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Buffalo Sabres signed Rasmus Dahlin (8 Years / $11,000,000 AAV)

Was this a good signing?
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Oct. 9, 2023 at 8:47 a.m.
#1
Rasmus Dahlin has signed a new contract with the Buffalo Sabres.
Standard Contract (Extension)
Comparable ContractsCOMPARE THIS CONTRACT
SIGNED BY: Kevyn Adams
Length: 8 years
Value: $88,000,000
Expiry Status: UFA
Cap % Tooltip: 13.17
Signing Team: Logo of the Buffalo SabresBuffalo Sabres
Signing Date: Oct. 9, 2023
Source: CapFriendly

Rasmus Dahlin signed a 8 year, $88,000,000 contract with the Buffalo Sabres on Oct. 9, 2023. The contract has a cap hit of $11,000,000.

SEASONClauseCap HitTooltipAAV TooltipP. BonusesTooltipS. BonusesTooltipBase SalaryTooltipTotal SalaryTooltipMinors SalTooltip
2024-25$11,000,000$11,000,000$0$5,000,000$8,000,000$13,000,000$13,000,000
2025-26NMC$11,000,000$11,000,000$0$0$12,000,000$12,000,000$12,000,000
2026-27NMC$11,000,000$11,000,000$0$0$11,000,000$11,000,000$11,000,000
2027-28NMC$11,000,000$11,000,000$0$0$11,000,000$11,000,000$11,000,000
2028-29NMC$11,000,000$11,000,000$0$0$11,000,000$11,000,000$11,000,000
2029-30NMC$11,000,000$11,000,000$0$0$10,000,000$10,000,000$10,000,000
2030-31NMC$11,000,000$11,000,000$0$0$10,000,000$10,000,000$10,000,000
2031-32NMC$11,000,000$11,000,000$0$0$10,000,000$10,000,000$10,000,000
TOTAL$88,000,000$88,000,000$0$5,000,000$83,000,000$88,000,000$88,000,000
CLAUSE SOURCE: CapFriendly
Oct. 9, 2023 at 8:49 a.m.
#2
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Ouch
Boubou79, AK50, DDoverChucky and 5 others liked this.
Oct. 9, 2023 at 8:53 a.m.
#3
Out Come The Wolves
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WOW. MONSTER deal for Dahlin.
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Oct. 9, 2023 at 8:53 a.m.
#4
Hockey IQ
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You see a Max-term Extension at the second highest AAV in the league for a defensman.
I see the total value of the contract being $88M and it furthers my conspiracy theory that Patrick Kane will end up in Buffalo.
DarraStaas, exo2769, AK50 and 16 others liked this.
Oct. 9, 2023 at 8:59 a.m.
#5
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Good deal, Dahlin will be the #1 D in Buffalo for years to come
Oct. 9, 2023 at 9:00 a.m.
#6
Nice bison
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Holy moly that's huge deal
AK50, trademaster20, OldNYIfan and 2 others liked this.
Oct. 9, 2023 at 9:01 a.m.
#7
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Big Money! Good for Dahlin, great player.
Oct. 9, 2023 at 9:04 a.m.
#8
Nice bison
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Oh boy how underpaid Heiskanen and Makar looks now
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Oct. 9, 2023 at 9:05 a.m.
#9
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$11 million this year would be too much.
$11 million next year will be a little rich, even with the $4 million raise in the salary cap.
$11 million in a few years will be a bargain, as the cap will be at about $100 million.

Over the course of the contract, it will be a major bargain.
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Oct. 9, 2023 at 9:05 a.m.
#10
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2 million a year too much. Good job Buffalo!
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Oct. 9, 2023 at 9:10 a.m.
#11
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It’s the going rate and I’d even say the Sabres are paying for what he still might develop into slightly. This isn’t a team friendly in fact maybe 500K to 1Mil rich. He is and will likely be the long term Leader on the team. This deal will feel better nearing the end of the contract. Be interested to see the status of any No movement clauses when those are available.
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Oct. 9, 2023 at 9:12 a.m.
#12
WentWughes
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A lot of money for a guy coming off a career year, but if there's a guy who can live up to it, It's Dahlin. Buffalo is always taking those high risk, high reward deals though. Bravo to them
Dahlin_On_Me, dopplsan, OldNYIfan and 2 others liked this.
Oct. 9, 2023 at 9:21 a.m.
#13
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How do these teams honestly expect to win handing out these ridiculous contracts.
Oct. 9, 2023 at 9:25 a.m.
#14
WentWughes
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Quoting: DDoverChucky
How do these teams honestly expect to win handing out these ridiculous contracts.


