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Arizona Coyotes signed Clayton Keller (8 Years / $7,150,000 AAV)

Was this a good signing?
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Sep 4, 2019 at 1:37
#1
Clayton Keller has signed a new contract with the Arizona Coyotes.
STANDARD CONTRACT (EXTENSION)
COMPARE THIS CONTRACT
LENGTH: 8 YEARS
EXPIRY STATUS: UFA
SIGNING TEAM: Arizona CoyotesArizona Coyotes
VALUE: $57,200,000
C.H.% : 8.77
SIGNING DATE: September 4, 2019
SOURCE: @SCGscott
SEASONCLAUSECAP HIT AAV P. BONUSES S. BONUSES BASE SALARY TOTAL SALARY MINORS SALARY
2020-21$7,150,000$7,150,000$0$3,000,000$2,500,000$5,500,000$5,500,000
2021-22$7,150,000$7,150,000$0$0$7,000,000$7,000,000$7,000,000
2022-23$7,150,000$7,150,000$0$3,000,000$4,500,000$7,500,000$7,500,000
2023-24$7,150,000$7,150,000$0$0$6,000,000$6,000,000$6,000,000
2024-25NTC$7,150,000$7,150,000$0$0$7,000,000$7,000,000$7,000,000
2025-26NTC$7,150,000$7,150,000$0$0$7,000,000$7,000,000$7,000,000
2026-27NMC$7,150,000$7,150,000$0$2,000,000$6,500,000$8,500,000$8,500,000
2027-28NMC$7,150,000$7,150,000$0$2,000,000$6,700,000$8,700,000$8,700,000
TOTAL$57,200,000$57,200,000$0$10,000,000$47,200,000$57,200,000$57,200,000
Sep 4, 2019 at 1:37
#2
Joined: May 2019
Posts: 1,097
Likes: 415
Meh deal now, good deal in a couple of years.
Greatestgame22, hockeyconnor97, TheGreatMistake and 9 others liked this.
Sep 4, 2019 at 1:40
#3
Vrana cookie?
Joined: Oct 2018
Posts: 230
Likes: 142
This makes sense long term.
KubaH and OrangeMallard liked this.
Sep 4, 2019 at 1:42
#4
Tomassss Tatarrrr
Joined: Aug 2019
Posts: 14
Likes: 65
We have a Keller contract right here
DragonRaptorHybrid, exo2769, TWOxSCHENNZ and 5 others liked this.
Sep 4, 2019 at 1:42
#5
Joined: May 2019
Posts: 299
Likes: 41
Damn 8 years, it’s gonna be alright for the first 2 years but every year after that is low key a steal for the Coyotes. They have hella good youngins and are gonna be scary in the future
Kylonetic8, KubaH, BuFfaLOFaN and 1 other person liked this.
Sep 4, 2019 at 1:42
#6
Joined: May 2016
Posts: 2,291
Likes: 915
That's a lot of money for a guy who has yet to score 40g in the NHL.
PrisonBull, OldNYIfan, pharrow and 2 others liked this.
Sep 4, 2019 at 1:44
#7
Sensible Commentary
Joined: Jul 2016
Posts: 801
Likes: 397
god, I'm really enjoying this trend of John Chayka locking up key players long-term. it's veeery satisfying.

as for the dollar amount... eh? the knee-jerk reactions from a lot of hockey stats people on Twitter was incredibly bearish, but the guy's 21. he's got at least a few more years to prove that that contract was warranted. I'm not overly concerned.
pinslack, rebecca, MountRoyal514 and 2 others liked this.
Sep 4, 2019 at 1:45
#8
Cale 4 Calder
Joined: Aug 2017
Posts: 2,742
Likes: 1,139
That's a risky deal
Random2152, Bestgoalie33, KubaH and 3 others liked this.
Sep 4, 2019 at 1:47
#9
AwesomeMatthews
Joined: May 2018
Posts: 717
Likes: 548
I actually like this deal if he stays healthy
OldNYIfan and BuFfaLOFaN liked this.
Sep 4, 2019 at 1:49
#10
Joined: Jan 2017
Posts: 622
Likes: 246
This is just crazy.

