd, Calgary's 3rd pair is 2nd, 2nd pair is 4th, and 1st pair is 5th). Markstrom has been rock solid with a .925 SV%, 8 shutouts, and +17 GSAx. (3rd among starters/5th among goalies with 20+ starts, 1st by 3 shutouts, and 6th in the league respectively) and should be in the Vezina conversation (probably Shesterkin's to lose, but Marky should be 2nd imo). Are the Flames a legitimate contender now? Everything seems to be clicking, they have high end talent that dominates, very good depth, very good defense, excellent goaltending, and play very well-rounded hockey up and down the lineup, there aren't many weak links (other than Sutter preferring to play the likes of Ritchie and Richardson over Dube and Ruzicka smh). They're also not pushovers physically, as Zadorov, Gudbranson, and Lucic are huge and physically dominant, and there are a bunch of chippy players that don't shy away from getting mixed up in the dirty areas up and down the lineup, including Tkachuk, Coleman, Toffoli, and Lewis. I can't wait to see them in the playoffs. This Sutter style seems much better suited for that kind of hockey than the Flames of years past, and I really think it should translate effectively to playoff success. When they had that rough stretch of losing to Tampa Bay, Florida, and Carolina, then coming home and losing to the Sens, it seemed like their main weakness was secondary scoring, because the top line is so strong and consistent that it seems like they're just a given to score a goal or two every game, and when they don't it sucks. Since then they've added Toffoli to the 3rd line, Mangiapane has figured out how to score at home (at the 20-goal mark he had 19 road goals and 1 home goal lol), Coleman's bad luck has gone as it seems like he's settled in now (8 goals and 19 points in 25 games since Christmas, compared to only 4 goals and 7 points in the first 27 games), and even Ruzicka was able to add a little bit of scoring capability to the 4th line with 3 goals and 6 points in his last 14 games, although he's now been scratched for a few because Sutter hates rookies.
Recent record vs. playoff teams:
4-3 W (OT) @ COL (with Vladar in net)
5-1 W @ MIN
7-3 W vs. MIN
5-2 W vs. TML (second half of a back to back)
6-0 W vs. VGK
4-3 W @ DAL (came back from 3-1 down with 6 minutes left in the 3rd to win in regulation)
5-1 L @ STL (second half of a back to back with travel)
7-1 W vs. STL
5-1 W vs. FLA