Joined: Jul. 2018
Posts: 349
Likes: 246
This kind of reminds me of the Pesce deal. Looks to be pretty fair value in AAV, and you are basically just buying all of the most expensive years now, and the biggest win comes with having this deal locked in while the cap rises. I find this sort of deal works best on D, because having some consistency and cost certainty when filling in your top 4 is just super useful. At this price, as long as Anderson fits into the top 4, it's at worst fine, and at best a solid bit of surplus value.
Biggest risk is that Anderson is a one dimensional player, and one dimensional players tend to be a bit more volatile, so if his defensive game slips, it becomes more noticable, since that was the only area that he provided value in the first place. It's a risk worth taking, and I think the AAV reflects the risk, so there is likely more room for upside then there is downside from LAs point of view, but it's worth pointing out.