57 millions garanted for a guy that hasn't proved anything in the NHL.

How much does Mckinnon makes again?
Sep 4, 2019 at 1:50
#11
Joined: Dec 2017
Posts: 1,842
Likes: 779
This contract is fitting for a point per game player. Keller is not a p/pg player...yet. I don't like it. How much more would it cost them if he he puts up 80 points next season? Probably less than $1M AAV. If he's a 55-60 point player next season he'd cost considerably less. Probably $5.5M AAV. He only scored 47 points last season! What if he repeats that? Big risk w/ relatively low reward.

J.C. must think Keller is gonna break out big time. He's also betting big on Dvorak, Schmaltz, and Chychrun.
KubaH, PrisonBull, OldNYIfan and 3 others liked this.
Sep 4, 2019 at 1:51
#12
Joined: Aug 2017
Posts: 1,610
Likes: 495
Quoting: Zwui21
Meh deal now, good deal in a couple of years.


Quoting: Kylonetic8
This makes sense long term.


Quoting: TartarSauce90
We have a Keller contract right here


Quoting: Lime
Damn 8 years, it’s gonna be alright for the first 2 years but every year after that is low key a steal for the Coyotes. They have hella good youngins and are gonna be scary in the future


Quoting: tkecanuck341
That's a lot of money for a guy who has yet to score 40g in the NHL.


Quoting: DragonRaptorHybrid
god, I'm really enjoying this trend of John Chayka locking up key players long-term. it's veeery satisfying.

as for the dollar amount... eh? the knee-jerk reactions from a lot of hockey stats people on Twitter was incredibly bearish, but the guy's 21. he's got at least a few more years to prove that that contract was warranted. I'm not overly concerned.


Can someone who watches Keller play please explain why his production dipped so much this year? (14 goals / 47 points in 82 games).

I don't watch him enough to know whether his play regressed ... or he was a victim of circumstance?
Sep 4, 2019 at 1:52
#13
Joined: May 2019
Posts: 407
Likes: 176
Edited Sep 4, 2019 at 1:57
Some risk to the deal if he stalls out in the 45 to 55 point range like this last season, but <9% of the cap for a top line offensive player seems like a good way to build a deep team. I imagine his comparable was the Scheifele contract, who happened to break out in year 4 and is now on a great deal. Looks like Chayka is betting on the same. This will be a bargain in a few seasons provided he's consistently over 70 points.
Brian2016 and OldNYIfan liked this.
Sep 4, 2019 at 1:53
#14
Dom6Yotes
Joined: Aug 2018
Posts: 184
Likes: 207
Quoting: tkecanuck341
That's a lot of money for a guy who has yet to score 40g in the NHL.


There are guys in the NHL that haven’t even put up 60 points yet that are getting payed 7M this contract is fine
toque, rebecca and GeraltofRivia liked this.
Sep 4, 2019 at 1:54
#15
Joined: Jun 2015
Posts: 638
Likes: 120
He may have been one of the few big RFAs remaining that a bridge would work for both sides, but this has to be a win for the player. Out of all the remaining RFAs that will sign for $6m AAV+ Keller probably has the most to prove.
Brian2016, Random2152, PrisonBull and 1 other person liked this.
Sep 4, 2019 at 1:55
#16
Joined: Feb 2019
Posts: 54
Likes: 33
Could be a steal in the future. But $7.15M for 8 years after having 14 goals, 47 points, and a -21 rating? A little risky.
Brian2016 and OldNYIfan liked this.
Sep 4, 2019 at 1:55
#17
Dom6Yotes
Joined: Aug 2018
Posts: 184
Likes: 207
Quoting: drewjenks
Can someone who watches Keller play please explain why his production dipped so much this year? (14 goals / 47 points in 82 games).