Will be well worth it in 4-5 years when the cap is 100m+
Jdb9831, svensk_forskare, DonnyMeatballs716 and 3 others liked this.
Oct. 9, 2023 at 9:29 a.m.
#15
Kansler
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I dont really dislike that much. They got capspace for this and Powers next contract. It aint cheap but cap is finally going up, and atleast they get his prime years with this 24-32. If major injuries dont occur he might actually live up this contract, unlike 90% of this magnitude contracts.
He upped his defensive game quite a lot last season also.
Oct. 9, 2023 at 9:33 a.m.
#16
McMann Season
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This will look good in a few years I think. Especially with the cap rising
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Oct. 9, 2023 at 9:37 a.m.
#17
More Finns More Wins
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Deserved. I'm expecting a Norris or two during (or before) this contract.
worldwidesensei, Steven_Stamkos, OldNYIfan and 1 other person liked this.
Oct. 9, 2023 at 9:39 a.m.
#18
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Quoting: DDoverChucky
How do these teams honestly expect to win handing out these ridiculous contracts.


They honestly look at Vegas.

Eichel $10mm (12.1%) in 2022-23
Stone $9.5mm (11.5%)
Pietrangelo $8.8mm (10.7%)

And they say, wow, Vegas won with 3 guys making more than 10% of the cap.

Then BUF does some math and looks at their top contracts for 2024-25 (est. $87.5mm cap)

Dahlin $11mm (12.6%)
Skinner $9mm (10.3%)
Tage $7.14mm (8.2%)

And they figure they are in a much better cap situation than Vegas and they also figure the cap will keep going up knowing that that pushes those percentages even lower.

Simple math, really.
Steven_Stamkos, HelmutCool, dopplsan and 8 others liked this.
Oct. 9, 2023 at 9:50 a.m.
#19
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I mean, you kinda just have to pay him. I think he should be an 11mil dman for much of this deal, especially as the cap goes up, but it'll never really be a bargain.
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Oct. 9, 2023 at 9:54 a.m.
#20
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Buffalo has some other really good deals on their books so this shouldn't compromise their competitive window.

They will be able to avoid cap management issues over the next few seasons (unless they go heavy into UFA/trade market):

2024-25 - Owen Power, Casey Mittelstadt, and Peyton Krebs
---> Oloffson off the books
And with another $5 million or so in cap increase, so this year shouldn't be a problem

2025-26 - Jack Quinn, Devon Levi, JJ Peterka
Another year of expected large cap increase should cover a good chunk of these raises

2026-27 - Alex Tuch, Zach Benson, Matthew Savoie, Jiri Kulich
This is pretty far in the future to predict but not all of these guys will win prime spots over the next few years to put themselves into position for a large contract.
OldNYIfan liked this.
Oct. 9, 2023 at 9:54 a.m.
#21
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Quoting: DarraStaas
Oh boy how underpaid Heiskanen and Makar looks now


Only Heiskanen, Makar didn’t signed an eight years deal
Steven_Stamkos liked this.
Oct. 9, 2023 at 10:19 a.m.
#22
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what an overpay
Oct. 9, 2023 at 10:28 a.m.
#23
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Quoting: DarraStaas
Oh boy how underpaid Heiskanen and Makar looks now


And Dahlin looks underpaid now. His AAV this year, and the past 2 years is/was $6mm.

Heiskanen's AAV:
2018-19: $894K
2019-20: $894K
2020-21: $894K
2021-22: $8.45mm
2022-23: $8.45mm
2023-24: $8.45mm
2024-25: $8.45mm

Dahlin:
2018-19: $925K
2019-20: $925K
2020-21: $925K
2021-22: $6mm
2022-23: $6mm
2023-24: $6mm
2024-25: $11mm
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Oct. 9, 2023 at 10:30 a.m.
#24
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Quoting: Brad_Treliving
what an overpay


Says the guy who gave Huberdeau $10.5mm/year from the ages of 30-38.
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Oct. 9, 2023 at 10:58 a.m.
#25
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It'll be interesting to revisit this deal in 2 years when L. Hughes, Miller, Byram, Chychrun, Dobson etc. get contracts. Given where the closest comps were at in their careers at time of signing and cap situation, the value doesn't seem all that off, Seems like most big defenseman contracts are based on reaching potential or paying established older Dmen whereas Dahlin solidified himself as a no. 1 before his deal and is still young.
OldNYIfan liked this.
 
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