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yycofred

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Forum: Armchair-GMJun. 19, 2023 at 9:35 p.m.
Forum: Armchair-GMFeb. 14, 2023 at 6:45 p.m.
Thread: Dhhdjdj
Forum: Armchair-GMDec. 5, 2022 at 2:51 p.m.
Forum: Armchair-GMDec. 2, 2022 at 1:32 p.m.
Forum: Armchair-GMDec. 2, 2022 at 11:43 a.m.
I've said this in other threads (today even) but as much as NHL GMs do like big, power forwards, there are enough red flags here that I can't see anyone paying a ton of money to assume the last 4 years of that contract. Getting into the Josh Anderson business through his 33rd birthday is a recipe for disaster - in the 6 seasons he's been an NHL regular, he's missed 10+ games in 3 of those (including last year), and big, physical guys tend usually don't tend to get *more* durable as they age.

I really think a cautionary tale to look at for Anderson is Milan Lucic - similar archetypes as big power forwards with a stronger offensive game than your typical bruisers (Lucic more so than Anderson, obviously.) Lucic also had a longer track record of durability - hell, to date, the 2009-10 season remains the only year he's missed more than 10 games. Lucic's age-28 season looked more or less like what you'd expected out of him to that point: 23-27-50 in 82 GP.

The next 4 years for Lucic? 34, 23, 20, & 21 - these are his point totals in full seasons after he turned 29. Not saying that this guarantees Anderson's production will slow down, just saying his player type doesn't age gracefully. Even the all time best power forward types usually fall off after turning 30 - Kevin Stevens, John LeClair, Clark Gillies all saw huge drop offs and mounting injury concerns as they entered their 30s. That combined with the fact that Anderson has basically peaked as a 45-50 point type doesn't bode incredibly well for the back half of his deal.