I don't watch him enough to know whether his play regressed ... or he was a victim of circumstance?


His shot selection wasn’t good last year and mentally he was fighting it sometimes was on pace to put up 60+ points after the first 40 games and then he just hit a brick wall
OldNYIfan and OrangeMallard liked this.
Sep 4, 2019 at 1:56
#18
Joined: Dec 2017
Posts: 1,842
Likes: 779
Quoting: CN10
Some risk to the deal if he stalls out in the 45 to 55 point range like this last season, but <9% of the cap for a top line offensive player seems like a good way to build a deep team. This will be a bargain in a few seasons provided he's consistently over 70 points.


That's a big "if". He scored an average of 56 points in his first 2 seasons while playing all 82 games both seasons. 70+ is a big number.
OldNYIfan liked this.
Sep 4, 2019 at 1:56
#19
Joined: Jun 2015
Posts: 638
Likes: 120
Quoting: drewjenks
Can someone who watches Keller play please explain why his production dipped so much this year? (14 goals / 47 points in 82 games).

I don't watch him enough to know whether his play regressed ... or he was a victim of circumstance?


I haven't watched many ARI games, but my guess is that in his big rookie season he got sheltered minutes on second line, meanwhile last year he had to go up against top lines as he was the guy. Hopefully Kessel arriving helps with that.
OldNYIfan liked this.
Sep 4, 2019 at 1:57
#20
Sensible Commentary
Joined: Jul 2016
Posts: 801
Likes: 397
Quoting: drewjenks
Can someone who watches Keller play please explain why his production dipped so much this year? (14 goals / 47 points in 82 games).

I don't watch him enough to know whether his play regressed ... or he was a victim of circumstance?
well, context: those 47 points were the highest of anybody on the entire team. so it's not as if the rest of the team was any better. his shooting percentage also dipped kinda hard, from 10.8% to 7%. part of that was that he scored a single power play goal this past year, as opposed to 6 the year before; the Coyotes' PP was noooot great.

*shrug* Keller had a bad year. so do many other players at his age.
OldNYIfan liked this.
Sep 4, 2019 at 1:58
#21
Joined: Jun 2015
Posts: 638
Likes: 120
Rantanen is next. 5 years, $8m per.
Sep 4, 2019 at 1:58
#22
Dom6Yotes
Joined: Aug 2018
Posts: 184
Likes: 207
Quoting: Brian2016
This contract is fitting for a point per game player. Keller is not a p/pg player...yet. I don't like it. How much more would it cost them if he he puts up 80 points next season? Probably less than $1M AAV. If he's a 55-60 point player next season he'd cost considerably less. Probably $5.5M AAV. He only scored 47 points last season! What if he repeats that? Big risk w/ relatively low reward.

J.C. must think Keller is gonna break out big time. He's also betting big on Dvorak, Schmaltz, and Chychrun.


So if 7M is worth it for a PPG player then why are the PPG RFAs avialable are asking for 10M ?
Sep 4, 2019 at 1:58
#23
Joined: Dec 2017
Posts: 1,842
Likes: 779
Quoting: DSZ
There are guys in the NHL that haven’t even put up 60 points yet that are getting payed 7M this contract is fine


Who?
Sep 4, 2019 at 1:59
#24
Dom6Yotes
Joined: Aug 2018
Posts: 184
Likes: 207
Quoting: Brian2016
Who?


Kevin Hayes
Sep 4, 2019 at 2:01
#25
Joined: Dec 2017
Posts: 1,842
Likes: 779
Quoting: DSZ
So if 7M is worth it for a PPG player then why are the PPG RFAs avialable are asking for 10M ?


Guys like Marner, Point, and Rantanen are far above p/pg. Also, Keller is a Winger and not great defensively.
rootferdukes and BOLTLOVER1 liked this.
 
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